Chilly-Heroine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.0%

Resolved

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$2.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-15 05:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

77% — —

Sports

14% 50% $-9

Crypto

7% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$1.8K	2,273	2,273	+0	open	—	04-07 22:53
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	9	$227	490	500	-10	open	—	04-27 17:49
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	2	$118	94	94	+0	open	—	06-15 05:05
Pistons vs. Magic	5	$109	1,094	92	+1,002	open	—	04-28 02:55
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$90	56	56	+0	open	—	04-24 07:07
Bruins vs. Sabres	3	$66	94	72	+22	open	—	04-29 01:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$60	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	04-22 07:39
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$42	33	33	+0	Cavaliers	+$24	05-14 03:07
dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	8	$39	218	215	+3	open	—	04-24 10:28
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	4	$33	235	0	+235	Cavaliers	$-33	05-09 20:55
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	2	$30	462	462	+0	open	—	04-27 17:50
btc updown 5m 1776684000	2	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	04-20 11:21
btc updown 5m 1776580500	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	04-19 06:39
btc updown 5m 1776579900	2	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	04-19 06:29
btc updown 5m 1776576900	2	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-19 05:39
btc updown 5m 1776579000	2	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	04-19 06:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$20	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-28 01:07
btc updown 5m 1776577200	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-19 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$18	14	13	+1	open	—	04-26 17:24
Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	2	$16	457	457	+0	open	—	04-27 17:50
Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?	2	$13	271	271	+0	open	—	04-27 17:50
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	1	$11	34	0	+34	open	—	02-08 23:38
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$10	149	0	+149	open	—	03-02 09:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-27 05:43
mlb phi sf 2026 04 06	15	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	04-07 04:10
lol nsea dnsc 2026 04 24	1	$7	69	0	+69	open	—	04-24 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	6	$7	12	12	+1	open	—	04-27 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$6	16	15	+1	open	—	04-26 17:30
will progressive run an ad during super bowl lx	1	$5	63	0	+63	open	—	02-08 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	05-16 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 05:05:27	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0xb320b8…
06-15 04:46:37	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	94	26¢	$24	0x6450ae…
05-16 14:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x180066…
05-14 03:07:34	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xbdd410…
05-14 01:37:10	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0x43b600…
05-09 20:55:35	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xbd9128…
05-09 20:54:17	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x6fd1ee…
05-09 20:53:00	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x71ee3e…
05-09 20:51:06	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x7d3bc2…
04-29 05:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xce0402…
04-29 05:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x5eb75f…
04-29 05:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x391e48…
04-29 04:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x639178…
04-29 04:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2c7e0c…
04-29 04:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdb248e…
04-29 04:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xbb473f…
04-29 01:15:40	Bruins vs. Sabres	Bruins	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x55416d…
04-28 02:55:54	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x15868a…
04-28 02:55:18	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xc33bce…
04-28 01:18:12	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	45	48¢	$22	0xb7e137…
04-28 01:17:22	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	SELL	48	46¢	$22	0xd22031…
04-28 01:15:52	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x9d85e2…
04-28 01:07:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x8632d9…
04-27 17:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3afa1b…
04-27 17:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd8b7ea…
04-27 17:50:38	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	457	0¢	$1	0x41bf50…
04-27 17:50:30	Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	271	0¢	$1	0x0b6bb3…
04-27 17:50:12	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	462	1¢	$5	0x6c6f80…
04-27 17:49:22	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	14¢	$70	0x74d3af…
04-27 05:44:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x55d02c…
04-27 05:43:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x1ac7be…
04-27 01:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe92a38…
04-27 01:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x70994e…
04-27 01:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x76c1c3…
04-27 01:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x5be779…
04-27 01:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf4df91…
