Realized P&L
+$529
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
56.6%
Resolved
11,697
Trades
21,276
lifetime
Volume
$87.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$225
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 10-28 22:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Other
88% 56% +$349
Sports
11% 53% +$191
Politics
1% 64% +$47
Crypto
0% 60% -$46
Tech
0% 48% -$13
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 252 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +26 $19 86¢ $22 +$3 09-26 06:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +18 $14 96¢ $17 +$3 10-07 23:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +17 $13 98¢ $17 +$4 10-06 20:27
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +18 $8 94¢ $17 +$9 08-05 22:40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +13 $12 98¢ $13 +$1 07-07 10:32
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +13 $9 84¢ $11 +$2 07-06 11:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +11 $7 90¢ $10 +$3 09-12 23:41
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +9 $8 97¢ $9 +$0 07-17 05:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +9 $8 94¢ $9 +$0 07-20 07:59
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +13 $8 58¢ $8 -$1 07-06 11:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +7 $6 94¢ $7 +$1 10-16 07:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +10 $4 58¢ $6 +$2 09-26 06:51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +6 $5 85¢ $5 +$0 07-06 03:00
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +6 $4 86¢ $5 +$1 07-25 07:08
israel accuses iranproxies of plane stabbing incident by oct 31 No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 10-02 00:38
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +5 $3 98¢ $5 +$2 09-26 02:19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +5 $3 98¢ $5 +$2 10-02 22:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +7 $5 70¢ $5 $0 10-28 22:08
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 09-08 07:39
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 10-03 06:48
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +5 $4 93¢ $5 +$0 08-06 06:58
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 09-03 04:59
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +5 $4 91¢ $5 +$0 10-03 07:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 88¢ $5 +$0 09-05 21:51
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +5 $5 90¢ $4 $0 09-04 00:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 $0 09-04 01:00
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $3 16¢ $4 +$0 07-13 12:28
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +5 $4 68¢ $3 $0 09-03 05:00
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +5 $4 56¢ $3 -$1 09-17 05:18
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 55¢ $3 +$0 10-02 04:17