Realized P&L
+$1.40K
Unrealized P&L
+$212
Hit rate
89.3%
Resolved
263
Trades
3,516
lifetime
Volume
$559.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$159
Open exposure
$3.85K
21 positions
First seen
2026-03-31
last 10-30 04:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Politics
58% 87% +$497
Other
39% 89% +$819
Crypto
3% 100% +$64
Tech
1% 86% +$18
Sports
0% 80% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +400 $377 99¢ $396 +$18 09-22 05:49
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +400 $381 98¢ $390 +$9 10-21 21:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +400 $371 97¢ $388 +$17 10-13 05:15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +300 $283 98¢ $294 +$11 09-24 06:27
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +260 $252 97¢ $253 +$1 10-27 06:58
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +251 $238 93¢ $234 -$4 09-19 23:24
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No +200 $189 98¢ $197 +$8 10-13 20:52
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +200 $196 98¢ $196 +$0 09-13 17:20
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No +200 $185 98¢ $195 +$10 10-29 17:54
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +200 $188 97¢ $194 +$6 09-18 02:09
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +200 $158 94¢ $189 +$31 10-29 17:31
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +200 $150 94¢ $189 +$39 10-02 09:04
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +200 $175 94¢ $188 +$13 10-28 23:00
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +150 $132 97¢ $145 +$13 09-27 05:04
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +100 $95 98¢ $98 +$3 10-30 04:10
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +100 $86 97¢ $97 +$11 09-18 22:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +100 $71 82¢ $82 +$11 10-12 15:13
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +65 $59 99¢ $64 +$6 06-06 14:43
Russia coup attempt in 2026? No +61 $52 96¢ $59 +$6 10-29 17:18
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-09 12:02
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$2 99¢ $0 +$2 10-02 04:01