Realized P&L (30d)
+$320
Unrealized P&L
+$845
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
1
Trades (30d)
2
9,338 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.42K
$3.85M lifetime
Avg / trade
$412
Open exposure
$25.3K
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 10-10 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Politics
76% 68% +$27,083
Other
21% 65% -$16,625
Crypto
3% 100% +$326
Sports
0% 67% +$2,213
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$302
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10,404 -$11,676 97¢ $-10092 +$1,584 07-08 13:52
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -26,568 -$6,167 18¢ $-4809 +$1,359 08-20 14:30
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4,600 -$4,601 98¢ $-4501 +$100 08-11 17:21
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No -3,000 -$2,855 97¢ $-2905 -$50 08-06 15:03
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,000 -$3,080 96¢ $-1910 +$1,170 08-06 15:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -29,508 -$2,923 2¢ $-693 +$2,229 08-20 14:32
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -2,004 -$576 19¢ $-381 +$195 07-23 06:48
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? No -24 -$54 98¢ $-24 +$31 08-12 13:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +249 $6,206 6¢ $14 -$6,192 07-27 02:15
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$361 98¢ $0 +$361 08-07 00:39
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +0 -$60 98¢ $0 +$60 08-16 14:45