Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.0%

Resolved

Trades

720

lifetime

Volume

$4.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 08-02 04:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

54% 0% $-2

Other

45% 50% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	121	$503	6,816	6,483	+333	open	—	06-26 21:38
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	82	$325	4,496	4,387	+109	open	—	06-28 16:24
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	38	$168	1,173	1,173	+0	open	—	07-03 05:11
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	7	$145	162	162	+0	open	—	03-23 15:33
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$119	74	74	+0	open	—	03-23 15:23
will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	4	$119	122	122	+0	open	—	03-18 04:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$107	111	111	+0	Yes	$-1	03-18 04:52
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	9	$104	85	85	+0	open	—	03-25 15:20
will vitality win blast open rotterdam 2026	4	$96	105	105	+0	open	—	03-19 13:53
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	12	$79	172	171	+1	open	—	03-24 01:51
Israeli forces enter Choukine by May 31?	26	$73	2,345	1,300	+1,045	open	—	06-02 11:10
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	10	$72	54	52	+2	open	—	03-19 11:01
will a dozen eggs cost between 2pt502pt75 in march	2	$63	102	102	+0	open	—	03-18 01:54
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$62	78	78	+0	open	—	03-19 19:55
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$62	73	73	+0	open	—	03-19 21:21
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	15	$61	831	831	+0	open	—	06-24 01:14
will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	8	$61	117	116	+1	open	—	03-15 08:20
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	12	$61	414	414	+0	open	—	06-28 06:16
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	2	$60	56	56	+0	open	—	06-19 09:32
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	2	$60	47	47	+0	open	—	03-18 22:52
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	2	$59	64	64	+0	Yes	$-1	03-18 20:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$58	41	41	+0	open	—	03-19 19:55
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	12	$57	662	662	+0	open	—	06-27 17:41
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$54	38	38	+0	open	—	03-18 04:52
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$52	74	74	+0	open	—	03-19 07:54
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	2	$51	42	42	+0	open	—	03-23 15:23
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	4	$51	63	63	+0	Yes	$-2	03-18 04:57
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?	2	$51	56	56	+0	open	—	03-18 04:52
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	2	$49	41	41	+0	open	—	03-23 15:23
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	7	$49	56	56	+0	open	—	03-19 21:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 04:45:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x32f031…
08-02 04:24:11	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xf33df7…
08-02 04:22:12	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc85118…
08-02 04:20:12	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0xe41acc…
08-02 04:18:12	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xc524ae…
08-02 04:17:11	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x5339c4…
07-30 13:02:17	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x472eb8…
07-29 17:59:11	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	125	8¢	$10	0xbee3bc…
07-27 17:59:06	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x1f3fdb…
07-27 17:08:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	178	3¢	$5	0xa6e30e…
07-25 15:01:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x2e17ec…
07-25 14:31:04	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	SELL	58	5¢	$3	0xc0261c…
07-24 05:58:10	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	147	3¢	$4	0xb99780…
07-23 21:45:07	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xf8c187…
07-23 21:34:10	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	SELL	62	5¢	$3	0xd0de83…
07-23 21:12:06	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0x09489d…
07-23 21:10:03	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	56	9¢	$5	0x1f0f1f…
07-23 14:31:06	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x8d5024…
07-23 12:59:10	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	86	4¢	$4	0x5a20c6…
07-22 05:57:04	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0x9b05be…
07-22 01:27:03	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	74	5¢	$3	0xb1370d…
07-22 01:27:03	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	SELL	56	6¢	$3	0x01e408…
07-21 21:33:15	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xcce5a8…
07-21 21:09:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xbebafc…
07-21 20:48:12	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x1d325f…
07-20 01:26:25	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x077f77…
07-20 01:26:15	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0xcf9bc8…
07-19 21:41:10	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	Yes	SELL	86	4¢	$4	0xf9e282…
07-19 20:47:25	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xbd3231…
07-19 20:47:13	will russia capture novodmytrivka by july 31 20260714215009495	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x0d04f5…
07-19 17:39:10	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	Yes	SELL	114	2¢	$2	0x96a7da…
07-19 15:32:10	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	Yes	SELL	114	2¢	$2	0x727479…
07-19 15:32:10	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	Yes	SELL	87	4¢	$3	0x1b0ac4…
