Large-Alteration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$58

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$305

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 08-01 10:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

52% 83% +$57

Other

27% — —

Crypto

21% 100% +$3

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	4	$45	56	56	+0	open	—	03-01 16:35
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$38	50	50	+0	Yes	+$18	04-23 19:31
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$26	23	23	+0	open	—	03-01 16:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	05-10 00:10
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	105	0	+105	open	—	04-23 20:09
btc updown 5m 1772366700	1	$10	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	03-01 12:10
spx up or down on march 2 2026	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	03-01 11:57
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	1	$10	71	0	+71	open	—	04-25 11:21
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	198	0	+198	open	—	04-23 20:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	48	0	+48	Yes	+$38	03-01 11:52
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-01 12:16
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-01 12:13
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 27?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-25 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$7	113	0	+113	open	—	04-26 11:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$5	0	6	-6	open	—	06-13 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$5	67	0	+67	open	—	04-28 21:28
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	1	$5	21	0	+21	open	—	03-01 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-25 11:36
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$5	56	0	+56	open	—	04-23 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	04-26 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	04-25 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-26 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$4	25	0	+25	open	—	04-27 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	04-25 11:32
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	06-08 21:42
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-10 00:10
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	08-01 10:57
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-01 10:58
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	06-08 21:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 10:58:17	Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x4baf13…
08-01 10:57:59	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xef00d6…
06-13 13:55:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x0d35a5…
06-08 21:42:36	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xcb4939…
06-08 21:42:13	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x75b750…
06-07 12:07:34	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5612ef…
06-07 12:06:37	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x068b34…
06-07 12:06:06	Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x430006…
06-07 12:04:51	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x316874…
05-31 12:17:58	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xe83b38…
05-25 21:03:30	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x675125…
05-10 00:10:48	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x3a45ff…
05-10 00:10:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0x3b6f2c…
05-07 15:50:47	Will Trump say "Pelé" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc67be4…
05-07 15:49:52	Will Trump say "Get along" or "Getting along" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xab6729…
05-07 15:49:31	Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xca4c68…
05-07 15:49:02	Will Trump say "Clown" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfccc24…
05-07 15:44:11	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2b1a52…
05-07 15:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x375ca1…
05-06 16:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x698ada…
04-28 21:33:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8a9732…
04-28 21:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0x2044f9…
04-27 00:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0c2d50…
04-27 00:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4ffae1…
04-26 16:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6dd83e…
04-26 11:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xddfcb6…
04-26 11:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x92ade2…
04-26 11:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x683e55…
04-26 11:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf61812…
04-26 11:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x975ab7…
04-26 10:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xca230d…
04-26 10:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x17ae42…
04-25 11:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xadbd4f…
04-25 11:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xbbb849…
04-25 11:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9a99b9…
04-25 11:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5085cf…
04-25 11:21:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x9c072b…
04-25 11:15:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe9a1ad…
04-25 11:14:32	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb64a36…
04-23 20:13:28	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x7e5dfe…
04-23 20:10:16	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	198	5¢	$10	0x8518ae…
04-23 20:09:58	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	105	9¢	$10	0x45d1c6…
04-23 19:31:06	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x84c02b…
03-01 16:35:09	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	24	47¢	$11	0xe35d0c…
03-01 16:34:53	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	23	70¢	$16	0xf124cb…
03-01 12:47:23	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xdf88b8…
03-01 12:28:19	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x214e2a…
03-01 12:25:13	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	32	44¢	$14	0xae05c3…
03-01 12:16:35	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xa412bb…
03-01 12:14:55	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xcedbdb…
03-01 12:13:17	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x532a56…
03-01 12:10:37	btc updown 5m 1772366700	Down	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0x749d7b…
03-01 11:57:07	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xea3c83…
03-01 11:55:01	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xc17961…
03-01 11:54:11	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x4dc4b2…
03-01 11:52:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x50e4c7…