Realized P&L
-$191
Unrealized P&L
+$436
Hit rate
67.9%
Resolved
8
Trades
2,476
lifetime
Volume
$42.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$644
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 07-22 18:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
66% 40% +$69
Other
33% 0% $-260
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -332 $-349 74¢ $-244 +$105 07-05 16:48
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +1,280 $156 10¢ $122 $-35 07-20 14:53
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +860 $-23 11¢ $97 +$120 07-12 19:09
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +157 $77 38¢ $61 $-16 07-19 22:54
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes -689 $-41 $-44 $-3 07-21 19:16
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +123 $-14 26¢ $33 +$46 07-01 11:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +27 $-186 99¢ $27 +$213 07-07 12:04
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? Yes -60 $-8 18¢ $-11 $-3 07-15 21:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -8 $-9 33¢ $-3 +$6 07-20 01:56
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 07-06 12:19
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $-9 52¢ $1 +$10 06-19 20:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 $1 $-0 07-05 15:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +49 $8 $0 $-8 07-05 22:56