Realized P&L
-$2.53K
Unrealized P&L
+$349
Hit rate
39.9%
Resolved
39
Trades
9,388
lifetime
Volume
$161.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$1.84K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 07-20 22:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
64% 48% $-800
Politics
36% 25% $-1,707
Sports
0% 50% $-24
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 337 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -626 $-577 92¢ $-579 $-2 06-11 20:10
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +233 $124 60¢ $141 +$17 07-20 11:38
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +695 $119 20¢ $136 +$16 07-16 10:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +489 $46 22¢ $105 +$60 07-17 09:05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +140 $-5 70¢ $99 +$103 07-12 10:35
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +508 $110 18¢ $94 $-16 07-20 09:08
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +162 $90 52¢ $85 $-6 07-13 13:40
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -87 $-83 84¢ $-73 +$10 07-14 12:30
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +124 $-52 57¢ $71 +$122 07-20 22:53
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -70 $-67 98¢ $-69 $-1 06-05 09:34
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +210 $57 26¢ $55 $-2 07-12 17:38
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +106 $80 48¢ $50 $-30 07-08 06:47
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -48 $-51 90¢ $-43 +$8 07-14 12:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +160 $17 26¢ $42 +$25 07-19 16:31
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +804 $55 $36 $-18 06-10 09:54
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +83 $9 43¢ $36 +$27 07-10 04:53
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +30 $27 97¢ $29 +$2 06-19 12:22
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +77 $10 30¢ $23 +$13 07-12 07:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -210 $-29 11¢ $-22 +$7 05-29 16:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +37 $15 55¢ $20 +$6 07-11 06:13
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $11 89¢ $12 +$2 06-14 07:18
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -13 $-19 92¢ $-12 +$7 07-12 15:02
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +70 $8 $6 $-1 07-10 08:17
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-25 21:23