Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$48
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
29
lifetime
Volume
$322
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$301
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 22:27
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
69%
Politics
28%
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? Yes -375 $-169 56¢ $-208 $-39 05-11 14:53
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +173 $24 12¢ $22 $-2 05-12 08:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +26 $15 51¢ $13 $-2 05-12 19:02
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes +27 $12 46¢ $12 +$0 05-12 20:27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? Yes +12 $11 91¢ $11 $-0 05-12 05:21
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May? Yes +8 $8 99¢ $8 +$0 05-12 20:27
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes +16 $6 38¢ $6 $-0 05-12 20:20
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +7 $6 80¢ $6 +$0 05-12 05:21
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes +6 $5 86¢ $5 $-0 05-12 05:21
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes +37 $8 12¢ $4 $-3 05-12 21:16
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13? Yes +6 $4 53¢ $3 $-1 05-12 12:07
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 14? Yes +8 $3 35¢ $3 $-0 05-12 22:27