Lopsided-Promotion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

967

Trades

2,891

lifetime

Volume

$158.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 08-18 20:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 140 days

Categories

Other

47% 69% -$2,063

Politics

32% 66% -$2,932

Crypto

10% 53% -$1,119

Sports

9% 70% -$117

Tech

2% 88% +$63

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	18	$2.9K	5,538	290	+5,248	Yes	-$2,501	06-13 17:17
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	29	$2.5K	1,721	1,724	-3	Yes	+$35	06-10 10:24
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	9	$1.6K	2,166	2,166	+0	Yes	-$16	05-30 12:59
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	9	$1.4K	734	734	+0	No	+$3	06-01 21:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	18	$1.2K	738	611	+127	Yes	+$19	06-29 17:32
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	12	$1.2K	670	670	+0	No	+$2	06-01 22:54
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	13	$1.1K	572	572	+0	No	+$6	07-01 11:22
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	8	$1.1K	593	593	+0	No	+$21	06-01 22:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	9	$1.1K	607	607	+0	No	+$8	07-01 11:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	10	$1.1K	785	370	+415	No	+$46	05-31 03:07
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$1.1K	3,178	3,178	+0	Yes	+$16	07-15 02:09
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	5	$1.0K	569	569	+0	Yes	+$47	06-05 14:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.0K	548	548	+0	No	+$14	05-29 14:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	11	$984	533	533	+0	No	-$16	05-14 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:20 UTC	5	$969	1,707	1,419	+288	Down	+$457	08-03 02:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	10	$949	611	513	+98	No	-$7	06-27 02:50
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	7	$930	480	480	+0	No	+$16	06-01 02:59
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?	12	$907	647	338	+309	No	+$15	05-29 17:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	17	$903	465	465	+0	No	+$3	04-22 14:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:05 UTC	7	$888	710	583	+127	Down	+$15	08-03 03:09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	10	$866	508	508	+0	No	+$4	06-28 11:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 01:10 UTC	3	$854	661	661	+0	Down	+$454	08-03 01:14
atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	9	$840	437	437	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$12	06-05 15:44
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$819	2,385	2,359	+27	No	-$21	07-14 18:54
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	8	$813	487	487	+0	Matteo Arnaldi	+$13	06-02 00:30
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	12	$809	505	505	+0	No	-$11	06-29 16:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	10	$808	631	631	+0	No	-$67	04-30 19:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	4	$804	426	426	+0	No	+$4	06-03 02:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	12	$797	453	453	+0	No	-$23	05-29 16:35
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	10	$728	489	489	+0	No	+$2	07-01 03:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 20:13:51	spx up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	198	48¢	$95	0x490222…
08-18 20:13:10	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Down	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x8ec4fa…
08-18 14:24:55	spx up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	97	94¢	$91	0x7ce183…
08-18 14:01:30	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	No	SELL	116	78¢	$91	0xf037eb…
08-17 16:19:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	No	BUY	116	75¢	$87	0xdd7020…
08-12 23:36:34	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	No	BUY	87	95¢	$83	0x80bd4d…
08-04 00:29:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	284	35¢	$100	0x820e21…
08-04 00:29:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	142	71¢	$100	0x056ab2…
08-04 00:26:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0x91d4fa…
08-04 00:22:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	371	27¢	$100	0xeda4a2…
08-04 00:20:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xac0652…
08-04 00:15:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x624b04…
08-04 00:11:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0xd6114e…
08-04 00:10:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:05 UTC	Down	SELL	452	99¢	$447	0x52a65c…
08-04 00:09:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	194	51¢	$100	0x863de4…
08-04 00:09:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	230	44¢	$100	0x54bde5…
08-04 00:07:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x8362fb…
08-04 00:07:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x591494…
08-03 22:28:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xb5428e…
08-03 22:27:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x7bfb66…
08-03 22:27:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x18ef36…
08-03 22:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xfec5c3…
08-03 22:26:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xae8503…
08-03 22:23:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x96e8c5…
08-03 22:22:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x8d4cd5…
08-03 22:22:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x4b7cf1…
08-03 22:22:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xb6ed44…
08-03 22:21:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xd8ebdd…
08-03 22:06:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x31f0de…
08-03 22:06:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xbf2ba3…
