Realized P&L
+$72
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
74.1%
Resolved
48
Trades
114
lifetime
Volume
$450
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$28
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 08-12 18:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Politics
47% 70% +$62
Other
39% 67% +$12
Crypto
14% 67% -$1
Sports
0% 0% -$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-12).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -14 -$12 90¢ $-13 -$1 05-25 20:51
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes — -15 -$4 82¢ $-12 -$8 08-12 18:15
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -38 -$3 4¢ $-1 +$2 08-12 18:17
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? Yes -74 -$5 1¢ $-1 +$4 04-28 13:38
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -9 -$1 8¢ $-1 +$0 08-12 18:17
Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026? Yes -8 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 08-12 18:18