Realized P&L
+$357
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
99.8%
Resolved
12
Trades
11,323
lifetime
Volume
$806.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$71
Open exposure
$4.77K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-11 00:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
61% 86% +$53
Other
38% 80% +$304
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 843 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1,403 $1,273 91¢ $1.3K $-0 06-11 02:01
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Yes +1,207 $1,168 99¢ $1.2K +$22 06-11 03:27
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +445 $427 99¢ $439 +$12 06-10 17:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +592 $439 73¢ $432 $-7 06-11 01:29
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +502 $356 74¢ $374 +$18 06-10 23:58
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +360 $335 96¢ $344 +$9 06-06 19:49
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No +240 $236 98¢ $236 +$0 06-10 21:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +260 $196 66¢ $173 $-23 06-10 17:00
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +200 $174 68¢ $136 $-38 06-07 13:48
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +80 $79 99¢ $79 +$0 06-11 02:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +69 $19 29¢ $20 +$0 06-07 07:23
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +106 $16 17¢ $18 +$2 06-10 18:49
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +19 $16 86¢ $16 +$0 06-10 03:25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +112 $13 13¢ $15 +$2 06-11 00:40
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +440 $21 $14 $-7 06-10 15:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +20 $10 55¢ $11 +$1 06-03 16:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No +3 $1 42¢ $1 +$1 05-29 15:38