Realized P&L
-$502
Unrealized P&L
+$1.41K
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
8,492
lifetime
Volume
$3.40M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$400
Open exposure
$12.1K
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 06-09 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
82% 75% $-502
Other
16%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 455 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +5,172 $4,713 91¢ $4.7K $-6 06-09 19:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -4,000 $-3,160 68¢ $-2700 +$460 05-28 15:20
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +2,924 $2,468 85¢ $2.5K +$18 06-08 10:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -10,195 $-1,904 11¢ $-1070 +$833 05-31 15:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,472 $-683 38¢ $-552 +$131 05-31 15:03
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +383 $349 92¢ $351 +$2 06-09 12:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +2,006 $301 14¢ $271 $-30 05-28 22:08
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +10 $6 72¢ $7 +$1 06-01 14:30