Realized P&L
-$115
Unrealized P&L
-$46
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
302
lifetime
Volume
$9.38K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$274
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-20 18:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
74%
Other
26% 0% $-115
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -644 $-131 29¢ $-184 $-53 07-08 21:15
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +782 $65 $44 $-21 07-16 22:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +72 $-9 24¢ $17 +$26 07-20 18:52
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -385 $-21 $-14 +$7 05-31 21:29
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? No +385 $20 $14 $-6 07-17 13:12
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? Yes -32 $-2 $-1 +$0 06-06 19:44