Realized P&L (30d)
+$177
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
66.9%
Resolved (30d)
2,625
Trades (30d)
3,301
22,885 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$8.03K
$84.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$63
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 10-29 22:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 209 days
Categories
Other
59% 59% +$1,526
Crypto
19% 52% -$302
Politics
13% 60% -$406
Sports
9% 50% -$70
Tech
0% 69% +$4
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 238 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 07-01 10:51
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 07-08 02:05
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +5 $2 81¢ $4 +$2 07-11 02:48
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +5 $2 80¢ $4 +$2 09-25 16:22
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +4 $3 95¢ $4 +$1 10-21 04:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4 $3 57¢ $2 -$1 10-27 23:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +3 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 10-24 18:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +6 $2 43¢ $2 +$0 10-03 18:57
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$1 10-27 20:09
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +3 $1 84¢ $2 +$1 08-15 16:38
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +2 $1 92¢ $2 +$1 10-10 08:13
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +3 $2 60¢ $2 $0 10-29 20:25
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$1 10-23 19:29
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +3 $2 59¢ $2 $0 10-29 17:34
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +2 $1 97¢ $2 +$1 10-02 11:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$1 07-31 21:34
Panthers vs. Packers Packers — +3 $1 64¢ $2 +$1 10-18 13:27
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? Yes +5 $2 30¢ $2 $0 10-10 12:09
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +3 $2 54¢ $2 $0 10-10 12:09
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? No +3 $1 48¢ $2 +$1 09-11 12:09
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Over +4 $2 38¢ $1 -$1 10-10 12:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +2 $1 77¢ $1 +$0 09-24 10:17
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 08-22 15:11
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-25 05:38
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 07-31 00:18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 10-28 17:08
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1 $1 91¢ $1 +$0 08-01 01:47
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 09-18 18:08
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-28 00:19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-22 12:39