Tragic-Limitation 0xe7ec12…e79dda
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$115
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
238
lifetime
Volume
$6.25K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$211
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-14 21:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
92% — —
Other
8% 0% $-115
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -576 $-127 12¢ $-72 +$55 06-11 14:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +428 $79 12¢ $53 $-26 06-14 21:48
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +695 $60 7¢ $46 $-14 06-05 18:51
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +288 $27 6¢ $19 $-9 06-10 16:57
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -385 $-21 4¢ $-17 +$4 05-31 21:29
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? Yes -32 $-2 6¢ $-2 $-0 06-06 19:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +12 $-4 14¢ $2 +$6 06-08 11:51