Trained-Villa 0x0bfb80…4526a7
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.48K
Unrealized P&L
+$707
Hit rate
86.7%
Resolved
34
Trades
19,528
lifetime
Volume
$1.62M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$83
Open exposure
$5.99K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 12:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
58% 90% +$2,336
Other
34% 85% +$1,131
Tech
5% — —
Crypto
2% 100% +$9
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 264 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -737 $-593 86¢ $-630 $-37 06-12 16:16
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +600 $510 86¢ $516 +$6 06-23 20:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +865 $599 55¢ $472 $-127 07-14 02:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +464 $-270 99¢ $457 +$727 07-14 17:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -600 $-522 74¢ $-441 +$81 06-23 06:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,330 $545 32¢ $432 $-113 07-11 15:32
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -1,724 $-385 24¢ $-405 $-20 06-12 06:05
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +458 $414 87¢ $399 $-15 07-14 19:03
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +400 $288 71¢ $284 $-4 07-11 16:25
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +374 $258 68¢ $252 $-6 07-14 16:22
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +400 $250 55¢ $218 $-32 07-14 12:30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +200 $186 96¢ $191 +$5 06-09 07:05
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $172 92¢ $183 +$11 06-27 05:58
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +500 $200 34¢ $168 $-32 06-15 18:37
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +100 $82 96¢ $96 +$14 06-09 20:51
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +100 $88 90¢ $90 +$2 07-06 11:43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +100 $83 90¢ $90 +$6 05-27 22:36
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -100 $-90 88¢ $-88 +$2 06-05 02:04
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +100 $83 87¢ $87 +$4 06-16 22:16
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +158 $54 54¢ $86 +$31 07-12 14:11
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +134 $56 60¢ $80 +$24 07-11 17:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $62 79¢ $79 +$17 07-04 20:53
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +100 $73 70¢ $70 $-2 07-06 11:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $28 55¢ $54 +$26 07-04 16:12
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -425 $-136 12¢ $-49 +$87 07-13 13:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3,037 $4 1¢ $44 +$40 07-17 19:36
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +65 $24 32¢ $21 $-3 07-04 09:00
UK Recession in 2026? No +5 $2 84¢ $4 +$2 06-06 18:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -17 $-15 23¢ $-4 +$11 07-17 23:14
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -62 $-2 2¢ $-1 +$1 06-10 02:17