Distant-Essay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

19.7%

Resolved

Trades

724

lifetime

Volume

$1.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-04 23:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

87% 21% $-8

Politics

13% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	Yes		+36	$5	12¢	$5	$-0	06-03 22:31
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes		+13	$4	33¢	$4	+$0	05-29 18:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ukraine re enter huliaipole by march 31	8	$216	3,637	0	+3,637	open	—	03-05 21:59
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	3	$46	858	0	+858	open	—	05-23 18:16
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?	1	$20	61	0	+61	open	—	05-31 17:39
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	1	$20	65	0	+65	open	—	01-13 01:13
will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	2	$15	81	0	+81	open	—	03-07 23:17
will russia capture rodynske by february 28	1	$15	34	0	+34	open	—	01-13 01:16
will russia enter sofiivka by january 31	1	$15	32	0	+32	open	—	01-13 03:23
will russia enter zaliznychne by january 31	1	$15	35	0	+35	open	—	01-13 01:16
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by january 31 2026 147	1	$10	45	0	+45	open	—	01-13 01:14
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30?	1	$10	48	0	+48	open	—	05-31 17:43
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	1	$9	26	0	+26	open	—	03-28 18:49
lib ohi bah 2026 02 18 bah	2	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	02-18 22:03
cdr ala rso 2026 02 04 ala	4	$6	20	0	+20	open	—	02-04 06:30
will russia enter orikhiv by march 31	2	$6	30	30	+0	open	—	03-05 17:38
will russia enter toretske by february 28	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	01-31 14:29
bun hof uni 2026 01 31 hof	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	01-31 06:24
will russia capture hryshyne by march 15 2026 338	1	$5	31	0	+31	open	—	03-11 05:18
will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	1	$5	27	0	+27	open	—	01-13 01:15
will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	1	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	06-04 23:40
ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 rma1	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	02-25 20:54
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	03-22 22:06
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by April 30?	1	$5	193	0	+193	open	—	04-18 20:20
sea cag ver 2026 01 31 cag	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	01-31 18:46
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	1	$5	36	0	+36	open	—	06-03 22:31
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	01-25 22:04
will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	03-13 19:15
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	2	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	03-10 21:02
will russia capture all of ternuvate by february 28 2026	1	$5	30	0	+30	open	—	02-07 18:07
lal lev vil 2025 12 14 lev	2	$5	9	9	+0	open	—	01-23 23:00
sea tor par 2026 03 13 par	2	$5	23	0	+23	open	—	03-13 19:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 23:40:48	will russia capture huliaipilske by june 30	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xa0475c…
06-03 22:31:46	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe2ae6d…
05-31 17:43:09	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xd798a2…
05-31 17:39:16	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x4b688f…
05-29 18:52:49	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xf45972…
05-23 18:16:59	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	390	6¢	$25	0xa31fd6…
05-22 20:38:04	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	453	4¢	$20	0xc20640…
05-10 18:11:48	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x2a8e20…
05-10 18:09:30	Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)	Olympique Lyonnais	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x66f8f9…
05-10 15:01:24	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x6e4aa3…
05-10 04:43:27	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x33170e…
05-10 04:43:01	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x173445…
05-10 04:41:28	Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	CR Flamengo	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xe50de0…
05-09 20:17:40	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc9be71…
05-09 18:08:16	Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	Juventus FC	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd8ff68…
05-08 22:41:29	Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2cf494…
05-08 22:40:57	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6672f7…
05-08 18:11:24	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xac8da7…
05-07 23:19:44	Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	CR Flamengo	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xde3157…
05-07 15:50:54	Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9d10de…
05-06 23:43:14	Spread: CD Tolima (-1.5)	CD Tolima	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb210f7…
05-06 23:41:36	Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)	SC Corinthians Paulista	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbb2553…
05-06 23:41:01	Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)	CS Independiente Rivadavia	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xcc2e8c…
05-06 21:07:32	Spread: Club Bolívar (-1.5)	Club Bolívar	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x4ba5bb…
05-06 21:07:11	Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)	Estudiantes de La Plata	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x77542c…
05-06 19:36:57	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xc7ebc8…
05-05 23:38:42	Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)	Independiente del Valle	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x841a7b…
05-05 23:38:22	Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)	CA Boca Juniors	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7d7a53…
05-05 21:58:00	Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)	CA Rosario Central	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4b56b1…
05-04 18:54:22	Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xdc13e9…
05-04 18:35:28	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	AS Roma	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xde0762…
05-04 15:59:40	Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)	SS Lazio	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf8664e…
05-03 18:44:08	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0958e1…
05-03 18:43:40	Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)	Olympique Lyonnais	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x10200b…
05-03 16:05:48	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x98b3a3…
05-03 03:41:00	Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	AC Milan	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa874e4…
