Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
203
lifetime
Volume
$423
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$38
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-17
last 07-08 22:06
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
47%
Politics
22%
Sports
21%
Tech
5%
Crypto
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5 $1 88¢ $5 +$4 06-30 08:41
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes +5 $1 46¢ $2 +$1 06-30 08:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +5 $1 42¢ $2 +$1 06-30 03:45
Will Peso Pluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$1 06-30 10:39
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +14 $2 12¢ $2 $-1 06-18 12:30
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +4 $1 38¢ $2 +$1 06-30 03:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +2 $1 96¢ $1 +$1 06-30 03:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 26¢ $1 +$0 07-09 00:56
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +2 $1 77¢ $1 +$0 06-30 07:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +2 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 06-30 15:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 58¢ $1 +$0 06-30 07:03
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 +$0 06-30 16:31
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes +6 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 06-30 08:40
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +4 $1 26¢ $1 +$0 06-30 08:40
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 46¢ $1 $-0 06-30 10:19
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +2 $1 42¢ $1 $-0 06-30 08:41
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 48¢ $1 $-0 06-30 10:16
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +3 $1 38¢ $1 $-0 06-30 08:06
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3 $1 39¢ $1 $-0 06-30 08:06
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +2 $1 60¢ $1 +$0 06-30 03:46
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes +2 $1 52¢ $1 $-0 06-30 03:37
Blue wave in 2026? No +4 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-30 11:15
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December? No +2 $1 38¢ $1 $-0 06-30 05:33
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +6 $1 13¢ $1 $-0 06-30 06:57
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? Yes +5 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-30 16:46
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +4 $1 21¢ $1 $-0 06-30 09:09
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +4 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-30 05:07
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? Yes +7 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-30 08:40
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +2 $1 30¢ $1 $-0 07-04 04:29
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $1 $1 $-0 07-04 04:41