Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
1,166
lifetime
Volume
$3.20K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$5
28 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 06-30 18:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
33%
Crypto
28% 0% $-1
Other
27%
Sports
12%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -10 $-1 18¢ $-2 $-0 06-19 10:15
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -6 $-1 18¢ $-1 $-0 06-19 19:45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -15 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-19 20:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -153 $-9 $-0 +$9 06-18 21:30
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +139 $16 $0 $-15 06-19 03:08
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes -19 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-19 18:53
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes -138 $3 $-0 $-4 06-18 21:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 43¢ $0 +$0 06-18 21:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +0 $2 15¢ $0 $-2 06-20 14:23
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +0 $-0 26¢ $0 +$0 06-22 14:20
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 12¢ $0 +$0 06-22 22:48
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 12¢ $0 +$0 06-22 16:07
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes +0 $-0 12¢ $0 +$0 06-22 08:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 14¢ $0 +$0 06-20 21:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +0 $-0 12¢ $0 +$0 06-20 14:02
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 06-20 09:25
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 06-23 14:48
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 06-22 05:29
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 06-20 01:46
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +0 $0 10¢ $0 $-0 06-23 09:29
Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-19 22:49
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 06-20 14:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-20 03:14
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 06-19 08:39
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 06-22 09:45
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-18 16:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-20 08:09
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +0 $-1 $0 +$1 06-18 21:16