Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
1,640
lifetime
Volume
$4.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$10
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 07-21 12:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
36%
Politics
23%
Sports
21%
Crypto
20% 0% $-1
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -10 $-1 46¢ $-5 $-3 06-19 10:15
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? No +5 $2 26¢ $1 $-0 07-11 21:06
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? No +5 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 07-11 21:06
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -15 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-19 20:07
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -6 $-1 16¢ $-1 $-0 06-19 19:45
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 07-18 22:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 36¢ $0 +$0 06-18 21:16
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +0 $-0 21¢ $0 +$0 06-22 14:20
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 12¢ $0 +$0 06-22 22:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +0 $-0 12¢ $0 +$0 06-20 14:02
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes +0 $-0 10¢ $0 +$0 06-22 08:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-20 21:57
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 06-22 05:29
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-22 16:07
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +0 $0 10¢ $0 $-0 06-23 09:29