Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.04K
Unrealized P&L
-$710
Hit rate
3.4%
Resolved (7d)
156
Trades (7d)
2,129
10,424 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$75.3K
$438.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$268
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 11-01 11:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 189 days
Categories
Other
64% 14% -$5,924
Politics
24% 10% -$1,545
Tech
5% 5% -$268
Sports
5% 17% -$71
Crypto
1% 94% -$79
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +167 $101 46¢ $77 -$24 10-15 06:07
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? Yes +278 $100 24¢ $65 -$35 10-20 12:09
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? Yes +400 $102 12¢ $50 -$52 11-01 08:45
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 Yes +217 $100 22¢ $47 -$53 09-30 09:21
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -9 -$9 97¢ $-9 +$0 05-19 11:23
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -7 -$7 99¢ $-7 +$0 05-19 11:24
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +428 $125 2¢ $7 -$118 10-02 00:36
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -6 -$6 98¢ $-6 $0 05-19 11:23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +0 $14 82¢ $0 -$14 11-01 10:18
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +0 $42 64¢ $0 -$42 10-29 17:02
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? Yes +0 $7 50¢ $0 -$7 10-30 12:58
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +0 $11 38¢ $0 -$11 10-28 20:16
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +0 $4 38¢ $0 -$4 10-30 22:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +0 $10 52¢ $0 -$10 10-23 21:38
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +0 $6 46¢ $0 -$6 10-14 12:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +0 $20 37¢ $0 -$20 10-29 20:26
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1 40¢ $0 -$1 10-26 11:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +0 $55 55¢ $0 -$55 10-09 06:34
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +0 $41 36¢ $0 -$41 10-30 10:49
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +0 $29 38¢ $0 -$29 11-01 08:51
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +0 $15 16¢ $0 -$15 11-01 07:20
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +0 $64 19¢ $0 -$64 10-28 02:10
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes +0 $3 20¢ $0 -$3 10-27 23:59
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $15 15¢ $0 -$15 10-27 18:05
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $12 18¢ $0 -$12 10-26 20:18
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $81 8¢ $0 -$81 10-25 10:15