Realized P&L (90d)
-$2.16K
Unrealized P&L
+$668
Hit rate
29.5%
Resolved (90d)
6
Trades (90d)
58
9,326 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$30.1K
$3.84M lifetime
Avg / trade
$412
Open exposure
$25.5K
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 10-10 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Politics
76% 68% +$27,083
Other
21% 65% -$16,625
Crypto
3% 100% +$326
Sports
0% 67% +$2,213
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$302
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10,404 -$11,676 96¢ $-9988 +$1,688 07-08 13:52
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -26,568 -$6,167 19¢ $-5075 +$1,093 08-20 14:30
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4,600 -$4,601 98¢ $-4496 +$104 08-11 17:21
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No -3,000 -$2,855 97¢ $-2905 -$50 08-06 15:03
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,000 -$3,080 96¢ $-1910 +$1,170 08-06 15:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -29,508 -$2,923 2¢ $-693 +$2,229 08-20 14:32
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -2,004 -$576 20¢ $-401 +$175 07-23 06:48
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? No -24 -$54 98¢ $-24 +$31 08-12 13:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +249 $6,206 6¢ $14 -$6,192 07-27 02:15
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$361 98¢ $0 +$361 08-07 00:39
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +0 -$60 98¢ $0 +$60 08-16 14:45