Unsteady-Porter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$36

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

Trades

133

lifetime

Volume

$5.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$62

1 position

First seen

2026-05-03

last 07-04 06:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

63% — —

Crypto

30% 61% +$5

Politics

5% 0% $-2

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		+1,600	$98	4¢	$62	$-36	06-11 11:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	17	$2.0K	21,381	28,441	-7,060	open	—	05-25 22:57
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	6	$1.0K	1,260	1,260	+0	open	—	05-15 02:52
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	8	$707	1,356	217	+1,139	open	—	05-29 15:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	10	$274	4,560	5,960	-1,400	open	—	06-01 23:49
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	8	$239	1,529	29	+1,500	open	—	06-08 00:23
over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	2	$201	277	0	+277	open	—	07-03 16:02
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	1	$200	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	07-03 16:10
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	6	$173	194	194	+0	open	—	06-22 20:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$160	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-29 15:37
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?	2	$107	75	75	+0	No	+$43	05-11 13:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$98	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	06-11 11:08
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$80	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	06-07 22:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	3	$40	500	500	+0	No	$-2	05-10 05:39
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$31	29	29	+0	open	—	05-03 21:49
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$30	500	0	+500	open	—	05-09 14:10
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	2	$26	800	0	+800	open	—	07-04 06:25
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$24	46	0	+46	open	—	05-03 22:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$20	126	0	+126	open	—	05-09 21:20
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$20	467	0	+467	open	—	05-09 17:37
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$18	38	0	+38	open	—	05-03 22:38
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$10	45	0	+45	open	—	05-03 22:34
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-04 13:35
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-10	05-05 17:40
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-04 13:25
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-04 13:05
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-04 13:00
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Up	$-10	05-05 08:20
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Down	+$3	05-05 19:45
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-04 18:16
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-05 03:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 06:25:04	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	790	3¢	$25	0x5539e9…
07-03 16:10:47	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	Yes	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0x773dd0…
07-03 16:10:01	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x1fbd7a…
07-03 16:02:08	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	No	BUY	199	73¢	$145	0xcb8976…
07-03 16:01:31	over 40m committed to the laso finance public sale 638	No	BUY	78	72¢	$56	0x51cd54…
06-22 20:06:40	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	84	63¢	$53	0x9135a7…
06-22 19:09:56	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	110	63¢	$69	0x79505f…
06-20 21:08:38	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	88	26¢	$23	0xda26ba…
06-20 18:55:50	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xa4c1ef…
06-20 18:49:31	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	88	26¢	$23	0x15c96b…
06-20 18:18:40	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xb52020…
06-11 11:08:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,600	6¢	$98	0x5a12bc…
06-08 00:23:04	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x14c139…
06-07 23:38:55	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xfd5bb7…
06-07 23:38:54	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x64b530…
06-07 23:38:52	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	44	13¢	$6	0x2660c2…
06-07 22:26:39	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$80	0xedc8af…
06-07 22:17:58	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	940	13¢	$122	0x45beb4…
06-07 22:16:04	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	SELL	29	82¢	$24	0xc2c37d…
06-07 15:04:00	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x553b70…
06-05 17:08:43	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x5baa51…
06-05 16:21:24	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x99b546…
06-01 23:49:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,760	1¢	$29	0x06c551…
06-01 22:24:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$20	0xe815fe…
06-01 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0xa69e22…
06-01 06:57:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x461502…
06-01 06:57:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xbd7a58…
06-01 06:57:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xed3a8e…
06-01 06:54:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x75bfe7…
06-01 06:54:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	8¢	$13	0x356086…
06-01 06:54:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x868480…
05-31 21:35:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,200	11¢	$128	0xcd280d…
05-29 15:37:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	16¢	$160	0xe06051…
05-29 15:36:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	217	71¢	$154	0xb1d84c…
05-26 12:03:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	35¢	$211	0xcd9a6e…
05-25 22:57:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	10,003	2¢	$223	0xb588f4…
05-25 18:47:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xef402b…
05-25 18:45:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0xa41780…
05-25 18:45:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	1,114	3¢	$36	0xa23ced…
05-25 18:30:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x14a8f0…
05-25 18:15:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	1,491	3¢	$48	0x98cc76…
05-25 17:08:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	13,312	3¢	$420	0x74029b…
05-24 15:24:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	696	4¢	$25	0xc59f1c…
05-24 03:35:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	339	45¢	$153	0xdca575…
05-24 03:21:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	45¢	$82	0xd4793e…
05-24 03:20:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x5aa357…
05-24 03:18:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	45¢	$22	0xa35318…
05-23 20:31:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	300	13¢	$38	0xe18f2d…
05-23 20:19:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	250	12¢	$30	0x2a17a8…
05-23 16:20:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	237	9¢	$20	0x4d7109…
05-23 16:19:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	122	9¢	$11	0x2896fc…
05-23 16:19:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	359	9¢	$32	0x44862f…
05-23 03:21:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	46¢	$59	0x96f0a8…
05-22 17:23:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	3,829	6¢	$211	0x4f28e0…
05-22 17:22:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0xc454b3…
05-22 17:21:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0x320943…
05-17 11:26:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	7,701	5¢	$400	0x98cfe6…
05-17 11:19:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	10,041	5¢	$500	0x1959c5…
05-15 02:52:26	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,024	75¢	$769	0x04eacf…
05-14 14:18:20	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	236	64¢	$150	0xcd563b…
05-13 18:12:25	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	276	3¢	$9	0x91531c…
05-11 13:22:17	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xbce012…
05-10 15:35:32	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	397	6¢	$22	0x1f35bf…
05-10 05:39:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$19	0x11c0c4…
05-10 04:03:42	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xd88e19…
05-09 22:16:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x052a05…
05-09 22:16:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	490	4¢	$20	0x36a4ac…
05-09 21:20:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	16¢	$20	0x1bd12f…
05-09 17:37:38	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	467	4¢	$20	0x968577…
05-09 14:10:31	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x5188d3…
05-09 13:55:04	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	387	13¢	$50	0x2a9ca4…
05-08 16:52:54	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	75	43¢	$32	0x8198c5…
05-05 21:41:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xdba88e…
05-05 19:45:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x39b7cc…
05-05 19:10:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xc8a67a…
05-05 19:00:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0c4594…
05-05 18:32:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xd1647a…
05-05 18:05:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xeb5afc…
05-05 17:40:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1d346d…
05-05 17:16:14	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	77¢	$6	0x4d33e0…
05-05 17:06:12	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xdfe779…
05-05 16:26:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x03bff0…
05-05 16:06:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xa81a47…
05-05 14:51:14	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xf23bb1…
05-05 14:25:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x9888af…
05-05 14:00:32	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x2219d7…
05-05 13:45:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x5cc8a4…
05-05 13:01:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xca5180…
05-05 12:15:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x7e9a9d…
05-05 10:50:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xfd1404…
05-05 08:20:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x26a55e…
05-05 08:16:32	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x768252…
05-05 03:36:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd036ab…
05-05 02:16:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x835240…
05-04 23:48:12	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xd31495…
05-04 22:36:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x39f387…
05-04 22:31:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x7943e9…
05-04 21:55:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x3bfdf1…
05-04 21:46:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe873bb…
05-04 21:41:58	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xb2abd4…