Double-Rutabaga — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$376

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

Trades

212

lifetime

Volume

$27.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$127

Open exposure

$6.25K

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 07-05 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

79% — —

Politics

16% — —

Crypto

5% 52% $-376

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+4,178	$3,934	94¢	$3.9K	+$8	07-02 00:26
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	+1,650	$1,623	99¢	$1.6K	+$2	07-05 17:44
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+484	$453	96¢	$465	+$12	05-30 03:39
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	-217	$-188	88¢	$-192	$-4	07-01 14:37
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	+300	$30	10¢	$28	$-2	06-23 22:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	1	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	open	—	04-09 16:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	4	$4.1K	2,104	2,104	+0	open	—	04-14 00:37
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$3.9K	4,178	0	+4,178	open	—	07-02 00:26
Trump out as President by April 30?	16	$2.9K	1,489	1,489	+0	open	—	04-07 12:17
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.9K	1,661	308	+1,353	open	—	06-05 17:11
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	13	$1.6K	0	1,643	-1,643	open	—	06-02 05:53
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	14	$1.6K	1,650	0	+1,650	open	—	07-05 17:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$958	1,234	0	+1,234	open	—	04-06 03:40
deepseek v4 released by april 7	1	$943	944	0	+944	open	—	04-08 04:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$832	440	440	+0	open	—	04-28 15:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	6	$470	518	0	+518	open	—	05-30 03:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$453	484	0	+484	open	—	05-30 03:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	7	$437	252	200	+52	open	—	04-07 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$224	506	415	+91	Down	+$4	05-09 13:18
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	9	$188	0	217	-217	open	—	07-01 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$125	968	0	+968	Up	$-125	05-09 13:38
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	1	$123	0	126	-126	open	—	05-30 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$122	246	169	+77	Down	+$2	05-09 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$100	539	0	+539	Down	$-100	05-09 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$100	172	0	+172	Down	$-100	05-09 13:29
btc updown 5m 1775363700	1	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	04-05 04:39
btc updown 15m 1775478600	13	$73	223	166	+57	open	—	04-06 12:44
btc updown 15m 1775476800	10	$62	200	0	+200	open	—	04-06 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	3	$52	124	124	+0	open	—	05-02 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$48	166	166	+0	Up	$-22	05-09 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$35	199	0	+199	Up	$-35	05-09 13:08
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	1	$30	300	0	+300	open	—	06-23 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$26	33	33	+0	open	—	05-02 00:47
eth updown 15m 1775475900	7	$23	50	50	+0	open	—	04-06 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$21	38	38	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 04:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 17:44:46	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	506	98¢	$498	0xff2e8e…
07-05 13:46:59	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x95d627…
07-05 12:59:31	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8b5f4b…
07-05 12:19:55	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x0a966b…
07-05 11:25:10	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x076f9a…
07-05 10:21:55	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xef8e14…
07-04 07:00:50	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	214	99¢	$211	0x9c63c3…
07-04 07:00:32	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	214	99¢	$211	0x59033d…
07-04 07:00:13	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x6d066b…
07-02 20:10:07	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	502	98¢	$493	0x179a17…
07-02 11:56:05	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x121a16…
07-02 11:47:35	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdd2130…
07-02 11:43:32	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x17a334…
07-02 11:42:40	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd9ec0d…
07-02 00:26:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	3,510	94¢	$3,313	0x08f7d8…
07-01 14:37:29	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x28b1c2…
06-23 22:36:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xbd7688…
06-23 07:27:20	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	38	87¢	$33	0xab8b21…
06-23 07:27:20	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x3c9633…
06-23 06:31:20	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xe2b950…
06-23 06:13:38	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x205900…
06-23 06:13:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x96a0a8…
06-23 04:45:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x18e761…
06-23 04:45:35	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xca0ba2…
06-23 04:31:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	47	87¢	$41	0xf03fe3…
06-05 17:11:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,661	98¢	$1,634	0x3710f4…
06-02 05:53:33	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	253	99¢	$251	0xe4d4a9…
06-02 05:29:33	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xfd5f82…
06-02 04:42:57	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	253	99¢	$251	0x6feac4…
06-02 03:31:41	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	403	99¢	$400	0x277b13…
06-01 12:50:02	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7ac55a…
06-01 08:49:55	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb3407c…
06-01 02:30:45	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x9cfbeb…
05-31 20:06:51	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x3343a5…
05-31 08:25:43	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd6ed60…
05-31 07:25:20	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x8a939d…
05-31 03:09:21	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x1692ba…
05-31 01:53:24	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xce5acd…
05-30 14:24:02	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	517	99¢	$513	0xd8d595…
05-30 03:39:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	484	93¢	$453	0xe7b03a…
05-30 03:36:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	81	93¢	$75	0xf94548…
05-30 03:35:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	168	92¢	$155	0xcd96d1…
05-30 03:35:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xbb0cab…
05-30 03:35:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xa89b0b…
05-30 03:34:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x561592…
05-30 03:34:33	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	308	99¢	$304	0x3246ca…
05-30 03:31:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	150	89¢	$134	0x3a1762…
05-30 03:28:14	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	126	98¢	$123	0x5f89c2…
05-30 03:19:57	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	668	93¢	$621	0x8533e1…
05-09 14:35:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x9364eb…
05-09 14:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	24	41¢	$10	0xc61611…
05-09 14:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x4be27f…
05-09 14:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	43	10¢	$4	0x712342…
05-09 14:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x199509…
05-09 14:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	24	45¢	$11	0x167ca3…
05-09 14:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xd59126…
05-09 13:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	365	7¢	$25	0xc8c6ac…
05-09 13:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	603	17¢	$100	0x7fd8b3…
05-09 13:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	77	32¢	$25	0x12df9b…
05-09 13:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x2b4921…
05-09 13:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x5c6c39…
05-09 13:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	119	33¢	$39	0x2b64d4…
05-09 13:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0xd43e23…
05-09 13:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x6c208a…
05-09 13:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	168	23¢	$38	0x7f764e…
05-09 13:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	371	17¢	$62	0x7a8acc…
05-09 13:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xe0042d…
05-09 13:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	415	27¢	$114	0x4578c8…
05-09 13:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	415	24¢	$100	0x9b8888…
05-09 13:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	166	8¢	$13	0x5e124d…
05-09 13:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x3012c5…
05-09 13:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	103	24¢	$25	0xa520ed…
05-09 13:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0x326fb2…
05-09 13:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x2ed486…
05-09 13:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x394f8e…
05-09 12:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xfa3bec…
05-09 12:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x173037…
05-09 12:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x99a8bd…
05-07 09:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x0b2ebc…
05-07 09:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x52eb2a…
05-07 05:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x6735e7…
05-06 04:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xa8453a…
05-06 04:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdefb59…
05-06 04:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xd07776…
05-06 04:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9e4a04…
05-06 04:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	38	28¢	$11	0x947f0e…
05-06 04:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x17a004…
05-06 04:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	24	19¢	$4	0xb8fc20…
05-06 04:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x0ff2f1…
05-06 03:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x07d031…
05-05 11:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x32d457…
05-05 11:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x6c935e…
05-05 04:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0xf5375b…
05-05 04:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xf81fa5…
05-05 02:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0xbe570a…
05-05 02:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x11dab8…
05-05 02:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xa21c3b…
05-05 02:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x85f367…
05-05 02:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x72a9d4…
05-05 02:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x117251…