Realized P&L
-$502
Unrealized P&L
-$1.86K
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
8,638
lifetime
Volume
$3.52M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$408
Open exposure
$48.7K
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 06-28 11:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
80% 75% $-502
Other
18%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 207 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -18,646 $-18,359 100¢ $-18627 $-269 06-10 11:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +6,363 $6,009 90¢ $5.8K $-251 06-28 03:54
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +5,995 $5,454 94¢ $5.6K +$182 06-16 02:55
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +6,000 $5,170 90¢ $5.4K +$200 06-25 11:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +16,820 $5,517 20¢ $3.3K $-2,237 06-12 14:56
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +6,102 $4,000 48¢ $2.9K $-1,102 06-17 02:32
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -4,297 $-2,199 40¢ $-1719 +$480 06-16 20:18
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +2,600 $2,166 64¢ $1.7K $-489 06-17 18:09
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes -1,411 $-1,031 72¢ $-1016 +$15 06-28 11:33
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +1,020 $925 92¢ $943 +$18 06-26 18:37
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +900 $702 56¢ $508 $-194 06-17 18:01
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? No +430 $391 95¢ $409 +$18 06-15 12:33
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +383 $349 94¢ $362 +$13 06-09 12:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +2,006 $301 $171 $-130 05-28 22:08
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -548 $-193 30¢ $-162 +$31 06-20 02:53
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +95 $84 92¢ $88 +$4 06-16 10:31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -10,195 $-1,904 $-56 +$1,848 05-31 15:04