Double-Rutabaga — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$177

Unrealized P&L

+$244

Hit rate

1.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

386 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.07K

$60.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$158

Open exposure

$7.84K

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 10-08 11:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

89% 87% +$113

Politics

9% 33% -$998

Crypto

2% 60% -$455

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+6,223	$5,905	98¢	$6.1K	+$191	10-04 14:15
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		+1,825	$1,694	96¢	$1.7K	+$53	10-08 11:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	96	$18.9K	11,140	9,315	+1,825	open	—	10-08 11:13
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	11	$5.9K	6,223	0	+6,223	open	—	10-04 14:15
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	15	$5.5K	1,650	4,088	-2,438	No	-$178	07-05 17:44
spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	1	$5.0K	5,050	0	+5,050	Up	+$20	04-09 16:34
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	5	$4.7K	4,457	308	+4,149	No	+$67	06-05 17:11
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	10	$4.3K	2,204	2,204	+0	No	+$16	05-02 00:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	4	$4.1K	2,104	2,104	+0	No	+$7	04-14 00:37
Trump out as President by April 30?	16	$2.9K	1,489	1,489	+0	No	+$7	04-07 12:17
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	49	$2.5K	272	2,292	-2,020	No	-$13	06-02 05:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$958	1,234	0	+1,234	Yes	-$958	04-06 03:40
deepseek v4 released by april 7	1	$943	944	0	+944	No	+$1	04-08 04:28
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	6	$902	459	459	-0	open	—	05-30 03:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$832	440	440	+0	No	+$30	04-28 15:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	6	$470	518	0	+518	No	+$48	05-30 03:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	7	$437	252	200	+52	Yes	-$47	04-07 18:56
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	11	$270	100	217	-117	Yes	+$106	07-01 14:37
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	4	$240	126	126	+0	No	+$6	05-30 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$224	506	415	+91	Down	+$4	05-09 13:18
Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?	3	$177	95	95	+0	open	—	09-05 19:17
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?	1	$149	151	0	+151	No	+$2	05-09 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$125	968	0	+968	Up	-$125	05-09 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$122	246	169	+77	Down	+$2	05-09 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$100	539	0	+539	Down	-$100	05-09 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$100	172	0	+172	Down	-$100	05-09 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 04:35 UTC	1	$100	108	0	+108	Down	+$8	04-05 04:39
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?	3	$84	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	08-19 16:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 12:30 UTC	13	$73	223	166	+57	Up	-$42	04-06 12:44
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	2	$69	300	300	+0	open	—	08-19 16:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 12:00 UTC	10	$62	200	0	+200	Down	-$62	04-06 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	3	$52	124	124	+0	Up	+$22	05-02 00:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 11:13:23	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x25bafc…
10-04 14:15:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,890	98¢	$1,847	0xed0fc6…
09-05 19:17:07	Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?	No	SELL	95	96¢	$91	0xc0da0d…
08-19 16:09:37	Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?	Yes	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x7ec34b…
08-19 16:09:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	300	13¢	$39	0x870e4b…
07-05 17:44:46	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	506	98¢	$498	0xff2e8e…
07-05 13:46:59	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x95d627…
07-05 12:59:31	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8b5f4b…
07-05 12:19:55	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x0a966b…
07-05 11:25:10	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x076f9a…
07-05 10:21:55	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xef8e14…
07-04 07:00:50	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	214	99¢	$211	0x9c63c3…
07-04 07:00:32	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	214	99¢	$211	0x59033d…
07-04 07:00:13	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x6d066b…
07-03 18:40:49	Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?	Yes	BUY	45	83¢	$37	0x596e09…
07-02 20:10:07	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	502	98¢	$493	0x179a17…
07-02 11:56:05	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x121a16…
07-02 11:47:35	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdd2130…
07-02 11:43:32	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x17a334…
07-02 11:42:40	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd9ec0d…
07-02 10:46:53	Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb113ec…
07-02 00:26:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	3,510	94¢	$3,313	0x08f7d8…
07-01 14:37:29	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x28b1c2…
06-23 22:36:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xbd7688…
06-23 07:27:20	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	38	87¢	$33	0xab8b21…
06-23 07:27:20	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x3c9633…
06-23 06:31:20	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xe2b950…
