Trained-Villa 0x0bfb80…4526a7
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$48.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.42K
Hit rate
76.7%
Resolved
2,339
Trades
21,960
lifetime
Volume
$1.74M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$79
Open exposure
$6.11K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-23 17:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 215 days
Categories
Politics
58% 79% +$45,695
Other
34% 74% -$1,608
Tech
5% 69% +$3,136
Crypto
2% 61% +$2,396
Sports
1% 78% -$899
Pop-Culture
0% 86% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -755 -$607 90¢ $-684 -$76 06-12 16:16
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -400 -$390 97¢ $-388 +$2 09-30 07:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +400 $324 94¢ $378 +$54 05-04 12:16
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +374 $258 90¢ $338 +$80 07-14 16:22
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +134,449 $1,042 0¢ $336 -$706 10-08 05:15
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -2,273 -$564 15¢ $-330 +$235 06-12 06:05
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +6,000 $296 4¢ $255 -$41 06-21 08:28
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -354 -$251 64¢ $-228 +$23 05-24 06:12
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +400 $428 56¢ $226 -$202 06-06 04:44
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +200 $166 100¢ $199 +$33 06-28 06:51
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -200 -$198 99¢ $-199 -$1 09-17 20:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +200 $186 98¢ $196 +$10 06-09 07:05
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -200 -$195 98¢ $-196 -$1 10-16 06:53
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -200 -$215 96¢ $-193 +$22 10-05 13:56
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -200 -$193 96¢ $-191 +$2 10-12 00:02
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -200 -$234 94¢ $-189 +$45 10-02 02:16
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +234 $99 80¢ $188 +$89 07-11 17:37
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +188 $68 91¢ $170 +$102 07-12 14:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $74 82¢ $163 +$89 06-23 06:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,418 $628 10¢ $135 -$493 07-11 15:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,115 $822 12¢ $128 -$693 07-14 02:14
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +200 $126 56¢ $111 -$15 05-21 09:20
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -100 -$99 100¢ $-100 $0 10-13 20:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $62 96¢ $96 +$34 07-04 20:53
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +100 $76 94¢ $94 +$18 05-03 20:04
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -100 -$105 92¢ $-92 +$12 10-14 04:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $28 90¢ $90 +$62 07-04 16:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +100 $53 84¢ $84 +$32 05-15 08:49
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +500 $200 14¢ $70 -$130 06-15 18:37
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +143 $66 44¢ $64 -$3 05-14 18:40