Realized P&L
-$409
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
60.8%
Resolved
1,536
Trades
3,677
lifetime
Volume
$10.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$9
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 11-12 23:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 132 days
Categories
Other
36% 48% -$236
Politics
25% 47% -$5
Sports
21% 51% -$98
Crypto
18% 84% -$64
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$5
Tech
0% 40% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +12 $3 17¢ $2 -$1 09-19 19:37
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +8 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 09-24 07:10
Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A? Yes +5 $3 15¢ $1 -$3 07-22 23:50
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +10 $1 8¢ $1 $0 09-28 22:30
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 $0 09-15 08:52
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +8 $1 6¢ $1 -$1 09-25 15:06
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? Yes +9 $1 6¢ $1 -$1 09-14 08:11
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? No +5 $2 8¢ $0 -$1 07-11 21:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +15 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 09-13 08:11
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? No +5 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-11 21:06
Iran leadership change by November 30? Yes +12 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 09-11 21:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +9 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 09-18 03:22
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +10 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 09-23 09:56
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +5 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 07-18 22:11
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 06-22 14:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 06-19 10:15
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +0 -$1 88¢ $0 +$1 09-10 12:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +0 $0 57¢ $0 +$0 09-17 22:56
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 $0 32¢ $0 $0 06-18 21:16
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? Yes +0 $0 20¢ $0 +$0 09-14 08:10
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 17¢ $0 +$0 09-11 10:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 11¢ $0 $0 06-18 21:16
Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +0 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 09-20 14:36
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +0 $0 10¢ $0 +$0 09-10 19:18
Iran coup attempt by December 31? Yes +0 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 09-11 00:45
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? Yes +0 $0 7¢ $0 $0 09-22 22:48
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +0 $0 7¢ $0 +$0 09-14 18:08
Will Gears of War: E-Day win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +0 $0 7¢ $0 +$0 09-20 22:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +0 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 06-22 06:08
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes +0 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 06-22 08:12