(anonymous) 0x2efb22…41d22e
bot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
97.2%
Resolved
22
Trades
107
lifetime
Volume
$1.70K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$834
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-19
last 10-27 23:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
56% 94% +$3
Politics
37% 100% +$3
Crypto
4% — —
Sports
2% — —
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +100 $94 95¢ $95 +$1 08-23 05:58
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +65 $58 94¢ $61 +$3 09-18 19:45
ebola pandemic in 2026 No +55 $53 97¢ $54 +$1 08-19 22:37
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +55 $53 96¢ $53 $0 08-19 22:35
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +55 $51 93¢ $51 $0 08-21 21:33
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +55 $52 93¢ $51 -$1 08-20 03:55
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +50 $47 98¢ $49 +$2 08-20 22:27
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +50 $48 96¢ $48 $0 08-21 21:10
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +50 $47 94¢ $47 +$0 08-20 22:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +50 $42 82¢ $41 -$1 08-20 22:32
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +35 $34 96¢ $34 $0 10-25 16:22
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +30 $26 98¢ $29 +$4 09-04 17:44
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +30 $29 96¢ $29 $0 10-24 09:30
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$1 09-18 10:34
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +20 $15 97¢ $19 +$4 08-21 04:37
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +15 $14 100¢ $15 +$1 08-24 20:39
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +15 $14 95¢ $14 +$1 08-27 18:09
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 09-18 22:24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 09-18 15:28
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 08-20 23:30
New pandemic in 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 09-15 20:40
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 09-04 17:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $0 08-25 15:13
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +10 $10 95¢ $10 $0 10-27 18:27
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +10 $9 95¢ $9 +$0 09-16 15:57
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 94¢ $9 $0 10-27 23:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$1 09-22 19:18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 $0 09-18 00:12
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $0 10-25 16:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $0 10-25 16:13