Likely-Measles 0x76b0ed…1f417d
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Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
13.9%
Resolved
5
Trades
610
lifetime
Volume
$6.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$30
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 07-02 06:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
59% 0% $-4
Other
28% 33% $-16
Crypto
10% — —
Sports
2% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +20 $9 42¢ $8 $-1 06-29 16:13
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -5 $-4 100¢ $-5 $-1 06-14 21:32
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -7 $-4 52¢ $-4 $-0 06-08 21:32
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026? Yes +7 $4 45¢ $3 $-1 05-30 13:29
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? Yes +10 $4 32¢ $3 $-1 06-30 07:27
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +5 $3 70¢ $3 $-0 06-15 13:22
Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes -26 $-7 11¢ $-3 +$4 06-01 23:38
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes -21 $-2 2¢ $-0 +$2 06-13 20:56