04-27 01:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x25865c…
04-27 01:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x82f765…
04-27 01:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xb92838…
04-27 01:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x660fca…
04-27 01:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xcc3eb7…
04-26 22:16:20	Bruins vs. Sabres	Bruins	SELL	72	37¢	$27	0xfc35dc…
04-26 21:30:46	Bruins vs. Sabres	Bruins	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x7b0e67…
04-26 17:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xc01ff0…
04-26 17:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xbf8ca1…
04-26 17:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x272c6c…
04-26 17:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xba11cf…
04-25 16:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbbe686…
04-25 16:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xb84e2f…
04-25 03:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0cde36…
04-25 03:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x59e41a…
04-24 23:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5ab86f…
04-24 17:34:12	btc updown 5m 1777051800	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x2dc29c…
04-24 17:28:20	btc updown 5m 1777051500	Down	BUY	133	3¢	$4	0x3429ce…
04-24 10:28:28	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	SELL	215	0¢	$0	0x52f54f…
04-24 10:18:46	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x69ea9c…
04-24 10:12:18	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x2723ca…
04-24 10:10:32	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x5e5b79…
04-24 08:50:44	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x538772…
04-24 08:49:00	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x2242f0…
04-24 08:48:56	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0xa0e0aa…
04-24 08:05:02	dota2 sar1 heroic 2026 04 24	Heroic	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x1153c1…
04-24 07:27:54	lol nsea dnsc 2026 04 24	Nongshim Esports Academy	BUY	69	10¢	$7	0x638d7f…
04-24 07:07:26	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xe8a6e2…
04-22 07:39:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	1¢	$30	0xea6149…
04-22 01:35:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$30	0x0a2c65…
04-22 01:01:24	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	56	60¢	$34	0x00698c…
04-21 20:10:38	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	39¢	$11	0x4b8f42…
04-21 19:42:30	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe800d7…
04-21 19:40:10	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x72f827…
04-21 19:35:46	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x3e3911…
04-20 18:44:36	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	27¢	$30	0xd0ff2a…
04-20 11:36:26	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	36¢	$32	0x5b037b…
04-20 11:21:08	btc updown 5m 1776684000	Down	BUY	28	94¢	$27	0xdd39b5…
04-20 11:20:32	btc updown 5m 1776684000	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd9960d…
04-20 11:16:34	btc updown 5m 1776683700	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x47f328…
04-20 11:16:20	btc updown 5m 1776683700	Down	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xede024…
04-20 11:15:38	btc updown 5m 1776683700	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfdd1c8…
04-20 11:14:38	btc updown 5m 1776683400	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3e064e…
04-19 06:39:18	btc updown 5m 1776580500	Up	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x382494…
04-19 06:29:36	btc updown 5m 1776579900	Down	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x033447…
04-19 06:27:08	btc updown 5m 1776579900	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xab934a…
04-19 06:14:32	btc updown 5m 1776579000	Down	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x24336e…
04-19 06:14:00	btc updown 5m 1776579000	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x24c035…
04-19 05:44:34	btc updown 5m 1776577200	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb58015…
04-19 05:39:56	btc updown 5m 1776576900	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8dad66…
04-19 05:36:42	btc updown 5m 1776576900	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc7fad0…
04-19 05:22:08	btc updown 5m 1776576000	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa1f725…
04-18 13:11:54	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x50aa47…
04-17 00:58:38	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	39¢	$38	0x9f72df…
04-15 08:35:02	Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	271	4¢	$12	0x4c8e5d…
04-15 08:33:46	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	462	5¢	$25	0x34b345…
04-15 08:31:36	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	457	3¢	$15	0xee9c5b…
04-07 22:53:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	1,873	89¢	$1,670	0xddf7d4…
04-07 19:46:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	400	20¢	$80	0x96fbfa…
04-07 04:10:01	mlb phi sf 2026 04 06	San Francisco Giants	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x392df7…
04-07 04:09:59	mlb phi sf 2026 04 06	San Francisco Giants	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xe18074…
04-07 04:09:59	mlb phi sf 2026 04 06	San Francisco Giants	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x49514a…
04-07 04:07:01	mlb phi sf 2026 04 06	San Francisco Giants	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xe069a5…
04-07 04:06:51	mlb phi sf 2026 04 06	San Francisco Giants	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xeadde0…