Determined-Gear 0x9f086a…4273a8
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.44K
Unrealized P&L
-$21
Hit rate
79.2%
Resolved
26
Trades
4,241
lifetime
Volume
$614.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$145
Open exposure
$11.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 07-21 21:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
60% 78% +$4,543
Other
27% 93% +$1
Crypto
12% 0% $-102
Tech
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -2,211 $-901 60¢ $-1338 $-437 07-21 21:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +1,000 $931 96¢ $958 +$27 06-09 11:44
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +3,582 $1,093 26¢ $926 $-167 07-21 16:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $315 55¢ $825 +$510 07-02 03:01
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +750 $532 88¢ $660 +$128 07-01 15:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,883 $1,015 32¢ $593 $-422 06-24 15:43
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -550 $-513 94¢ $-520 $-7 06-21 15:12
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,979 $715 24¢ $465 $-250 06-26 13:57
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +2,750 $470 16¢ $440 $-30 07-11 17:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +600 $440 72¢ $435 $-5 07-10 00:54
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes -688 $-813 58¢ $-401 +$412 06-26 13:56
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes -2,750 $-412 14¢ $-371 +$41 06-18 08:15
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -600 $-144 58¢ $-351 $-207 06-15 15:56
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +500 $359 70¢ $347 $-11 07-20 15:57
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +3,000 $300 12¢ $345 +$45 07-14 18:55
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +1,000 $350 34¢ $335 $-15 06-28 01:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes -1,658 $-498 18¢ $-290 +$207 06-22 06:43
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +300 $261 86¢ $260 $-2 06-23 20:27
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +300 $249 82¢ $246 $-3 07-05 07:09
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +1,800 $252 14¢ $243 $-9 06-21 07:22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -1,045 $-282 22¢ $-225 +$57 06-24 19:10
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes -500 $-220 40¢ $-202 +$18 06-16 10:51
Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026? Yes +284 $162 68¢ $192 +$30 06-05 08:34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $182 92¢ $183 +$1 07-13 09:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +345 $325 45¢ $155 $-170 07-10 20:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -826 $-271 16¢ $-128 +$143 06-27 17:01
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -111 $-99 96¢ $-106 $-7 05-29 18:42
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -250 $-162 42¢ $-104 +$58 07-10 18:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -268 $-122 36¢ $-95 +$27 06-22 23:15
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes -1,148 $-103 8¢ $-86 +$16 06-26 12:01