Trained-Villa 0x0bfb80…4526a7
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.48K
Unrealized P&L
-$187
Hit rate
86.7%
Resolved
34
Trades
16,232
lifetime
Volume
$1.39M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$86
Open exposure
$4.91K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 02:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
57% 90% +$2,336
Other
37% 85% +$1,131
Crypto
2% 100% +$9
Tech
1% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 337 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +700 $419 90¢ $634 +$215 06-09 12:01
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -631 $-616 96¢ $-604 +$12 06-08 18:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +600 $414 70¢ $423 +$9 06-10 00:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -2,237 $-171 16¢ $-369 $-198 06-07 19:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +400 $303 84¢ $334 +$31 06-09 13:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +632 $459 38¢ $237 $-222 06-04 08:38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +200 $188 98¢ $195 +$7 05-28 18:26
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T No +200 $186 96¢ $191 +$5 06-09 10:13
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +200 $186 93¢ $186 $-0 06-09 07:05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +200 $168 88¢ $177 +$9 06-04 12:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +259 $177 68¢ $175 $-2 06-05 07:18
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +150 $135 94¢ $142 +$6 06-07 12:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +200 $189 64¢ $127 $-62 06-07 16:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +200 $146 62¢ $125 $-21 06-09 13:06
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No +400 $104 24¢ $98 $-6 06-05 08:58
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +100 $91 96¢ $96 +$4 06-08 20:04
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +100 $93 94¢ $94 +$2 06-06 09:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +100 $83 90¢ $90 +$6 05-27 22:36
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +100 $89 88¢ $88 $-1 06-09 20:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -100 $-93 82¢ $-82 +$10 06-08 20:57
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +100 $82 82¢ $82 +$0 06-09 20:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -100 $-90 82¢ $-82 +$8 06-05 02:04
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +100 $88 76¢ $76 $-12 06-06 22:17
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes -400 $-56 15¢ $-58 $-2 06-05 09:57
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +50 $44 100¢ $50 +$6 06-06 05:30
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +50 $31 69¢ $34 +$4 06-08 20:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +100 $23 26¢ $26 +$4 06-09 16:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -200 $-20 11¢ $-21 $-1 06-05 09:14
Jimmy Lai released by June 30? Yes -1,406 $-18 1¢ $-15 +$3 06-07 01:42
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $4 93¢ $4 +$1 06-06 13:36