Limping-Brewer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$235

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.9%

Resolved

707

Trades

32,958

lifetime

Volume

$97.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-02 05:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 55% $-235

Other

11% — —

Sports

6% — —

Politics

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 1160 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	14	$1.1K	601	601	+0	open	—	07-02 10:17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	9	$765	400	400	+0	open	—	06-22 14:34
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	4	$661	400	400	+0	open	—	07-10 16:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	8	$644	800	800	+0	open	—	07-11 20:27
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	11	$622	500	500	+0	open	—	07-07 17:19
tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	9	$485	351	351	+0	open	—	07-07 21:21
Fed rate hike in 2026?	6	$464	461	461	+0	open	—	07-30 03:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	10	$430	420	420	+0	open	—	07-07 19:01
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	6	$400	400	400	+0	open	—	06-22 13:59
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	2	$396	200	200	+0	open	—	06-22 13:56
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	4	$388	400	400	+0	open	—	07-11 22:11
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	10	$377	315	315	+0	open	—	07-08 00:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$368	200	200	+0	open	—	06-21 01:53
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	14	$342	284	284	+0	open	—	07-13 08:27
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	5	$340	222	222	+0	open	—	06-26 18:38
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	9	$331	328	328	+0	open	—	07-06 02:40
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	6	$329	200	200	+0	open	—	07-08 21:34
will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	4	$323	234	234	+0	open	—	07-07 23:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$322	200	200	+0	open	—	08-02 05:23
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$316	270	270	+0	open	—	06-28 00:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	2	$315	200	200	+0	open	—	08-02 02:05
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	2	$306	200	200	+0	open	—	07-08 00:45
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	10	$294	390	390	+0	open	—	07-06 23:36
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	2	$289	200	200	+0	open	—	07-31 01:00
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	5	$284	150	150	+0	open	—	06-26 13:09
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	4	$283	200	200	+0	open	—	07-06 03:12
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$278	499	499	+0	open	—	06-27 21:06
dota2 ngx navi 2026 06 23 game1	3	$272	250	250	+0	open	—	06-23 17:16
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	2	$258	200	200	+0	open	—	08-01 01:43
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	4	$256	250	250	+0	open	—	07-06 21:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 05:23:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0x9bf844…
08-02 05:23:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x601e47…
08-02 02:05:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	200	79¢	$157	0xe069dc…
08-02 02:05:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x8bb820…
08-01 18:34:30	will xagusd dip to 50 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x9f474c…
08-01 18:34:29	will xagusd dip to 50 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x8a6b59…
08-01 14:21:23	will ben shelton qualify for the nitto atp finals 2026 20260728191143802	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x0a3118…
08-01 14:21:21	will ben shelton qualify for the nitto atp finals 2026 20260728191143802	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x4835fb…
08-01 01:43:59	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x65e63a…
08-01 01:43:57	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xbcdc58…
07-31 15:42:24	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x34f4cd…
07-31 15:42:23	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xd1dda6…
07-31 09:31:38	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x7be9cb…
07-31 09:31:35	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x9e29d1…
07-31 01:00:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	200	71¢	$143	0x74ebc4…
07-31 01:00:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xabdd18…
07-30 23:40:57	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0xdea7cd…
07-30 23:40:54	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x908017…
07-30 18:13:56	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723225144064	Yes	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0xd103e3…
07-30 18:13:53	will the highest score achieved by an openai model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723225144064	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xe320d7…
07-30 16:54:35	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0xb34652…
07-30 16:54:32	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x97c704…
07-30 15:16:53	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xbddeee…
07-30 15:16:50	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xf43b6b…
07-30 14:57:18	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x6be403…
07-30 14:57:15	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xd01565…
07-30 09:30:06	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x017eef…
07-30 09:30:02	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x8c9408…
07-30 03:49:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	61	36¢	$22	0x1c2c57…
07-30 03:49:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	61	36¢	$22	0x92e62d…
07-29 20:27:36	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x3d1a38…
07-29 20:27:33	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x19204a…
07-28 16:20:40	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x1206cb…
07-28 16:20:35	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x91bb08…
07-28 11:16:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x4842bb…
07-28 11:16:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x28276f…
07-28 06:01:09	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x1a5514…
07-28 06:01:07	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x0e583b…
07-28 03:38:34	will the ornn h200 index hit 3pt75 low by december 31 2026 20260709171105510	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x6533f8…
07-28 03:38:31	will the ornn h200 index hit 3pt75 low by december 31 2026 20260709171105510	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xa80987…
07-28 00:48:34	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x02d6d6…
07-28 00:48:31	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xc7cda0…
07-27 19:58:57	will trump say sister during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556639	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x44f48a…
07-27 19:58:54	will trump say sister during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556639	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x0440d9…
07-27 18:22:24	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xdaca7f…
07-27 18:22:22	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x66ce7f…
07-27 14:23:54	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	37	90¢	$33	0x1223d3…
07-27 14:23:52	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	37	90¢	$33	0xeb6776…
07-27 14:17:15	Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x13938b…
07-27 14:17:10	Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x7f377e…
07-27 12:58:03	will trump say air force or space force during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556650	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xe9c41c…
07-27 12:58:00	will trump say air force or space force during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556650	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xea8f84…
07-27 10:21:13	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x319ab5…
07-27 10:21:12	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xe94806…
07-27 09:43:28	grpn quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt06	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x7b0f9d…
07-27 09:43:22	grpn quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt06	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x9bdb34…
07-27 01:20:58	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0xbac550…
07-27 01:20:55	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x9bb181…
07-26 21:20:04	will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x74d750…
07-26 21:20:01	will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xf3d216…
07-26 20:44:45	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xd97330…
07-26 20:44:42	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x26b0cf…
07-26 18:20:55	arm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt4	No	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x50568b…
07-26 18:20:54	arm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xfe276a…
07-26 14:14:37	Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xdc865d…
07-26 14:14:34	Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x64f94d…
07-26 10:32:04	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$7	0xbc60b5…
07-26 10:32:01	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xed176c…
07-26 03:44:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	Yes	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x785f51…
07-26 03:44:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xb6f306…
07-26 03:41:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xdf3e6c…
07-26 03:40:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x62aa1d…
07-26 03:28:15	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x9eddce…
07-26 03:28:13	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x9c2924…
07-25 23:22:34	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xf944d5…
07-25 23:22:30	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x5029ca…
07-25 12:10:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	Yes	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xeb532a…
07-25 12:10:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x612a7d…
07-25 10:34:13	ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt51	Yes	SELL	44	90¢	$39	0x996263…
07-25 10:34:13	ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt51	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x7c394e…
07-25 10:34:09	ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt51	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x9e025d…
07-25 08:37:49	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x66d005…
07-25 08:37:45	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x1546b5…
07-24 14:05:19	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x687008…
07-24 14:05:16	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x3f3d4c…
07-24 11:15:48	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x1942a8…
07-24 11:15:45	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xacd776…
07-24 01:54:42	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x1c057b…
07-24 01:54:39	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xd7361f…
07-23 16:58:01	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xb8cd7c…
07-23 16:58:00	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x5a309f…
07-23 11:19:49	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x111bd4…
07-23 11:19:46	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x1e52d8…
07-22 08:56:00	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x907c77…
07-22 08:50:57	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	Yes	SELL	45	83¢	$37	0xd9bda4…
07-22 08:50:54	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x33f988…
07-22 06:10:28	Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xba9f6c…
07-22 06:10:22	Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x3e2115…
07-22 05:44:49	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x078c0a…
07-22 05:44:48	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x7fed04…