Determined-Gear 0x9f086a…4273a8
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$11.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$4.25K
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved
855
Trades
7,275
lifetime
Volume
$856.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$118
Open exposure
$21.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 10-29 15:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 185 days
Categories
Politics
51% 69% +$6,839
Other
33% 67% -$3,244
Crypto
11% 81% +$12,945
Sports
4% 43% -$5,028
Tech
0% 83% +$365
Pop-Culture
0% 75% +$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -3,850 -$2,521 84¢ $-3234 -$713 07-01 21:52
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +3,300 $2,651 81¢ $2.7K +$37 05-12 06:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,650 $1,330 86¢ $1.4K +$80 08-30 22:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $315 88¢ $1.3K +$998 07-02 03:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,554 $2,140 12¢ $1.1K -$1,071 10-16 19:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,200 $689 82¢ $990 +$301 10-07 20:25
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +19,333 $987 5¢ $957 -$30 06-23 20:26
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -750 -$612 94¢ $-709 -$96 05-17 12:37
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +691 $629 96¢ $662 +$33 05-22 10:58
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +4,629 $1,339 13¢ $620 -$718 08-10 14:35
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +1,000 $320 56¢ $555 +$235 08-16 19:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,494 $1,970 8¢ $552 -$1,418 09-08 01:30
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -567 -$471 97¢ $-550 -$79 05-22 08:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +12,986 $1,523 4¢ $500 -$1,023 10-16 19:10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -600 -$144 82¢ $-489 -$345 06-15 15:56
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -500 -$468 97¢ $-487 -$19 05-17 19:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -500 -$450 97¢ $-484 -$34 05-20 20:33
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +500 $420 94¢ $472 +$52 05-04 11:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,456 $470 18¢ $430 -$40 10-17 15:08
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,000 $430 42¢ $420 -$10 09-22 04:33
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -400 -$368 97¢ $-387 -$19 05-22 18:29
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,000 -$373 39¢ $-386 -$13 06-23 22:07
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +15,000 $330 3¢ $382 +$52 06-07 09:22
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,000 $315 5¢ $354 +$38 06-07 09:24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -350 -$342 99¢ $-346 -$4 05-13 10:03
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +3,000 $720 12¢ $345 -$375 08-21 10:31
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +800 $383 41¢ $324 -$59 10-19 09:30
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +300 $261 94¢ $284 +$22 06-23 20:27
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -273 -$252 99¢ $-270 -$18 05-16 10:15
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10,000 $280 3¢ $265 -$15 06-20 01:22