Trained-Villa 0x0bfb80…4526a7
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.48K
Unrealized P&L
+$902
Hit rate
86.7%
Resolved
34
Trades
18,338
lifetime
Volume
$1.55M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$7.77K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
59% 90% +$2,336
Other
35% 85% +$1,131
Tech
3% — —
Crypto
2% 100% +$9
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 264 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,563 $803 64¢ $1.0K +$205 06-29 13:44
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +1,100 $967 90¢ $993 +$26 06-29 14:38
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -737 $-593 86¢ $-630 $-37 06-12 16:16
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -631 $-616 100¢ $-630 $-14 06-08 18:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -600 $-522 86¢ $-519 +$4 06-23 06:19
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +600 $510 86¢ $516 +$6 06-23 20:27
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +489 $298 99¢ $482 +$184 06-30 04:20
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -1,724 $-385 16¢ $-284 +$101 06-12 06:05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +630 $322 41¢ $258 $-64 06-22 00:00
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +500 $200 42¢ $208 +$8 06-15 18:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +200 $188 100¢ $200 +$12 05-28 18:26
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +200 $196 100¢ $200 +$4 06-29 06:38
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -200 $-190 100¢ $-199 $-9 06-11 11:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +200 $186 95¢ $190 +$4 06-09 07:05
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $172 86¢ $173 +$1 06-27 05:58
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +150 $135 100¢ $149 +$14 06-07 12:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +100 $98 100¢ $100 +$2 06-11 17:54
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +100 $93 100¢ $100 +$7 06-06 09:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +100 $89 100¢ $100 +$11 06-10 22:56
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +100 $89 100¢ $100 +$11 06-09 20:04
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +100 $91 99¢ $99 +$8 06-08 20:04
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +100 $88 99¢ $99 +$11 06-06 22:17
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +100 $82 96¢ $96 +$14 06-09 20:51
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +100 $83 90¢ $90 +$6 05-27 22:36
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -100 $-90 88¢ $-88 +$2 06-05 02:04
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +100 $83 77¢ $77 $-6 06-16 22:16
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +4,139 $-18 1¢ $54 +$72 06-30 09:34
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +50 $31 100¢ $50 +$19 06-08 20:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +43 $-262 100¢ $43 +$305 06-27 17:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +49 $42 82¢ $40 $-2 06-27 10:40