Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

4.0%

Resolved

Trades

658

lifetime

Volume

$4.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-03 11:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

54% 0% $-2

Other

45% 50% $-2

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No		+409	$20	0¢	$0	$-20	06-21 02:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	121	$503	6,816	6,483	+333	open	—	06-26 21:38
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	82	$325	4,496	4,387	+109	open	—	06-28 16:24
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	38	$168	1,173	1,173	+0	open	—	07-03 05:11
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	7	$145	162	162	+0	open	—	03-23 15:33
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$119	74	74	+0	open	—	03-23 15:23
will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	4	$119	122	122	+0	open	—	03-18 04:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$107	111	111	+0	Yes	$-1	03-18 04:52
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	9	$104	85	85	+0	open	—	03-25 15:20
will vitality win blast open rotterdam 2026	4	$96	105	105	+0	open	—	03-19 13:53
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	12	$79	172	171	+1	open	—	03-24 01:51
Israeli forces enter Choukine by May 31?	26	$73	2,345	1,300	+1,045	open	—	06-02 11:10
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	10	$72	54	52	+2	open	—	03-19 11:01
will a dozen eggs cost between 2pt502pt75 in march	2	$63	102	102	+0	open	—	03-18 01:54
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$62	78	78	+0	open	—	03-19 19:55
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$62	73	73	+0	open	—	03-19 21:21
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	15	$61	831	831	+0	open	—	06-24 01:14
will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	8	$61	117	116	+1	open	—	03-15 08:20
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	12	$61	414	414	+0	open	—	06-28 06:16
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	2	$60	56	56	+0	open	—	06-19 09:32
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	2	$60	47	47	+0	open	—	03-18 22:52
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	2	$59	64	64	+0	Yes	$-1	03-18 20:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$58	41	41	+0	open	—	03-19 19:55
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	12	$57	662	662	+0	open	—	06-27 17:41
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$54	38	38	+0	open	—	03-18 04:52
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$52	74	74	+0	open	—	03-19 07:54
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	2	$51	42	42	+0	open	—	03-23 15:23
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	4	$51	63	63	+0	Yes	$-2	03-18 04:57
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?	2	$51	56	56	+0	open	—	03-18 04:52
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	2	$49	41	41	+0	open	—	03-23 15:23
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	7	$49	56	56	+0	open	—	03-19 21:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 11:04:10	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	83	2¢	$2	0x078dba…
07-03 10:30:10	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	56	6¢	$3	0x72d97e…
07-03 09:08:10	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0x28a091…
07-03 08:22:02	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0x297bf1…
07-03 07:08:11	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	62	9¢	$6	0x2f7ab6…
07-03 06:36:02	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	62	9¢	$6	0x366ca8…
07-03 05:11:11	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	71	3¢	$2	0xb08f3d…
07-02 20:30:13	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0x763954…
07-02 18:12:28	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0xa5216b…
07-02 10:37:05	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	56	4¢	$2	0x5bb01a…
07-02 07:26:02	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0xc7cb93…
07-02 02:11:10	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	56	4¢	$2	0xab1718…
07-01 11:01:08	israel closes its airspace by july 7	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xcf1181…
07-01 11:01:07	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xc88810…
07-01 10:29:16	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x2c454a…
07-01 09:07:16	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xa12635…
07-01 08:21:14	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xeb96bf…
07-01 07:07:14	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x050692…
07-01 06:35:17	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x89c9be…
07-01 05:10:11	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xe35c03…
06-30 23:20:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0x8141e9…
06-30 21:16:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0x92360b…
06-30 20:30:13	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x1b663c…
06-30 20:24:08	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0x015859…
06-30 19:13:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0x0a5d7a…
06-30 18:26:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0x1337cf…
06-30 18:11:13	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x51fa5c…
06-30 17:13:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$7	0xcec149…
06-30 17:12:13	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0x18e4a8…
06-30 17:12:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	42	26¢	$11	0xb26aaf…
06-30 16:25:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x6f08e0…
