Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.01K

Unrealized P&L

-$834

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

Trades

672

lifetime

Volume

$94.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$140

Open exposure

$3.81K

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-24 03:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

53% 58% +$2,994

Politics

19% 83% +$2,246

Tech

16% 50% -$492

Sports

12% 17% -$1,743

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,000	$630	68¢	$675	+$45	10-14 04:15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+643	$406	97¢	$621	+$215	10-02 18:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,000	$630	55¢	$545	-$85	10-04 22:48
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+600	$396	66¢	$393	-$3	10-22 08:31
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	No	+531	$260	66¢	$351	+$91	08-13 20:09
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+500	$315	66¢	$332	+$18	10-20 18:51
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	+300	$249	86¢	$256	+$8	08-31 01:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+1,800	$647	12¢	$207	-$440	09-10 05:58
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$130	12¢	$125	-$5	10-05 00:57
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	+210	$130	60¢	$125	-$5	09-18 03:10
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	No	+220	$73	37¢	$82	+$9	08-13 20:10
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	+1,030	$92	6¢	$59	-$33	10-24 03:21
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	+400	$244	6¢	$26	-$218	08-05 13:46
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	+481	$87	1¢	$6	-$80	10-13 22:37
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+500	$355	1¢	$5	-$350	10-21 13:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	13	$8.5K	21,368	4,611	+16,757	No	-$514	02-17 19:34
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	22	$7.4K	5,802	2,669	+3,133	Yes	+$823	02-24 23:02
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	9	$2.9K	4,053	0	+4,053	Yes	+$1,190	01-22 21:09
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	34	$2.8K	4,290	0	+4,290	Yes	+$1,512	01-26 09:39
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?	16	$2.3K	2,136	2,136	+0	Yes	+$1,490	09-03 03:51
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 700k 862	8	$2.3K	2,551	0	+2,551	Yes	+$254	02-10 15:24
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	4	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$60	06-19 22:13
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	08-25 03:16
will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	19	$1.9K	1,700	1,700	+0	Yes	-$233	02-17 17:41
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	6	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	09-05 11:53
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 8	4	$1.8K	2,843	0	+2,843	Yes	-$830	03-08 05:07
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.7K	2,020	0	+2,020	open	—	09-02 22:26
will the state of the union be 120 minutes or longer 132	3	$1.6K	2,633	0	+2,633	No	+$995	02-25 00:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$1.5K	900	900	+0	open	—	09-01 15:41
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	13	$1.5K	1,600	1,000	+600	No	-$317	10-14 05:52
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	8	$1.5K	1,422	1,422	+0	Yes	+$807	09-02 16:54
will the next claude opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20261231	10	$1.4K	1,367	424	+943	No	+$269	09-23 12:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	16	$1.4K	3,057	1,257	+1,800	open	—	09-10 05:58
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	8	$1.4K	1,077	1,077	+0	Yes	-$71	01-30 04:03
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	9	$1.3K	2,224	0	+2,224	open	—	10-12 17:49
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	5	$1.3K	1,693	0	+1,693	No	+$362	06-22 01:05
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	10	$1.3K	699	699	+0	Yes	+$12	08-29 07:18
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	20	$1.3K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$756	04-21 05:03
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	5	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$362	09-02 16:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	3	$1.2K	720	720	+0	Yes	+$256	03-30 22:40
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	19	$1.2K	9,179	4,000	+5,179	No	+$43	04-25 13:53
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	12	$1.1K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$550	06-19 05:27
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$1.1K	1,643	0	+1,643	No	-$1,134	02-10 04:45
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	09-14 18:44
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	4	$1.1K	600	600	+0	Yes	+$72	08-11 01:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 03:21:27	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x0f1183…
10-23 23:58:23	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0xcb227f…
10-23 19:20:05	Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xe07e2c…
10-23 19:20:03	Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xbe505c…
10-23 19:19:48	Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x191762…
10-23 19:19:47	Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	13¢	$29	0xe717a0…
10-22 08:31:23	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	220	66¢	$145	0xb46317…
10-22 08:19:33	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x9d37c6…
10-22 08:19:23	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	59	66¢	$39	0x0f2444…
10-22 08:08:17	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x56caa0…
10-22 07:36:59	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x88a942…
10-22 07:23:36	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf86880…
10-22 06:52:51	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	51	66¢	$34	0x2da826…
10-22 06:22:35	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x55d547…
10-22 06:21:56	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb81caf…
10-22 06:19:02	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xfcf2f4…
10-22 06:18:59	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	249	66¢	$164	0xdac812…
10-21 13:14:48	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0xf1ed85…
10-20 18:51:24	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	500	63¢	$315	0x1e0c82…
10-15 15:28:55	Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	500	65¢	$325	0x2d024b…
10-15 15:27:46	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	40¢	$240	0xd8405c…
10-14 05:52:13	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	600	86¢	$515	0x70daa3…
10-14 04:15:23	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	63¢	$630	0x65ffec…
10-13 22:37:48	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x86905f…
10-13 21:21:22	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xdb05ba…
