That-Macadamia 0x382518…5504e8
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$357
Unrealized P&L
+$133
Hit rate
99.8%
Resolved
12
Trades
13,590
lifetime
Volume
$830.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$4.03K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-04 18:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
60% 86% +$53
Other
38% 80% +$304
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 843 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1,503 $1,363 94¢ $1.4K +$49 06-11 20:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +749 $602 92¢ $685 +$83 06-27 13:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +692 $513 78¢ $543 +$30 06-11 21:08
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +260 $242 98¢ $256 +$13 07-02 17:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +200 $158 84¢ $167 +$9 07-01 12:14
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +185 $159 88¢ $162 +$3 07-02 06:11
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +174 $160 92¢ $161 +$1 07-04 10:49
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +300 $170 48¢ $142 $-28 06-25 06:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +217 $117 62¢ $134 +$16 06-22 13:25
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +80 $72 90¢ $72 $-0 07-04 02:51
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +80 $64 82¢ $66 +$2 07-04 19:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +40 $36 90¢ $36 +$0 07-03 18:57
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +138 $21 25¢ $34 +$13 06-11 14:52
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +40 $23 70¢ $28 +$5 06-24 16:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +40 $21 61¢ $24 +$3 06-11 20:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +89 $26 24¢ $21 $-5 06-16 11:05
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes +40 $20 50¢ $20 +$0 06-24 21:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +20 $18 94¢ $19 +$1 06-23 14:03
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +20 $17 87¢ $17 +$0 06-11 10:00
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $12 26¢ $11 $-1 07-02 13:40
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +20 $11 52¢ $10 $-1 07-04 09:40
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 07-01 14:58
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 06-11 17:00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +20 $3 3¢ $1 $-3 06-11 17:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +260 $32 0¢ $0 $-31 06-11 17:32
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +40 $27 0¢ $0 $-27 06-20 11:10