Realized P&L
+$1.82K
Unrealized P&L
+$715
Hit rate
69.4%
Resolved
1,068
Trades
13,651
lifetime
Volume
$259.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$6.09K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 10-30 10:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 230 days
Categories
Other
60% 53% +$1,244
Politics
40% 45% +$649
Sports
1% 41% -$84
Crypto
0% 100% +$13
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,057 $690 72¢ $756 +$66 10-19 19:38
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +842 $623 71¢ $598 -$25 10-28 20:11
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +628 $405 72¢ $449 +$44 10-19 21:21
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +490 $309 70¢ $341 +$32 10-15 06:18
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +481 $351 70¢ $339 -$12 10-28 21:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +553 $383 59¢ $326 -$57 10-29 22:19
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +412 $339 74¢ $307 -$32 10-28 10:28
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +1,011 $524 30¢ $298 -$225 10-28 20:24
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +368 $259 69¢ $254 -$5 10-29 22:03
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +295 $167 79¢ $233 +$66 10-20 00:45
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +350 $220 66¢ $233 +$12 10-30 10:15
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -226 -$150 96¢ $-217 -$66 05-08 09:23
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,099 $226 16¢ $181 -$44 10-24 14:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +175 -$90 88¢ $155 +$245 10-21 16:44
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +173 $96 79¢ $137 +$41 10-14 19:10
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +142 -$371 90¢ $127 +$498 10-23 02:18
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +465 $301 27¢ $126 -$175 10-16 05:32
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -104 -$88 92¢ $-95 -$7 05-07 09:17
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +91 -$31 94¢ $86 +$117 08-09 11:08
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +90 $54 94¢ $84 +$30 08-07 15:09
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +637 $88 13¢ $81 -$8 07-30 20:54
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +83 $9 94¢ $79 +$70 07-10 04:53
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +105 $73 75¢ $79 +$5 10-27 12:47
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +258 $92 30¢ $77 -$15 10-11 20:56
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +765 $62 10¢ $77 +$14 10-12 01:48
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +126 $31 59¢ $75 +$43 10-22 15:04
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -105 -$102 70¢ $-73 +$29 10-21 09:59
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +85 $5 84¢ $72 +$67 08-17 10:55
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +105 $75 68¢ $71 -$4 10-29 17:45
will russia enter khatnie by december 31 2026 No +86 $54 77¢ $66 +$13 07-29 19:32