Determined-Gear 0x9f086a…4273a8
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.44K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.16K
Hit rate
79.2%
Resolved
26
Trades
4,123
lifetime
Volume
$602.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$146
Open exposure
$12.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-29 23:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
61% 78% +$4,543
Other
27% 93% +$1
Crypto
11% 0% $-102
Tech
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 207 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -3,211 $-1,521 55¢ $-1766 $-245 06-28 03:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,883 $1,015 62¢ $1.2K +$153 06-24 15:43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1,000 $931 95¢ $952 +$20 06-09 11:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +946 $710 79¢ $748 +$38 06-25 14:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -2,415 $-1,575 30¢ $-737 +$838 06-25 09:59
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,979 $715 35¢ $693 $-23 06-26 13:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +710 $562 86¢ $614 +$51 06-22 02:12
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -550 $-513 93¢ $-513 +$0 06-21 15:12
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +1,582 $527 32¢ $506 $-22 06-11 20:45
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes -688 $-813 73¢ $-504 +$310 06-26 13:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes -1,658 $-498 24¢ $-406 +$91 06-22 06:43
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes -2,750 $-412 14¢ $-371 +$41 06-18 08:15
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +511 $388 70¢ $357 $-31 06-07 07:30
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +1,000 $350 34¢ $345 $-5 06-28 01:18
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -600 $-144 54¢ $-321 $-177 06-15 15:56
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,722 $265 18¢ $318 +$53 06-25 20:06
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +313 $311 100¢ $312 +$1 06-29 17:05
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +1,800 $252 16¢ $297 +$45 06-21 07:22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -1,045 $-282 26¢ $-266 +$16 06-24 19:10
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +300 $261 86¢ $260 $-2 06-23 20:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -826 $-271 30¢ $-244 +$27 06-27 17:01
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes -500 $-220 42¢ $-212 +$8 06-16 10:51
Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026? Yes +284 $162 70¢ $199 +$37 06-05 08:34
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +2,039 $273 8¢ $153 $-120 06-15 12:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -1,700 $-170 8¢ $-128 +$42 06-27 07:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -268 $-122 44¢ $-118 +$4 06-22 23:15
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes -1,148 $-103 9¢ $-103 $-1 06-26 12:01
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -111 $-99 92¢ $-102 $-3 05-29 18:42
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -1,000 $-100 10¢ $-95 +$5 06-15 08:23
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -744 $-89 11¢ $-82 +$7 06-15 08:23