Realized P&L
+$153
Unrealized P&L
+$113
Hit rate
46.3%
Resolved
20
Trades
912
lifetime
Volume
$62.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$60.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 18:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
56% — —
Politics
23% — —
Sports
20% 60% +$153
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +15,878 $15,248 98¢ $15.6K +$304 09-20 04:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +7,023 $6,720 96¢ $6.8K +$32 10-28 15:31
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +5,482 $5,303 98¢ $5.4K +$88 09-20 13:21
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +5,150 $4,918 96¢ $4.9K +$23 09-16 21:04
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4,644 $4,478 96¢ $4.4K -$32 09-21 01:46
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,778 $2,697 100¢ $2.8K +$77 08-28 10:52
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +2,506 $2,379 94¢ $2.4K -$23 09-20 17:32
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +2,365 $2,248 96¢ $2.3K +$19 10-25 15:38
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,287 $2,103 94¢ $2.1K +$47 09-17 15:09
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,242 $1,970 92¢ $2.1K +$105 09-20 12:38
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,862 $1,750 94¢ $1.7K -$9 10-26 20:25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,834 $1,549 85¢ $1.6K +$2 09-04 14:43
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +1,445 $1,321 92¢ $1.3K +$2 10-28 15:54
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,377 $1,305 94¢ $1.3K -$4 10-28 11:21
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,157 $1,102 97¢ $1.1K +$23 08-27 16:03
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +778 $763 97¢ $756 -$7 09-11 05:07
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +623 $553 88¢ $545 -$7 10-26 08:40
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +511 $491 99¢ $505 +$14 08-28 18:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +15,878 $631 2¢ $325 -$305 09-20 07:58
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,834 $292 15¢ $283 -$9 09-02 18:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +7,241 $317 4¢ $279 -$38 10-28 18:32
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +280 $274 98¢ $275 +$2 10-21 15:54
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +274 $267 97¢ $267 $0 10-26 11:27
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +5,150 $270 4¢ $209 -$61 09-20 17:04
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,644 $174 4¢ $197 +$23 09-19 12:29
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,242 $285 8¢ $168 -$117 09-20 00:12
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +2,506 $121 6¢ $149 +$28 09-20 03:51
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,286 $133 6¢ $149 +$16 10-26 22:59
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,287 $193 6¢ $137 -$56 09-20 22:08
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +2,223 $114 4¢ $92 -$22 10-26 18:43