Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$405
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
285
lifetime
Volume
$51.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$180
Open exposure
$2.48K
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 06-24 07:47
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
58%
Sports
22%
Politics
13%
Tech
7%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +1,693 $1,331 100¢ $1.7K +$357 06-22 01:05
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No +490 $478 100¢ $488 +$10 06-19 17:18
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +200 $170 100¢ $200 +$30 06-19 18:22
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +100 $79 88¢ $88 +$8 06-12 10:53
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 95¢ $19 +$0 06-01 17:05