(anonymous) 0x7afb23…4b61ea Create alert
whale cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$1.93K
Unrealized P&L
+$712
Hit rate
51.4%
Resolved (90d)
117
Trades (90d)
256
1,585 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$15.3K
$121.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$76
Open exposure
$3.12K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-13 14:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Other
86% 48% +$3,170
Politics
7% 48% -$1,233
Tech
3% 69% +$793
Sports
2% 60% -$267
Crypto
1% 50% +$60
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$603
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +1,058 $530 94¢ $994 +$464 08-10 17:35
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,100 $230 61¢ $674 +$444 09-02 18:04
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +400 $138 47¢ $189 +$51 09-11 10:16
Will Jensen Huang be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +300 $195 57¢ $172 -$22 11-13 14:29
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +160 $101 84¢ $135 +$34 08-13 02:40
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +200 $92 52¢ $105 +$13 08-07 21:14
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +100 $67 98¢ $98 +$31 08-05 10:13
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +100 $29 94¢ $94 +$64 08-30 08:08
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495 No +100 $38 92¢ $92 +$54 08-08 07:42
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +100 -$132 91¢ $91 +$224 11-09 05:55
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +122 $50 62¢ $76 +$27 08-30 08:08
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +181 $100 40¢ $72 -$28 08-15 07:09
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? Yes +700 $114 10¢ $69 -$45 09-10 23:41
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +100 $69 58¢ $58 -$11 08-11 00:08
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +200 $72 24¢ $49 -$23 08-19 03:53
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? Yes +276 $159 15¢ $41 -$117 09-04 02:57
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +600 $180 6¢ $39 -$141 09-07 09:09
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +850 $106 2¢ $15 -$90 09-13 13:29
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +20 $14 66¢ $13 -$1 08-07 02:47
will hyperliquid dip to 30 by december 31 2026 from june 8 794 Yes +476 $100 2¢ $12 -$88 07-17 07:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +200 $70 6¢ $11 -$59 08-19 08:23
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +149 $51 6¢ $10 -$41 08-09 13:14
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +5 -$30 96¢ $5 +$35 08-13 01:38
will catherine cortez masto vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926660 Yes +60 $23 3¢ $2 -$22 08-11 06:38
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31 Yes +72 $7 2¢ $2 -$6 08-14 09:12
lisa cook out as fed governor by december 31 20260807204638266 Yes +20 $3 3¢ $1 -$2 08-08 09:20
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +22 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 08-12 16:41
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +221 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-26 15:34
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +60 $20 0¢ $0 -$20 08-15 00:39
us canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by october 31 Yes +25 $12 0¢ $0 -$12 08-28 04:33