Realized P&L
-$2.53K
Unrealized P&L
+$333
Hit rate
39.9%
Resolved
39
Trades
8,502
lifetime
Volume
$143.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$2.89K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-29 20:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
62% 48% $-800
Politics
37% 25% $-1,707
Sports
0% 50% $-24
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 337 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -626 $-577 91¢ $-570 +$8 06-11 20:10
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No -526 $-512 100¢ $-525 $-13 06-28 19:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -330 $-285 100¢ $-330 $-45 06-01 07:42
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +326 $286 92¢ $298 +$12 06-03 05:29
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +223 $200 88¢ $197 $-3 06-28 15:31
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -102 $-124 99¢ $-101 +$23 06-03 20:00
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -146 $-211 65¢ $-95 +$116 06-25 20:19
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +213 $61 35¢ $74 +$13 06-29 12:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -71 $-118 100¢ $-70 +$48 06-16 15:27
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +269 $61 26¢ $70 +$9 06-19 09:11
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -70 $-67 97¢ $-68 $-1 06-05 09:34
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +60 $46 86¢ $51 +$5 06-24 20:40
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +50 $7 97¢ $48 +$42 06-28 09:48
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +804 $55 $48 $-6 06-10 09:54
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +253 $45 18¢ $44 $-0 06-28 06:42
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -59 $-50 74¢ $-44 +$6 06-19 18:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -35 $-52 100¢ $-35 +$17 06-19 19:12
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +37 $25 90¢ $33 +$8 06-22 02:50
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +30 $27 90¢ $27 +$0 06-19 12:22
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -26 $-34 99¢ $-26 +$8 06-06 15:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +24 $-73 100¢ $24 +$97 06-16 14:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +140 $21 15¢ $20 $-1 06-29 18:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -210 $-29 10¢ $-20 +$9 05-29 16:02
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $5 50¢ $18 +$14 06-16 08:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +14 $-9 100¢ $14 +$24 06-13 15:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +73 $28 16¢ $12 $-16 06-02 14:29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $11 86¢ $12 +$1 06-14 07:18
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? Yes -216 $-35 $-5 +$30 06-18 07:27
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +118 $18 $3 $-15 06-29 15:36
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes +119 $59 $3 $-57 06-23 14:36