Second-Hand-Ceramic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$70

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

Trades

263

lifetime

Volume

$6.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 08-10 15:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

44% 0% $-11

Politics

32% 100% +$81

Crypto

19% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	10	$980	600	600	+0	No	+$68	05-05 23:27
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$380	200	200	+0	open	—	07-19 09:56
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	8	$349	200	200	+0	open	—	05-01 08:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$344	200	200	+0	open	—	07-25 19:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$332	173	173	+0	open	—	05-16 00:52
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	8	$298	146	186	-40	open	—	05-20 09:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$290	151	151	+0	open	—	05-22 03:57
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	8	$227	290	0	+290	open	—	05-17 13:10
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$217	20	220	-200	open	—	06-02 00:16
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	4	$186	100	100	+0	No	+$13	05-12 14:24
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$179	100	100	+0	open	—	05-12 15:59
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	8	$157	100	100	+0	open	—	06-01 03:51
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	3	$125	80	80	+0	open	—	05-11 14:03
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	2	$123	100	100	+0	open	—	08-03 08:48
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	4	$113	60	60	+0	open	—	06-01 02:06
will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	5	$111	250	0	+250	open	—	07-23 04:39
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	04-22 11:37
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	2	$90	200	0	+200	open	—	07-04 17:01
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	5	$87	200	0	+200	open	—	07-04 12:08
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	12	$84	73	70	+2	open	—	04-30 04:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	1	$76	400	0	+400	open	—	07-04 18:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$74	39	39	+0	open	—	05-11 14:58
will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	2	$69	39	39	+0	open	—	08-10 14:57
will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	1	$66	100	0	+100	open	—	08-02 08:15
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$59	100	0	+100	open	—	07-03 18:15
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	2	$52	29	29	+0	open	—	05-09 15:24
will russia capture all of rodynske again by september 30	4	$51	250	0	+250	open	—	07-23 08:56
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	1	$45	50	0	+50	open	—	06-30 01:39
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	7	$44	30	30	+0	open	—	04-24 16:02
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	7	$43	150	0	+150	open	—	07-12 12:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 15:03:27	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xffadbb…
08-10 14:57:33	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xa4e4e5…
08-06 16:39:29	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x6289d1…
08-03 10:39:42	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	No	BUY	29	82¢	$24	0x5202e3…
08-03 08:54:42	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	No	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0xc68b00…
08-03 08:48:39	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0xabda5b…
08-03 06:32:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xb18820…
08-03 05:50:33	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x2bad17…
08-02 15:18:15	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x38b89f…
08-02 08:15:21	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xbdbb74…
07-25 19:23:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x32221a…
07-23 08:56:52	will russia capture all of rodynske again by september 30	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc5c5cf…
07-23 04:39:58	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x863c94…
07-23 04:11:54	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xfde64d…
07-23 03:57:09	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x16b307…
07-19 09:56:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x813b25…
07-14 10:19:41	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x919ea6…
07-12 12:56:13	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x1c9785…
07-12 12:43:10	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x43f0e0…
07-12 12:38:13	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x598224…
07-12 12:14:11	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xab257e…
07-12 12:13:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x50a88d…
07-12 12:13:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x0016b7…
07-12 12:13:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x3d6330…
07-12 04:45:13	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x66aca9…
07-08 14:45:25	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x1bb1ed…
07-04 19:19:29	will russia capture all of rodynske again by september 30	No	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xbf54b4…
07-04 18:44:20	will russia capture all of rodynske again by september 30	No	BUY	72	29¢	$21	0xd2242f…
07-04 18:09:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	400	19¢	$76	0x558b90…
07-04 17:01:55	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	195	45¢	$88	0x169047…
07-04 17:01:32	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x95190b…
07-04 16:49:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	7¢	$27	0xce23a6…
07-04 12:08:44	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	86	38¢	$33	0xf7c10a…
07-04 05:16:11	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xc2b031…
07-04 02:36:31	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xaab597…
07-03 18:15:40	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x56f3ce…
07-03 13:35:10	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x11a59f…
07-03 13:02:31	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	38¢	$4	0xdccc53…
07-03 11:13:25	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x57ec0d…
07-02 14:27:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x7b82a5…
07-02 14:24:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xf3e728…
06-30 21:12:14	will russia capture all of rodynske again by september 30	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xf8dd2d…
06-30 01:39:05	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x07398c…
06-22 17:43:14	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	France	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x73b982…
06-22 02:20:25	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8fe3cc…
06-22 02:15:41	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x528873…
06-21 16:12:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x00ad90…
06-21 15:23:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4a707f…
06-20 16:47:59	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xd867d1…
06-19 09:04:19	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	No	BUY	34	60¢	$20	0x8dc89f…
06-18 13:31:02	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x333a51…
06-11 16:58:28	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xb5cd0d…
06-11 09:12:48	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xf92792…
06-08 08:34:33	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	No	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xe9ad40…
06-05 20:17:36	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0d1267…
06-04 21:35:54	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x0ba4d7…
06-04 10:15:58	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	81	49¢	$40	0x64c966…
06-04 07:47:54	will openais valuation hit low 700b by december 31 939 865	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x82a5b6…
06-04 06:48:46	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	No	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xd7cb33…
06-03 20:16:01	will openais valuation hit low 700b by december 31 939 865	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x6d12bd…
06-03 19:42:31	will openais valuation hit low 700b by december 31 939 865	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x7c221a…
06-02 21:29:54	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	No	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0xd6f496…
06-02 04:38:20	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x967da7…
06-02 00:16:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0xc883d7…
06-01 16:28:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x76a81c…
06-01 16:01:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xe87997…
06-01 03:51:02	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x559954…
06-01 02:06:15	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x205171…
05-24 14:30:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xdc87b4…
05-22 16:19:03	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x96f50b…
05-22 03:57:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0xaab1ac…
05-20 09:41:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	113	93¢	$105	0xac91d2…
05-20 09:40:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	SELL	106	95¢	$100	0x6c3a9e…
05-20 08:26:48	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfd153f…
05-20 05:32:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	38	89¢	$34	0x1d68e8…
05-20 05:06:17	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0xca2e21…
05-19 05:19:11	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	67	91¢	$61	0x037cc2…
05-18 16:11:52	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	SELL	19	81¢	$16	0x2c0d6b…
05-18 09:06:59	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	SELL	56	81¢	$45	0xcef21c…
05-17 13:10:01	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	84¢	$52	0x737fba…
05-16 20:49:51	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x27e0af…
05-16 18:06:08	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	85	84¢	$71	0x5a1ecb…
05-16 00:52:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x1dca30…
05-14 10:39:40	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xa76cde…
05-14 10:39:09	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x9b59a4…
05-14 10:33:43	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xeb4191…
05-14 10:31:41	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x37ccde…
05-14 10:23:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x58d46d…
05-13 15:32:59	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xd06eca…
05-12 15:59:31	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xf55137…
05-12 14:28:04	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x01a500…
05-12 14:24:06	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x0b8c36…
05-11 14:58:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x760f0a…
05-11 14:06:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x3a55ca…
05-11 14:03:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	80	80¢	$64	0x209008…
05-10 15:46:32	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x3b040e…
05-10 14:26:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0xc1b310…
05-10 14:14:51	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0xeee83c…
05-10 02:06:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x8f9752…
05-10 02:05:29	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xa80bf4…