Likely-Measles 0x76b0ed…1f417d
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Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
13.9%
Resolved
5
Trades
740
lifetime
Volume
$7.14K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$42
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 07-24 22:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
58% 0% $-4
Other
28% 33% $-16
Crypto
11% — —
Tech
2% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +30 $9 30¢ $9 $-0 07-24 22:18
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +50 $7 14¢ $7 $-0 07-19 17:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-7 66¢ $-7 +$0 07-15 09:14
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -5 $-4 100¢ $-5 $-1 06-14 21:32
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -7 $-4 52¢ $-4 $-0 06-08 21:32
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026? Yes +7 $4 44¢ $3 $-1 05-30 13:29
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? Yes +9 $4 34¢ $3 $-1 07-02 18:34
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +5 $3 64¢ $3 $-0 06-15 13:22
Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes -26 $-7 9¢ $-2 +$5 06-01 23:38