06-23 06:13:38	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x205900…
06-23 06:13:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x96a0a8…
06-23 04:45:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x18e761…
06-23 04:45:35	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xca0ba2…
06-23 04:31:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	47	87¢	$41	0xf03fe3…
06-05 17:11:22	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,661	98¢	$1,634	0x3710f4…
06-02 05:53:33	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	253	99¢	$251	0xe4d4a9…
06-02 05:29:33	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xfd5f82…
06-02 04:42:57	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	253	99¢	$251	0x6feac4…
06-02 03:31:41	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	403	99¢	$400	0x277b13…
06-01 12:50:02	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7ac55a…
06-01 08:49:55	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb3407c…
06-01 02:30:45	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x9cfbeb…
05-31 20:06:51	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x3343a5…
05-31 08:25:43	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd6ed60…
05-31 07:25:20	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x8a939d…
05-31 03:09:21	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x1692ba…
05-31 01:53:24	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xce5acd…
05-30 14:24:02	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	517	99¢	$513	0xd8d595…
05-30 03:39:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	484	93¢	$453	0xe7b03a…
05-30 03:38:07	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	459	98¢	$451	0x15b6be…
05-30 03:36:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	81	93¢	$75	0xf94548…
05-30 03:35:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	168	92¢	$155	0xcd96d1…
05-30 03:35:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xbb0cab…
05-30 03:35:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xa89b0b…
05-30 03:34:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x561592…
05-30 03:34:33	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	308	99¢	$304	0x3246ca…
05-30 03:31:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	No	BUY	150	89¢	$134	0x3a1762…
05-30 03:28:14	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	126	98¢	$123	0x5f89c2…
05-30 03:19:57	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	668	93¢	$621	0x8533e1…
05-27 14:51:33	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xf21683…
05-23 21:46:27	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6c7444…
05-23 21:32:54	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcd0ad7…
05-23 21:05:55	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x198a1d…
05-23 20:39:29	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcf4047…
05-23 20:32:50	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x330bb9…
05-23 02:20:03	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x4061d1…
05-22 23:25:21	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8b6023…
05-22 05:17:17	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd43d9d…
05-21 20:25:48	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd3c985…
05-21 20:14:43	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5c80e4…
05-21 20:02:48	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x64d314…
05-21 19:55:58	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1fc93a…
05-21 19:36:31	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdb09d7…
05-21 17:33:17	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x12270e…
05-21 13:28:50	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3bbf2e…
05-21 13:26:09	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	241	99¢	$239	0x77ad73…
05-21 09:05:10	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x1a860e…
05-21 08:38:59	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xcab915…
05-21 08:20:56	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbc8743…
05-20 08:28:07	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd50ad2…
05-20 07:58:43	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x97699f…
05-20 07:47:10	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x4ceaf9…
05-20 04:08:41	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb87c04…
05-19 20:54:32	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x55097b…
05-19 20:45:56	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x131c3b…
05-19 19:09:48	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9baa85…
05-19 18:44:48	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x64e658…
05-19 18:22:01	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x62bf9d…
05-19 17:42:30	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	192	99¢	$191	0x52c44c…
05-19 17:17:55	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xefda1c…
05-19 15:36:28	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x924807…
05-19 09:02:40	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x92852e…
05-19 08:43:18	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4f0fad…
05-09 14:35:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x9364eb…
05-09 14:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	24	41¢	$10	0xc61611…
05-09 14:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x4be27f…
05-09 14:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	43	10¢	$4	0x712342…
05-09 14:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x199509…
05-09 14:25:06	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,485	98¢	$1,462	0xff4b93…
05-09 14:23:11	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xda6edc…
05-09 14:23:00	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x452b30…
05-09 14:22:48	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x61948a…