05-03 03:40:08	Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)	Getafe CF	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x39d26b…
05-02 21:00:56	Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)	Columbus Crew	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x172698…
05-02 16:38:10	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x00e6f4…
05-01 16:08:18	Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)	US Lecce	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xec58d5…
05-01 16:07:08	Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcbf20a…
05-01 16:06:28	Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)	Leeds United FC	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xea745b…
04-30 23:57:02	Spread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5)	Independiente Medellín	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe07b00…
04-30 23:56:40	Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)	SC Corinthians Paulista	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xaf74d5…
04-30 18:02:14	Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)	Crystal Palace FC	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x387913…
04-29 21:16:04	Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	CR Flamengo	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6daf01…
04-29 21:15:16	Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)	SE Palmeiras	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdb2240…
04-29 21:13:36	Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)	Club Always Ready	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xaf7064…
04-29 17:52:46	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb16237…
04-28 22:03:46	Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)	CA Rosario Central	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x693fe4…
04-28 22:03:06	Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)	CA Boca Juniors	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xba8f7a…
04-28 18:11:16	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x5a7bf0…
04-27 16:44:30	Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe9639b…
04-27 16:28:32	Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)	SS Lazio	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8150ea…
04-27 16:22:50	Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)	Atalanta BC	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3c182e…
04-26 22:26:40	Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4ddf0e…
04-26 18:09:42	Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x28d1e4…
04-26 18:07:42	Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)	Villarreal CF	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xeb75dc…
04-26 18:07:20	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xba918b…
04-26 15:46:48	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xaa7e7b…
04-26 15:46:04	Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)	CA Osasuna	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0e4e5b…
04-26 04:12:42	Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb43aad…
04-26 04:11:28	Spread: FC Lorient (-1.5)	FC Lorient	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x88569b…
04-26 04:09:46	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0ba8fb…
04-26 04:08:42	Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x649099…
04-26 04:07:22	Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdf57bf…
04-26 03:57:56	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5194f6…
04-26 03:56:48	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x950b23…
04-26 00:29:30	Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)	San Diego FC	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf76c47…
04-26 00:28:50	Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)	Nashville SC	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xac59de…
04-26 00:28:24	Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)	San Jose Earthquakes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4a5aef…
04-26 00:28:00	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe6153d…
04-26 00:26:22	Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)	Chicago Fire FC	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x277c72…
04-26 00:06:02	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe8c6e0…
04-25 22:57:34	Will New England Revolution win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x75f7a3…
04-25 22:54:40	Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)	Columbus Crew	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa0b27d…
04-25 22:54:08	Spread: D.C. United SC (-1.5)	D.C. United SC	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcc5bef…
04-25 20:51:10	Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x16fd98…
04-25 18:39:34	Will CF Montréal win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xba15e5…
04-25 18:37:48	Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1a36cc…
04-25 18:37:28	Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)	AS Monaco FC	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x1403c3…
04-25 18:37:00	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x94c286…
04-25 16:28:44	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6b521b…
04-25 16:28:22	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xaa69af…
04-25 15:00:16	Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc6a02a…
04-25 04:39:18	Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)	Olympique Lyonnais	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc44f60…
04-25 04:37:06	Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)	Parma Calcio 1913	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa0f2a9…
04-25 04:35:34	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xdd5b33…
04-25 04:33:14	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x37df9c…
04-25 04:32:20	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x756d5f…
04-25 04:30:40	Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x183292…
04-25 04:28:50	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3a2844…
04-24 19:01:04	fl1 sbr rcl 2026 04 24 rcl	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7ae11d…
04-24 14:03:52	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x4deb9c…
04-24 04:33:54	sea nap cre 2026 04 24 spread home 1pt5	SSC Napoli	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x959db8…
04-24 04:32:24	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	Real Madrid CF	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x705dd4…
04-24 04:30:50	epl sun not 2026 04 24 sun	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x56eabc…
04-23 21:36:52	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xd284b4…
04-23 19:59:32	dfb stu scf 2026 04 23 stu	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xaa375f…
04-23 15:19:18	lal ray esp 2026 04 23 spread home 1pt5	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x6822a4…