06-30 13:13:08	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x92d71f…
06-30 10:36:13	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x04a5dc…
06-30 10:36:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x34d6a2…
06-30 07:25:14	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x9b0af5…
06-30 07:25:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x893c90…
06-30 02:10:16	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x500eb7…
06-29 17:42:02	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x6ac129…
06-29 17:12:07	will donald trump attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204740	Yes	SELL	63	2¢	$1	0x9271e9…
06-28 23:19:16	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x9442f2…
06-28 21:08:11	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xbba7bf…
06-28 20:15:14	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x2c9c01…
06-28 19:50:04	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	2¢	$2	0xfc24cf…
06-28 19:07:13	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x38e088…
06-28 18:25:13	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xbd0440…
06-28 17:58:14	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0xecd998…
06-28 17:58:14	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0x880f23…
06-28 17:08:14	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x42d2bc…
06-28 17:08:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x1ef1fd…
06-28 16:24:17	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xf03772…
06-28 16:24:13	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	186	3¢	$6	0x62b7ff…
06-28 13:12:13	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x337f8c…
06-28 10:16:11	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x6e6fcb…
06-28 07:09:11	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x53b421…
06-28 06:16:08	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	83	11¢	$9	0xcad737…
06-28 04:57:04	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	2¢	$1	0xa4cd0c…
06-28 04:00:08	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0xe644d7…
06-28 02:19:11	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	SELL	62	9¢	$6	0xdeeb56…
06-28 02:19:10	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0xb413c7…
06-28 01:07:13	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0xae2dd4…
06-28 00:38:02	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$1	0x71e35b…
06-27 23:53:10	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	2¢	$1	0xf53692…
06-27 23:53:08	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	62	6¢	$4	0x5954ca…
06-27 23:46:08	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x780a6b…
06-27 23:45:08	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xe0b999…
06-27 23:43:10	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x93b6c4…
06-27 23:39:10	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xc1acc2…
06-27 22:51:11	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	127	4¢	$5	0x8d5989…
06-27 22:51:10	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0x4dd56a…
06-27 22:11:10	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	2¢	$1	0x0d2e10…
06-27 21:25:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0xb5688a…
06-27 20:21:07	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	62	5¢	$3	0x705aa0…
06-27 17:41:20	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xea5451…
06-27 17:41:08	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	SELL	56	8¢	$4	0xfde71e…
06-27 17:41:08	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	122	4¢	$5	0xa616aa…
06-26 21:38:23	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0x6e6bc6…
06-26 20:31:16	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	140	4¢	$5	0x2f29d3…
06-26 20:31:08	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	226	3¢	$7	0x4e0529…
06-26 19:49:35	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0xae478f…
06-26 19:04:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x9e839b…
06-26 18:58:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xdd5195…
06-26 18:57:08	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	210	2¢	$4	0x50d35e…
06-26 17:57:37	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xa1160a…
06-26 17:57:28	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$5	0x1c50f8…
06-26 16:46:08	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	161	2¢	$3	0xc5fe5b…
06-26 16:44:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	167	2¢	$3	0x9fe923…
06-26 16:43:08	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	167	2¢	$3	0x95f373…
06-26 16:41:08	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	152	2¢	$3	0xcb50c1…
06-26 16:12:22	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	186	3¢	$5	0x25d93f…
06-26 16:12:11	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0xf48f78…
06-26 16:12:11	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	142	2¢	$3	0x72552f…
06-26 06:07:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x102b82…
06-26 04:56:29	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0x14963e…
06-26 04:56:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0x5a1c35…
06-26 04:56:10	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	104	4¢	$4	0x593443…
06-26 03:59:20	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x6f6dcf…
06-26 03:59:13	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	Yes	SELL	208	2¢	$4	0x466886…
06-26 02:11:37	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xfc894d…
06-26 02:11:19	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x691a0e…
06-26 00:37:29	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x6ad5f1…