07-19 15:04:15	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	Yes	SELL	116	2¢	$2	0x36aef7…
07-19 15:04:13	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	Yes	SELL	93	5¢	$4	0x4179f4…
07-19 13:32:10	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	Yes	SELL	86	5¢	$4	0x8e9678…
07-19 12:41:25	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xc5561f…
07-19 12:41:12	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	Yes	SELL	87	5¢	$4	0x45d1f0…
07-19 12:41:10	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	58	8¢	$5	0x8f0b51…
07-18 16:48:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	178	3¢	$5	0x2b99dd…
07-18 16:27:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	138	3¢	$4	0x7c6746…
07-17 21:13:30	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x21ee89…
07-17 20:38:13	will russia capture novodmytrivka by july 31 20260714215009495	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xdd1c28…
07-17 17:07:28	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	Yes	BUY	114	4¢	$5	0x65b41f…
07-17 15:24:18	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	Yes	BUY	114	4¢	$5	0x24fbc2…
07-17 15:24:15	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	Yes	BUY	87	6¢	$5	0x8184e2…
07-17 14:34:22	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0xadaac5…
07-17 14:34:16	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	Yes	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0xe25277…
07-17 13:08:18	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0xcba414…
07-17 12:37:22	will there be houthi military action against israel by july 24 2026 20260714210303208	Yes	BUY	87	6¢	$5	0x817327…
07-17 12:37:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x8e1bf4…
07-17 09:24:12	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	SELL	116	3¢	$4	0x72c977…
07-17 09:24:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x298d62…
07-17 08:46:16	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	SELL	116	3¢	$4	0xfd5b1a…
07-17 08:46:15	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	SELL	71	51¢	$36	0xfd0b66…
07-17 08:46:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x146829…
07-15 09:23:25	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0xd9d42b…
07-15 09:23:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x7f2a17…
07-15 08:45:29	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0xbd912e…
07-15 08:45:23	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x3c26d4…
07-15 08:45:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xf00304…
07-15 06:51:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	138	4¢	$5	0xb8722a…
07-03 11:04:10	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	83	2¢	$2	0x078dba…
07-03 10:30:10	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	56	6¢	$3	0x72d97e…
07-03 09:08:10	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0x28a091…
07-03 08:22:02	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0x297bf1…
07-03 07:08:11	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	62	9¢	$6	0x2f7ab6…
07-03 06:36:02	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	62	9¢	$6	0x366ca8…
07-03 05:11:11	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	71	3¢	$2	0xb08f3d…
07-02 20:30:13	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0x763954…
07-02 18:12:28	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0xa5216b…
07-02 10:37:05	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	56	4¢	$2	0x5bb01a…
07-02 07:26:02	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0xc7cb93…
07-02 02:11:10	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	56	4¢	$2	0xab1718…
07-01 11:01:08	israel closes its airspace by july 7	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xcf1181…
07-01 11:01:07	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xc88810…
07-01 10:29:16	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x2c454a…
07-01 09:07:16	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xa12635…
07-01 08:21:14	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xeb96bf…
07-01 07:07:14	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x050692…
07-01 06:35:17	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x89c9be…
07-01 05:10:11	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xe35c03…
06-30 23:20:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0x8141e9…
06-30 21:16:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0x92360b…
06-30 20:30:13	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x1b663c…
06-30 20:24:08	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0x015859…
06-30 19:13:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0x0a5d7a…
06-30 18:26:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0x1337cf…
06-30 18:11:13	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x51fa5c…
06-30 17:13:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$7	0xcec149…
06-30 17:12:13	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0x18e4a8…
06-30 17:12:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	42	26¢	$11	0xb26aaf…
06-30 16:25:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x6f08e0…
06-30 13:13:08	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x92d71f…
06-30 10:36:13	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x04a5dc…
06-30 10:36:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x34d6a2…
06-30 07:25:14	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x9b0af5…
06-30 07:25:10	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x893c90…
06-30 02:10:16	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x500eb7…
06-29 17:42:02	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x6ac129…