Worse-Cruelty 0xb34b8c…5a5d0e
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Realized P&L
-$191
Unrealized P&L
+$498
Hit rate
67.9%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,528
lifetime
Volume
$29.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$1.75K
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 06-11 10:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
75% 40% +$69
Other
24% 0% $-260
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -2,026 $-1,231 38¢ $-760 +$471 06-11 01:47
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +340 $252 74¢ $251 $-1 06-07 08:53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -584 $-256 38¢ $-219 +$37 05-30 15:38
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +218 $113 74¢ $162 +$50 06-11 10:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +1,291 $170 11¢ $136 $-35 06-10 00:48
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +718 $101 12¢ $86 $-14 06-08 12:56
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +102 $56 50¢ $52 $-5 06-09 19:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -112 $-34 24¢ $-26 +$7 05-30 15:51
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? Yes +234 $40 11¢ $25 $-15 05-28 01:22
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +45 $17 44¢ $20 +$3 05-28 01:18
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? Yes +81 $7 9¢ $7 $-0 06-06 22:33
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? Yes -43 $-3 6¢ $-2 +$1 05-27 22:51