Realized P&L
-$502
Unrealized P&L
-$4.23K
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
8,648
lifetime
Volume
$3.56M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$411
Open exposure
$49.7K
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 07-20 20:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
80% 75% $-502
Other
19%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -30,492 $-27,534 90¢ $-27290 +$244 07-08 13:52
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +5,995 $5,454 94¢ $5.7K +$212 06-16 02:55
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +6,000 $5,170 90¢ $5.4K +$200 06-25 11:25
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +6,102 $4,000 42¢ $2.5K $-1,468 06-17 02:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +14,970 $5,258 14¢ $2.0K $-3,237 07-21 03:51
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +2,600 $2,166 56¢ $1.4K $-723 06-17 18:09
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -4,297 $-2,199 34¢ $-1439 +$760 06-16 20:18
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes -1,815 $-1,326 70¢ $-1280 +$47 07-01 00:03
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +1,020 $925 96¢ $977 +$52 06-26 18:37
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +900 $702 52¢ $464 $-238 06-17 18:01
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? No +430 $391 98¢ $420 +$29 06-15 12:33
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +383 $349 96¢ $370 +$21 06-09 12:22
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -934 $-293 26¢ $-238 +$55 07-20 16:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +2,006 $301 $110 $-191 05-28 22:08
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +95 $84 92¢ $88 +$4 06-16 10:31