Realized P&L
+$707
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
57.3%
Resolved
14,036
Trades
22,749
lifetime
Volume
$83.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$59
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 10-27 20:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 207 days
Categories
Other
58% 59% +$1,482
Crypto
19% 52% -$302
Politics
13% 60% -$406
Sports
10% 50% -$70
Tech
0% 69% +$4
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 238 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 07-01 10:51
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$0 07-08 02:05
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +5 $2 80¢ $4 +$2 07-11 02:48
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +5 $2 80¢ $4 +$2 09-25 16:22
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +4 $3 93¢ $4 +$1 10-21 04:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +3 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-24 18:36
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +3 $1 80¢ $2 +$1 08-15 16:38
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +2 $1 90¢ $2 +$1 10-10 08:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +6 $2 36¢ $2 $0 10-03 18:57
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$1 10-02 11:37
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$1 10-23 19:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3 $2 64¢ $2 $0 10-26 17:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$1 07-31 21:34
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? Yes +5 $2 31¢ $2 $0 10-10 12:09
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +3 $2 56¢ $2 $0 09-10 18:22
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +3 $2 55¢ $2 $0 10-10 12:09
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? No +3 $1 51¢ $2 +$1 09-11 12:09
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Over +4 $2 36¢ $1 -$1 10-10 12:09
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 09-25 05:38
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 08-22 15:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +2 $1 73¢ $1 +$0 09-24 10:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +2 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 09-11 11:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-17 00:14
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 08-01 01:47
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +1 $1 81¢ $1 +$0 09-18 18:08
US recession by end of 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 09-15 20:54
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 10-26 09:45
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 38¢ $1 +$0 09-01 07:20
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-23 02:39
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 08-10 23:07