Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.22K

Unrealized P&L

+$9.87K

Hit rate

93.9%

Resolved

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$322.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.45K

Open exposure

$220.6K

16 positions

First seen

2026-07-18

last 09-03 14:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

48% 75% -$302

Other

45% 75% +$1,611

Sports

7% 100% +$916

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+69,420	$63,496	98¢	$68.1K	+$4,605	07-30 14:47
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	+39,549	$37,195	97¢	$38.5K	+$1,326	09-03 14:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	+22,741	$20,590	97¢	$22.0K	+$1,435	08-06 11:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+20,611	$15,252	82¢	$17.0K	+$1,752	07-30 10:34
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	+17,457	$15,432	94¢	$16.3K	+$890	08-06 06:27
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	+14,969	$14,225	98¢	$14.7K	+$511	07-22 12:26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+14,701	$13,378	94¢	$13.7K	+$368	07-23 10:39
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	+8,768	$8,379	98¢	$8.6K	+$200	07-30 14:51
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	+8,152	$7,053	91¢	$7.4K	+$365	09-03 14:54
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	+5,666	$5,156	90¢	$5.1K	-$28	08-05 21:47
russia coup attempt in 2026	No	+3,200	$2,996	97¢	$3.1K	+$119	08-17 12:41
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+15,240	$2,286	18¢	$2.7K	+$381	07-30 14:59
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,014	$1,812	90¢	$1.8K	+$10	08-05 20:49
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+2,375	$997	30¢	$724	-$273	08-05 20:40
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+4,213	$2,328	12¢	$527	-$1,801	08-17 12:39
us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	No	+206	$187	97¢	$199	+$12	08-06 00:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 14:55:48	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15,657	95¢	$14,874	0xb6face…
09-03 14:54:46	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x72121f…
09-03 14:54:45	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	4,906	87¢	$4,268	0x42bacc…
09-03 14:54:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	18,421	100¢	$18,403	0xd2f91a…
09-03 14:52:30	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0x43a03a…
09-03 14:52:30	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x34f326…
09-03 14:52:27	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xabe991…
09-03 14:52:27	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3,241	86¢	$2,781	0x04a140…
08-17 12:41:34	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	BUY	2,000	94¢	$1,880	0x3bfcd7…
08-17 12:39:57	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	16,983	94¢	$15,964	0xb8ffd4…
08-17 12:39:06	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	13,300	22¢	$2,926	0xffe6b0…
08-10 13:10:54	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	BUY	18	93¢	$16	0x85f9b3…
08-10 10:55:25	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	BUY	143	93¢	$133	0xd6c362…
08-10 09:14:51	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	BUY	143	93¢	$133	0x577d4c…
08-10 05:00:40	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0xdccda9…
08-06 16:09:23	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x4b4d5f…
08-06 11:19:30	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7405e6…
08-06 11:15:24	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x1a20e1…
08-06 09:51:32	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	No	BUY	250	95¢	$237	0x090749…
08-06 09:47:20	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	250	92¢	$230	0x27b679…
08-06 07:23:14	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0x71dcb5…
08-06 06:30:11	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x354b6a…
08-06 06:29:50	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xf2710a…
08-06 06:29:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xb837d5…
08-06 06:28:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb26d4d…
08-06 06:28:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xf001d1…
08-06 06:28:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0x890c0d…
08-06 06:27:41	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	132	91¢	$120	0xef81b2…
08-06 06:09:44	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xdffc6c…
08-06 05:00:06	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	36	91¢	$33	0x10ed67…
08-06 00:03:00	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x755aa7…
08-06 00:02:54	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xb079ab…
08-05 21:47:48	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	285	91¢	$259	0x25bbc3…
08-05 21:40:18	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	280	92¢	$258	0x34c63d…
08-05 21:29:27	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xba6e31…
08-05 21:15:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x624139…
08-05 21:14:15	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x6f8c72…
08-05 21:08:59	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	26	91¢	$23	0x208b95…
08-05 20:51:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x7b1d09…
08-05 20:50:53	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xe749e1…
08-05 20:50:50	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x08e5c5…
08-05 20:50:48	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0xf0f462…
08-05 20:50:48	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	2,547	91¢	$2,318	0x425ea9…
08-05 20:50:02	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	15,318	91¢	$13,939	0xbbf60f…
08-05 20:49:32	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,014	90¢	$1,812	0x08a475…
08-05 20:48:36	us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	No	BUY	201	91¢	$183	0x06e104…
08-05 20:48:00	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	No	BUY	1,748	95¢	$1,660	0xe02309…
08-05 20:44:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	1,324	53¢	$700	0x0ae753…
08-05 20:43:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x326e8a…
08-05 20:43:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	No	BUY	5,366	91¢	$4,883	0x951e33…
08-05 20:40:51	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xfd185b…
08-05 20:40:51	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,320	42¢	$974	0x244f63…
08-05 20:40:50	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	42¢	$23	0x13c58a…
08-05 20:38:56	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	6,309	92¢	$5,804	0x42669c…
