(anonymous) 0x2efb22…41d22e Create alert
bot 12W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
4
114 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$99
$1.82K lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$799
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-19
last 11-10 14:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
55% 95% +$5
Politics
35% 89% +$10
Crypto
7% — —
Sports
2% 100% +$2
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +100 $94 97¢ $97 +$3 08-23 05:58
ebola pandemic in 2026 No +55 $53 99¢ $54 +$1 08-19 22:37
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +55 $53 98¢ $54 +$1 08-19 22:35
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +55 $51 96¢ $53 +$2 08-21 21:33
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +55 $52 95¢ $52 $0 08-20 03:55
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +50 $48 98¢ $49 +$1 08-21 21:10
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +50 $47 98¢ $49 +$2 08-20 22:27
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +50 $47 98¢ $49 +$2 08-20 22:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +50 $42 92¢ $46 +$5 08-20 22:32
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +35 $34 99¢ $34 +$1 10-25 16:22
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +30 $29 96¢ $29 $0 10-24 09:30
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +20 $15 98¢ $20 +$5 08-21 04:37
Will Lula da Silva be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +20 $19 95¢ $19 $0 11-08 15:29
New pandemic before 2028? No +20 $16 91¢ $18 +$2 09-18 19:05
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 89¢ $18 +$0 11-06 16:52
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +20 $16 80¢ $16 $0 11-08 17:06
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +15 $14 96¢ $14 +$1 08-27 18:09
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 09-18 22:24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 09-18 15:28
New pandemic in 2026? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$0 09-15 20:40
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $5 98¢ $10 +$5 11-10 14:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 08-25 15:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$0 10-25 16:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$0 09-18 00:12
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 10-27 23:46
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 09-04 17:45
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $0 11-08 21:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 09-22 19:18
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 09-16 15:57
crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088 No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 09-15 23:24