Realized P&L
-$2.53K
Unrealized P&L
+$190
Hit rate
39.9%
Resolved
39
Trades
7,470
lifetime
Volume
$129.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$2.32K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-09 21:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
62% 48% $-800
Politics
37% 25% $-1,707
Sports
0% 50% $-24
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 337 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -330 $-285 90¢ $-299 $-14 06-01 07:42
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +326 $286 90¢ $292 +$5 06-03 05:29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +285 $166 75¢ $213 +$47 06-09 16:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +234 $168 88¢ $205 +$37 06-07 20:53
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -208 $-189 94¢ $-195 $-6 06-08 10:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +158 $127 93¢ $147 +$19 06-07 21:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +130 $117 94¢ $123 +$6 06-08 14:05
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -150 $-148 80¢ $-121 +$27 06-05 14:08
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +127 $104 90¢ $114 +$9 05-28 20:25
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -102 $-124 95¢ $-96 +$28 06-03 20:00
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -70 $-67 96¢ $-67 $-0 06-05 09:34
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes +350 $82 18¢ $65 $-17 06-09 11:09
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +210 $48 22¢ $47 $-1 06-08 09:10
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +52 $40 78¢ $41 +$1 05-29 11:02
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +165 $36 24¢ $39 +$3 06-08 13:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +43 $1 90¢ $39 +$37 06-08 02:47
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +35 $9 100¢ $35 +$26 06-07 19:51
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +516 $39 $28 $-10 06-08 19:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -210 $-29 12¢ $-26 +$3 05-29 16:02
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -26 $-34 90¢ $-23 +$10 06-06 15:53
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +63 $23 36¢ $23 +$0 06-08 14:21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +28 $23 82¢ $23 $-0 06-08 14:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +73 $28 20¢ $15 $-13 06-02 14:29
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $8 50¢ $9 +$0 06-07 07:43
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -12 $-10 69¢ $-8 +$2 06-07 18:06
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +35 $12 22¢ $8 $-4 06-05 13:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -12 $-8 64¢ $-8 +$0 06-08 20:44
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +630 $11 $5 $-5 06-06 21:13
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? No +73 $7 $5 $-2 06-03 20:12
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30? Yes -32 $-4 13¢ $-4 $-0 06-01 11:26