Robust-Twins 0x268fdf…b1bbd7 Create alert
whale cold 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$8.90K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.51K
Hit rate
7.8%
Resolved
1,797
Trades
10,716
lifetime
Volume
$446.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$908
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 11-09 15:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 198 days
Categories
Other
64% 15% -$6,526
Politics
25% 9% -$1,940
Tech
5% 5% -$268
Sports
5% 17% -$71
Crypto
1% 94% -$79
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30? Yes +129 $99 60¢ $77 -$23 11-04 01:33
Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes +303 $100 22¢ $67 -$33 09-26 02:45
Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 52.0 or higher? Yes +95 $73 56¢ $53 -$20 11-08 09:16
Manchester City punishment announced by December 18? Yes +250 $100 20¢ $51 -$49 10-11 05:02
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes +400 $102 12¢ $50 -$52 11-01 08:45
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31? Yes +235 $80 20¢ $47 -$33 11-01 01:42
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 Yes +217 $100 22¢ $47 -$53 09-30 09:21
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? Yes +278 $100 16¢ $46 -$54 10-20 12:09
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +167 $101 26¢ $44 -$56 10-15 06:07
Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? Yes +239 $96 17¢ $41 -$55 10-05 11:55
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +159 $53 24¢ $39 -$14 11-09 01:30
Will Manuel Neuer (Bayern Munich) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? Yes +481 $125 8¢ $36 -$89 10-17 15:54
Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? Yes +185 $100 18¢ $33 -$67 09-24 03:14
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes +119 $59 26¢ $32 -$27 10-25 20:29
Will Cyril Xaba be the next mayor of eThekwini? Yes +588 $100 5¢ $26 -$74 08-28 21:08
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? Yes +126 $54 20¢ $26 -$28 11-06 14:26
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? Yes +170 $80 15¢ $26 -$54 11-01 01:33
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%? Yes +322 $91 7¢ $22 -$69 10-25 20:00
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? Yes +435 $100 5¢ $22 -$78 09-21 10:08
Will "The Man That I Wave At" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes — +385 $100 5¢ $19 -$81 10-21 20:43
Will Geoffrey Pyatt be the next US Ambassador to Greece? Yes +450 $76 4¢ $17 -$59 10-18 00:06
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes +778 $140 2¢ $16 -$124 08-01 18:43
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31? Yes +465 $86 4¢ $16 -$70 11-04 05:32
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026? Yes +276 $80 4¢ $12 -$68 11-01 14:10
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 10%-15%? Yes +317 $94 3¢ $10 -$84 10-28 14:06
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -9 -$9 98¢ $-9 $0 05-19 11:23
Will the Republicans win Nevada in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +23 $11 33¢ $7 -$4 11-02 08:35
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -7 -$7 99¢ $-7 $0 05-19 11:24
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -6 -$6 98¢ $-6 $0 05-19 11:23
Will Anthropic raise between $115B and $125B in its IPO? Yes +625 $100 1¢ $3 -$97 10-29 09:41