Realized P&L
-$7.13K
Unrealized P&L
-$526
Hit rate
6.4%
Resolved
1,482
Trades
8,712
lifetime
Volume
$378.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$229
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-27 08:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 184 days
Categories
Other
64% 16% -$5,373
Politics
23% 10% -$1,408
Sports
6% 17% -$71
Tech
5% 6% -$186
Crypto
1% 94% -$79
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 245 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +167 $101 44¢ $74 -$26 10-15 06:07
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? Yes +278 $100 26¢ $71 -$29 10-20 12:09
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 Yes +217 $100 20¢ $45 -$55 09-30 09:21
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +428 $125 2¢ $11 -$114 10-02 00:36
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -9 -$9 98¢ $-9 +$0 05-19 11:23
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -7 -$7 99¢ $-7 +$0 05-19 11:24
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes +30 $10 22¢ $6 -$3 10-25 22:56
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -6 -$6 98¢ $-6 $0 05-19 11:23
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) Yes +4 $10 6¢ $0 -$10 09-29 03:45
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +0 $40 60¢ $0 -$40 10-27 07:43
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +0 $41 50¢ $0 -$41 10-26 17:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +0 $10 56¢ $0 -$10 10-23 21:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +0 $20 40¢ $0 -$20 10-25 22:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +0 $55 56¢ $0 -$55 10-09 06:34
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +0 $6 44¢ $0 -$6 10-14 12:31
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +0 $23 32¢ $0 -$23 10-26 06:13
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1 29¢ $0 -$1 10-26 11:04
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $12 20¢ $0 -$12 10-26 20:18
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $81 8¢ $0 -$81 10-25 10:15