(anonymous) 0x7afb23…4b61ea
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.52K
Unrealized P&L
-$464
Hit rate
58.4%
Resolved
332
Trades
1,596
lifetime
Volume
$121.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$76
Open exposure
$2.45K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-12 01:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Other
86% 48% +$3,543
Politics
7% 42% -$1,419
Tech
3% 64% +$605
Sports
2% 60% -$267
Crypto
1% 50% +$60
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +1,058 $530 90¢ $947 +$416 08-10 17:35
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,100 $230 23¢ $256 +$26 09-02 18:04
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +400 $138 43¢ $172 +$34 09-11 10:16
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +170 $107 98¢ $166 +$59 08-13 02:51
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +160 $101 80¢ $129 +$28 08-13 02:40
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +200 $92 49¢ $98 +$6 08-07 21:14
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +100 $67 94¢ $94 +$27 08-05 10:13
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $75 23¢ $93 +$18 08-05 13:42
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +100 $29 76¢ $76 +$47 08-30 08:08
will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923 No +120 $53 58¢ $70 +$17 08-14 02:32
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +600 $180 11¢ $66 -$114 09-07 09:09
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +200 $72 27¢ $54 -$18 08-19 03:53
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +80 $44 68¢ $54 +$10 08-26 11:20
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +100 $69 52¢ $52 -$18 08-11 00:08
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +40 $28 84¢ $34 +$5 08-12 05:02
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +850 $106 4¢ $31 -$75 09-13 13:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +200 $70 12¢ $23 -$47 08-19 08:23
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +149 $51 12¢ $17 -$34 08-09 13:14
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? Yes +1,921 $603 0¢ $5 -$598 09-07 12:30
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +5 -$30 93¢ $5 +$35 08-13 01:38
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31 Yes +72 $7 4¢ $3 -$4 08-14 09:12
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +22 $2 6¢ $1 $0 08-12 16:41
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? Yes +252 $174 0¢ $1 -$173 08-27 08:47
us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31 Yes +25 $12 4¢ $1 -$11 08-28 04:33
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +221 $1 0¢ $1 $0 08-26 15:34
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +98 $101 0¢ $0 -$101 08-29 04:08