08-05 20:38:14	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	BUY	825	93¢	$768	0xdabbc1…
07-31 13:22:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9,381	44¢	$4,128	0x65bb52…
07-30 15:02:08	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	2,423	92¢	$2,229	0x039dc4…
07-30 14:59:32	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	7,000	15¢	$1,050	0xcebdf6…
07-30 14:58:20	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	17,512	30¢	$5,254	0xba6821…
07-30 14:57:38	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	8,240	15¢	$1,236	0xc64130…
07-30 14:51:32	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	268	96¢	$257	0x462ef6…
07-30 14:51:08	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	4,873	90¢	$4,386	0x3d4221…
07-30 14:47:05	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21,173	92¢	$19,479	0x8adaa3…
07-30 10:34:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	20,611	74¢	$15,252	0x02a783…
07-28 14:50:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	680	77¢	$525	0x574a99…
07-28 14:42:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	520	77¢	$401	0x111d60…
07-28 14:42:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,603	77¢	$2,000	0xd4df58…
07-28 13:10:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	4,300	88¢	$3,784	0x9c9d01…
07-28 13:01:25	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	3,182	96¢	$3,041	0x45c2d5…
07-28 13:00:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11,306	76¢	$8,625	0x68468c…
07-24 14:09:36	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	7,743	96¢	$7,441	0x326cb0…
07-23 10:41:34	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	3,500	95¢	$3,328	0x2003b4…
07-23 10:39:57	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	14,701	91¢	$13,378	0x9c3b4d…
07-22 12:26:18	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xaf7941…
07-22 10:54:18	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	2,101	96¢	$2,008	0xd0525b…
07-22 10:53:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5,970	87¢	$5,194	0xc418e6…
07-22 10:51:33	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11,176	92¢	$10,282	0x24bcc3…
07-22 10:51:22	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	3,684	97¢	$3,559	0x5c9c57…
07-22 10:48:31	Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	511	96¢	$491	0x41364e…
07-19 17:02:42	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	292	96¢	$279	0x1f5c07…
07-19 17:02:10	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	4,682	93¢	$4,354	0xb9c10d…
07-19 16:55:24	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	4,647	88¢	$4,084	0xb841a8…
07-19 16:22:33	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x589d20…
07-19 16:21:43	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x1105f0…
07-19 16:14:54	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x56a541…
07-19 16:14:34	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x6e30ee…
07-19 16:14:27	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$185	0xb5edd3…
07-19 16:14:16	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	127	93¢	$117	0x7a97ed…
07-19 16:14:07	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xe2d8f2…
07-19 16:14:03	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	133	93¢	$123	0xec0059…
07-19 16:13:57	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	67	93¢	$62	0x047782…
07-19 16:13:54	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x3d7864…
07-19 16:13:16	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,333	93¢	$1,233	0x5a099a…
07-19 16:12:58	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	640	92¢	$592	0x8a3b76…
07-19 16:12:52	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	63	93¢	$59	0xf43413…
07-19 16:12:37	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xa2c92b…
07-19 16:12:25	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	241	93¢	$223	0x3fb235…
07-19 16:12:04	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x77fa4a…
07-19 16:12:00	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x000aaf…
07-19 16:11:52	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$99	0x566751…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	5	$63.5K	69,420	0	+69,420	open	—	07-30 14:47
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	11	$37.2K	39,549	0	+39,549	open	—	09-03 14:55
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	3	$34.9K	18,421	18,421	+0	No	+$1,878	09-03 14:54
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	14	$27.0K	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	07-19 16:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	11	$20.6K	22,741	0	+22,741	open	—	08-06 11:15
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	10	$15.4K	17,457	0	+17,457	open	—	08-06 06:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$15.3K	20,611	0	+20,611	open	—	07-30 10:34
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	3	$14.2K	14,969	0	+14,969	open	—	07-22 12:26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$13.4K	14,701	0	+14,701	open	—	07-23 10:39
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	30	$11.7K	12,651	0	+12,651	No	+$916	07-19 17:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$11.6K	15,109	0	+15,109	Yes	+$3,558	07-28 14:50
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	5	$8.4K	8,768	0	+8,768	open	—	07-30 14:51
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	2	$8.2K	17,512	13,300	+4,213	open	—	08-17 12:39
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	1	$7.4K	7,743	0	+7,743	No	+$302	07-24 14:09
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	6	$7.1K	8,152	0	+8,152	open	—	09-03 14:54
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	4	$5.2K	5,666	0	+5,666	open	—	08-05 21:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$4.1K	9,381	0	+9,381	No	-$4,128	07-31 13:22
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	1	$3.6K	3,684	0	+3,684	No	+$125	07-22 10:51
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	1	$3.3K	3,500	0	+3,500	No	+$172	07-23 10:41
russia coup attempt in 2026	6	$3.0K	3,200	0	+3,200	open	—	08-17 12:41
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	2	$2.3K	15,240	0	+15,240	open	—	07-30 14:59
will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	3	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$100	08-06 16:09
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.8K	2,014	0	+2,014	open	—	08-05 20:49
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	3	$997	2,375	0	+2,375	open	—	08-05 20:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	1	$700	1,324	0	+1,324	No	-$700	08-05 20:44
us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236	2	$187	206	0	+206	open	—	08-06 00:03