Robust-Twins 0x268fdf…b1bbd7 Create alert
whale cold 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$3.35K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.13K
Hit rate
8.8%
Resolved (30d)
445
Trades (30d)
4,591
10,703 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$175.8K
$446.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$706
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 11-06 17:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Other
63% 15% -$6,492
Politics
25% 9% -$1,923
Tech
5% 5% -$268
Sports
5% 17% -$71
Crypto
1% 94% -$79
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +295 $87 24¢ $71 -$16 11-06 17:21
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30? Yes +129 $99 48¢ $61 -$38 11-04 01:33
Manchester City punishment announced by December 18? Yes +250 $100 22¢ $56 -$44 10-11 05:02
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? Yes +278 $100 20¢ $56 -$44 10-20 12:09
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? Yes +435 $100 12¢ $52 -$48 09-21 10:08
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes +400 $102 12¢ $50 -$52 11-01 08:45
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 Yes +217 $100 22¢ $47 -$53 09-30 09:21
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes +778 $140 5¢ $41 -$99 08-01 18:43
Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? Yes +239 $96 15¢ $36 -$60 10-05 11:55
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31? Yes +465 $86 7¢ $33 -$54 11-04 05:32
Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? Yes +185 $100 17¢ $32 -$68 09-24 03:14
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +167 $101 18¢ $30 -$71 10-15 06:07
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026? Yes +276 $80 11¢ $29 -$51 11-01 14:10
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? Yes +126 $54 20¢ $26 -$28 11-06 14:26
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? Yes +170 $80 15¢ $26 -$54 11-01 01:33
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%? Yes +322 $91 7¢ $22 -$69 10-25 20:00
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-09 House election by 10%-15%? Yes +317 $94 3¢ $10 -$84 10-28 14:06
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -9 -$9 97¢ $-9 +$0 05-19 11:23
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -7 -$7 99¢ $-7 $0 05-19 11:24
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? Yes +121 $98 6¢ $7 -$92 10-28 12:37
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -6 -$6 98¢ $-6 $0 05-19 11:23
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026? Yes +0 $6 86¢ $0 -$6 11-01 03:54
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-01 House election by 15%-20%? Yes +7 $11 0¢ $0 -$11 11-03 15:15
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +0 $20 40¢ $0 -$20 08-06 20:28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? Yes +0 $11 100¢ $0 -$11 11-01 18:08
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes +0 $0 46¢ $0 $0 10-28 08:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +0 $14 98¢ $0 -$14 11-01 10:18
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026? Yes +0 $2 92¢ $0 -$2 10-31 01:49
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? Yes +0 $1 98¢ $0 -$1 10-29 17:31
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +0 $42 68¢ $0 -$42 10-29 17:02