10-13 21:21:22	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xa23ae7…
10-13 20:25:45	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x792e38…
10-13 18:47:33	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	360	18¢	$65	0x2f581c…
10-13 18:40:03	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0xc4fa85…
10-13 18:10:00	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x7f44e1…
10-12 17:49:41	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	1,212	80¢	$970	0xf5cbe3…
10-12 01:33:09	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	90	80¢	$72	0xafcadc…
10-10 17:49:28	Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	No	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0xef4da5…
10-10 17:49:00	Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	No	BUY	260	10¢	$26	0x8a6562…
10-10 11:29:30	Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?	No	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x646cd1…
10-10 08:30:25	Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$27	0x369516…
10-10 08:27:49	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	603	45¢	$271	0x99c2f1…
10-09 07:32:18	Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?	No	BUY	31	55¢	$17	0xed943d…
10-08 18:53:12	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	175	80¢	$140	0xb1486c…
10-07 15:52:50	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x05ab82…
10-07 12:50:53	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xf96a4b…
10-06 13:49:57	Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xc4408c…
10-05 21:04:20	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	88	45¢	$40	0x0b82e2…
10-05 00:57:59	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0x9327d4…
10-04 22:48:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,000	63¢	$630	0x38d03e…
10-03 22:28:55	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x838530…
10-03 22:28:53	Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	BUY	302	45¢	$136	0xd26b76…
10-03 19:58:55	Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x30817b…
10-03 03:30:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	947	58¢	$549	0x365945…
10-03 03:29:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0xe4935f…
10-03 03:19:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	39	58¢	$23	0xe3b21f…
10-02 20:40:21	Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	No	BUY	271	12¢	$33	0x36f8bb…
10-02 18:40:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	281	62¢	$174	0x99b50f…
10-02 18:10:45	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0xe7a4f3…
10-02 17:03:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	343	64¢	$220	0x8d013c…
10-02 08:56:54	Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	No	SELL	23	97¢	$23	0x247443…
10-01 12:56:02	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	No	SELL	383	18¢	$69	0xf22a8b…
10-01 12:56:02	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	115	83¢	$95	0xf22a8b…
10-01 12:56:02	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	No	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x1acf05…
09-29 11:20:59	Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xe4f3a4…
09-29 11:20:57	Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x69bb48…
09-28 12:57:00	Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$21	0x72cc76…
09-26 04:59:24	Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0xb10ff3…
09-24 06:32:32	Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?	No	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0xab33aa…
09-24 06:32:30	Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?	No	BUY	35	55¢	$20	0x8382db…
09-23 17:15:56	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	93	30¢	$28	0x594cac…
09-23 15:35:08	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	30¢	$21	0xc2c45a…
09-23 14:22:49	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	152	30¢	$46	0xc90cea…
09-23 14:18:49	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x932eba…
09-23 14:11:10	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	76	30¢	$23	0x8a4fdc…
09-23 14:11:08	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	30¢	$26	0xb301a3…
09-23 13:10:14	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	363	30¢	$109	0x6b89ac…
09-23 13:07:17	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xfda962…
09-23 13:06:37	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x4c9e1d…
09-23 12:45:50	will the next claude opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20261231	No	SELL	39	90¢	$35	0xc1a6f1…
09-23 12:45:37	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	30¢	$14	0x71b7d6…
09-23 12:42:56	will the next claude opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20261231	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xabd544…
09-23 12:41:19	will the next claude opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20261231	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x914ff7…
09-23 12:41:16	will the next claude opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20261231	No	SELL	56	90¢	$51	0xdd9798…
09-23 12:41:16	will the next claude opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20261231	No	SELL	90	90¢	$81	0x1e27f4…
09-23 12:02:08	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	900	18¢	$162	0x6f46af…
09-23 08:09:01	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x5128d0…
09-23 08:08:44	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xbe2f9f…
09-23 06:57:31	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	72	30¢	$22	0x4bed9c…
09-23 04:30:17	Will Claire Rattée win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	BUY	42	90¢	$38	0xd3913f…
09-22 22:20:11	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	139	90¢	$125	0xf1fa8b…
09-22 20:27:12	Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x1b612e…
09-22 19:12:22	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	329	20¢	$66	0xf0284a…
09-22 19:08:27	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	738	59¢	$433	0xe7866a…
09-22 18:11:07	Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	No	SELL	94	97¢	$91	0xe111a8…
09-21 12:04:30	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	15	83¢	$13	0xe4c371…
09-21 12:04:30	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xc2a09c…
09-21 01:18:56	Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	62	83¢	$51	0xb1170b…
09-19 07:23:42	Will Tom Holland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x97c4d2…
09-19 07:15:54	Will Conor McGregor rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0x6a1c41…
09-19 02:41:21	Will Lamine Yamal be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x86a9e3…
09-19 02:38:49	Will Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x8e8d86…
09-19 02:38:34	Will Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x114a60…
09-18 03:10:34	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	210	62¢	$130	0xc00670…
09-17 16:09:21	Will Conor McGregor rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?	Yes	BUY	292	27¢	$79	0xa189d2…