Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$296

Unrealized P&L

-$49

Hit rate

42.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$46

5 positions

First seen

2026-08-13

last 09-18 00:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 33% -$385

Politics

8% 67% +$129

Other

3% 0% -$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+161	$20	10¢	$15	-$5	08-13 18:15
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+167	$20	6¢	$11	-$9	08-14 01:17
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	+200	$20	3¢	$7	-$13	08-14 01:15
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+580	$20	1¢	$7	-$13	08-14 01:14
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	+407	$15	2¢	$6	-$9	08-14 01:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	2	$163	294	294	+0	Yes	+$63	08-14 01:22
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$162	113	113	+0	Down	+$62	09-09 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$100	4,368	0	+4,368	Down	-$100	09-12 10:34
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 01:15 UTC	2	$97	83	83	+0	Down	+$57	08-14 01:24
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$75	55	55	+0	Up	+$35	08-13 21:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:45 UTC	1	$50	156	0	+156	Up	-$50	08-15 09:47
Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$50	243	0	+243	Up	-$50	09-12 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$50	106	0	+106	Down	+$56	09-12 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$50	384	0	+384	Up	-$50	09-12 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$50	147	0	+147	Down	+$97	09-12 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$50	106	0	+106	Up	-$50	09-12 15:51
will bitcoin reach 66k august 10 16 2026	1	$50	847	0	+847	No	-$50	08-13 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$50	123	0	+123	Down	-$50	09-12 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$50	137	0	+137	Up	-$50	09-12 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$50	114	0	+114	Up	+$64	09-09 04:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$50	109	0	+109	Up	-$50	09-09 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$50	88	0	+88	Down	+$38	09-12 09:07
Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$50	128	0	+128	Down	+$78	09-12 09:51
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 01:35 UTC	1	$50	209	0	+209	Up	-$50	08-14 01:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 00:20 UTC	1	$50	167	0	+167	Down	-$50	09-18 00:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 16:30 UTC	1	$50	96	0	+96	Up	+$46	08-14 16:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:30 UTC	1	$50	179	0	+179	Down	-$50	08-17 09:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:40 UTC	1	$50	681	0	+681	Up	-$50	08-17 10:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 10:50 UTC	1	$50	167	0	+167	Down	+$117	08-15 10:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 10:35 UTC	1	$50	208	0	+208	Up	+$158	08-15 10:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 11:20 UTC	1	$50	192	0	+192	Down	-$50	08-15 11:20
will bitcoin dip to 60k august 10 16 2026	1	$50	1,186	0	+1,186	No	-$50	08-13 18:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 09:15 UTC	1	$50	162	0	+162	Up	-$50	08-14 09:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 01:35 UTC	1	$50	147	0	+147	Up	-$50	08-14 01:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 19:15 UTC	1	$50	192	0	+192	Down	-$50	08-14 19:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 00:20:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x2fa4c2…
09-12 15:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xa682b8…
09-12 15:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	670	3¢	$17	0x600039…
09-12 11:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x26218b…
09-12 10:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	46	3¢	$2	0x9a1f2b…
09-12 10:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4,044	1¢	$48	0x3b9bae…
09-12 10:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0xe83e65…
09-12 09:58:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	243	21¢	$50	0x40b4f6…
09-12 09:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	137	36¢	$50	0x6c1f0c…
09-12 09:51:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xaf9dc0…
09-12 09:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x845e91…
09-12 09:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	123	41¢	$50	0x10fe73…
09-12 09:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	384	13¢	$50	0x98dc56…
09-12 09:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xd63d1f…
09-12 09:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,215	4¢	$48	0x86ee10…
09-09 04:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xbd3158…
09-09 04:20:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0x880dd6…
09-09 04:16:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0x74d4e0…
09-09 04:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xd774c3…
09-05 15:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x1b2a43…
08-17 10:43:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	681	7¢	$50	0x50d0f5…
08-17 10:42:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	175	26¢	$45	0xe3e86f…
08-17 09:46:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	135	33¢	$45	0x9096bf…
08-17 09:46:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	36	60¢	$21	0x9a1a5b…
08-17 09:40:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xea1fb9…
08-17 09:36:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xa3ac50…
08-17 09:35:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xae7350…
08-17 09:32:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	514	5¢	$27	0x15e893…
08-17 09:31:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xed5b8c…
08-15 18:42:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x9d23f2…
08-15 18:07:18	wnba nyl conn 2026 08 15	Connecticut Sun	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x234aee…
08-15 18:06:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	116	25¢	$29	0xbc5c10…
08-15 18:06:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x608578…
08-15 18:03:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x0911cc…
08-15 11:30:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	67	32¢	$21	0x53b994…
08-15 11:20:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x1ab256…
08-15 10:51:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0xdb6bdc…
08-15 10:35:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xb51036…
08-15 09:47:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x103f20…
08-15 09:36:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	177	27¢	$48	0xd2214f…
08-15 09:31:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	75	14¢	$11	0x0390a8…
08-14 19:17:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x8f69f7…
08-14 18:38:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x665fa4…
08-14 17:42:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xf46399…
08-14 16:44:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xce3d67…
08-14 16:35:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x338c68…
08-14 16:31:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xf9e23a…
08-14 16:30:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x301561…
08-14 16:29:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1ed498…
08-14 09:16:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	162	31¢	$50	0x6b884b…
08-14 09:13:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	86	23¢	$20	0x8a6f87…
08-14 09:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x99994a…
08-14 01:40:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	199	22¢	$44	0xcbec09…
08-14 01:36:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	209	24¢	$50	0x88311d…
08-14 01:35:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xdc770b…
08-14 01:34:24	atp shelton nakashi 2026 08 13	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x99febe…
08-14 01:24:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 01:15 UTC	Up	SELL	83	93¢	$77	0x0c9b9e…
08-14 01:22:45	Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	SELL	294	38¢	$113	0xd9c54e…
08-14 01:21:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	129	15¢	$20	0x47ecc1…
08-14 01:20:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xef5307…
08-14 01:18:34	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	407	4¢	$15	0xd294eb…
08-14 01:17:46	Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x7e2165…
08-14 01:16:42	xrp above 1pt1 on august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	690	3¢	$20	0xf41f95…
08-14 01:15:46	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x55f743…
08-14 01:14:58	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	580	3¢	$20	0xfcb3ba…
08-14 01:05:51	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	95	13¢	$12	0x8a74f4…
08-13 21:05:01	Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x3ea84d…
08-13 21:00:42	Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x347743…
08-13 20:59:22	Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	410	2¢	$7	0x8b48bb…
08-13 20:54:01	Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xe14c9c…
08-13 20:53:12	Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x546fe7…
08-13 18:15:45	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	161	12¢	$20	0x821008…
08-13 18:15:13	will trump say think about it during remarks in new york 20260811183234684	Yes	BUY	110	29¢	$31	0x2f3077…
08-13 18:12:39	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 10 16 2026	Yes	BUY	1,186	4¢	$50	0x84d4bf…
08-13 18:11:52	will bitcoin reach 66k august 10 16 2026	Yes	BUY	847	6¢	$50	0xf24be2…
08-13 18:09:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x939351…