Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
12,122
lifetime
Volume
$55.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$75
10 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 07-23 06:32
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
86%
Sports
13%
Politics
0%
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 739 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +13 $12 92¢ $12 +$0 07-07 10:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$0 07-11 22:11
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +13 $8 70¢ $9 +$1 07-06 11:40
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $3 40¢ $9 +$6 07-13 12:28
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +12 $11 69¢ $8 $-2 07-06 04:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +9 $8 90¢ $8 +$0 07-20 07:59
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +13 $9 60¢ $8 $-1 07-06 11:56
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $4 56¢ $7 +$3 07-06 11:54
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +9 $4 38¢ $3 $-0 07-15 09:59
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 07-21 08:09