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whale
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$396
Unrealized P&L
+$369
Hit rate
55.4%
Resolved (7d)
10
Trades (7d)
0
1,596 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$121.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$76
Open exposure
$2.54K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-12 01:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Other
86% 48% +$3,376
Politics
7% 48% -$1,233
Tech
3% 69% +$793
Sports
2% 60% -$267
Crypto
1% 50% +$60
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$603
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +1,058 $530 88¢ $931 +$401 08-10 17:35
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,100 $230 28¢ $308 +$78 09-02 18:04
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $75 70¢ $282 +$207 08-05 13:42
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +400 $138 43¢ $171 +$33 09-11 10:16
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +160 $101 88¢ $141 +$40 08-13 02:40
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +200 $92 58¢ $117 +$25 08-07 21:14
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +100 $67 96¢ $96 +$30 08-05 10:13
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495 No +100 $38 88¢ $88 +$50 08-08 07:42
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +100 $29 88¢ $88 +$58 08-30 08:08
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +200 $72 29¢ $57 -$15 08-19 03:53
will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923 No +120 $53 35¢ $42 -$11 08-14 02:32
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +100 $69 40¢ $40 -$28 08-11 00:08
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? Yes +700 $114 6¢ $40 -$74 09-10 23:41
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +600 $180 6¢ $39 -$141 09-07 09:09
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +850 $106 3¢ $26 -$80 09-13 13:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +200 $70 11¢ $21 -$49 08-19 08:23
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +20 $14 87¢ $17 +$3 08-07 02:47
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +149 $51 11¢ $16 -$34 08-09 13:14
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +5 -$30 94¢ $5 +$35 08-13 01:38
will catherine cortez masto vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926660 Yes +60 $23 7¢ $4 -$19 08-11 06:38
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31 Yes +72 $7 4¢ $3 -$5 08-14 09:12
lisa cook out as fed governor by december 31 20260807204638266 Yes — +20 $3 6¢ $1 -$1 08-08 09:20
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +60 $20 2¢ $1 -$19 08-15 00:39
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +22 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 08-12 16:41
us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31 Yes +25 $12 1¢ $0 -$11 08-28 04:33
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +221 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-26 15:34
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +98 $101 0¢ $0 -$101 08-29 04:08