08-03 22:06:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x83a676…
08-03 22:06:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	129	77¢	$100	0xa17151…
08-03 20:56:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	419	24¢	$100	0x789dd1…
08-03 20:55:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	247	40¢	$100	0x2e9da6…
08-03 20:54:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	102	17¢	$17	0xa27cde…
08-03 20:52:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x7e9fd3…
08-03 20:52:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x298123…
08-03 20:51:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x890a77…
08-03 20:50:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x0aaeca…
08-03 19:02:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	400	40¢	$160	0x6e01a7…
08-03 19:01:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xea87fc…
08-03 17:36:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 17:35 UTC	Up	SELL	197	70¢	$138	0xd9d3c2…
08-03 17:35:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	197	37¢	$73	0x7895fe…
08-03 17:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x16b3ea…
08-03 16:02:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xa0a2e3…
08-03 15:43:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:40 UTC	Down	SELL	214	97¢	$208	0xc15064…
08-03 15:43:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xd9175b…
08-03 15:43:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x24919c…
08-03 15:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x2f3ac3…
08-03 15:43:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x57f8c8…
08-03 15:42:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x852580…
08-03 15:42:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x3e3c05…
08-03 15:42:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xf29bd8…
08-03 15:42:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x71a309…
08-03 14:05:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x07df01…
08-03 13:57:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x4d2f1f…
08-03 12:00:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xcb9b1f…
08-03 11:56:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xc35980…
08-03 11:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x1dfff2…
08-03 11:25:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x8b221b…
08-03 11:23:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	396	6¢	$25	0xc2cabb…
08-03 11:11:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x11f910…
08-03 11:08:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x7cb07d…
08-03 03:38:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:35 UTC	Down	SELL	470	82¢	$385	0x2aae3b…
08-03 03:37:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	149	43¢	$64	0x9827d5…
08-03 03:36:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	155	64¢	$100	0x9cd22b…
08-03 03:35:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0xdf0ea4…
08-03 03:33:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xe3f6a1…
08-03 03:33:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:30 UTC	Down	SELL	181	75¢	$136	0x45d644…
08-03 03:32:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x6c15d4…
08-03 03:31:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x7f76bc…
08-03 03:29:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x735bdd…
08-03 03:28:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x39eddd…
08-03 03:26:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x0ebd33…
08-03 03:11:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	241	41¢	$100	0x204c49…
08-03 03:10:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	229	44¢	$100	0x01e252…
08-03 03:09:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x1b17ee…
08-03 03:08:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:05 UTC	Up	SELL	172	16¢	$27	0x8c45ad…
08-03 03:08:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:05 UTC	Down	SELL	411	88¢	$361	0xfa3721…
08-03 03:07:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xfd580a…
08-03 03:07:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x5a0629…
08-03 03:07:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0x36139b…
08-03 03:06:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xfd78c8…
08-03 02:45:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0xba0491…
08-03 02:36:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	207	48¢	$100	0x941d09…
08-03 02:28:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:25 UTC	Down	SELL	138	99¢	$137	0xbcfeb5…
08-03 02:27:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0xa5b92a…
08-03 02:26:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:25 UTC	Down	SELL	400	59¢	$237	0xf03391…
08-03 02:25:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x77a355…
08-03 02:25:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xe2d4c8…
08-03 02:23:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1,419	40¢	$569	0x585974…
08-03 02:23:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	448	22¢	$100	0x538f6c…
08-03 02:22:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	398	25¢	$100	0xef785c…
08-03 02:22:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	398	25¢	$100	0x953450…
08-03 02:22:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	463	22¢	$100	0x80d815…
08-03 02:19:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	795	13¢	$100	0x50333d…
08-03 02:17:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	219	46¢	$100	0x51d01e…
08-03 02:15:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:10 UTC	Up	SELL	208	99¢	$206	0x71c985…
08-03 02:11:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x7166e0…
08-03 02:08:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	240	9¢	$22	0xde4b54…