Deadly-Crow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$148

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 09-04 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

64% 89% -$5

Crypto

36% 75% $0

Politics

0% 0% -$57

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	56	$5.7K	3,062	3,062	-0	open	—	09-04 16:24
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	3	$2.9K	1,462	1,462	+0	No	-$1	05-21 22:56
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	4	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$7	05-24 13:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	1	$1.4K	1,450	0	+1,450	No	+$1	05-21 22:58
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$69	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 06:44
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	03-08 14:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$57	150	0	+150	No	-$57	05-24 14:24
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	06-30 14:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 25?	3	$37	37	37	+0	Yes	-$1	05-24 07:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	04-09 14:25
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	03-13 06:45
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	01-16 13:08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$32	33	0	+33	No	+$0	09-04 16:25
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$0	06-30 14:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-21 16:59
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-21 17:02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 22?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-21 17:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	05-24 14:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-21 22:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 16:25:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0x43b440…
09-04 16:24:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0x185dd9…
06-30 14:32:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x8fe6e5…
06-30 14:32:32	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x83314b…
06-30 14:32:23	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x648074…
05-26 17:27:34	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xb1dbca…
05-25 11:32:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,530	93¢	$1,426	0x67150c…
05-25 07:28:03	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x081805…
05-25 07:00:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x38e500…
05-25 06:58:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	69	93¢	$64	0x5bfb33…
05-25 06:51:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x85cee5…
05-25 06:48:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x4f5eb6…
05-25 06:35:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	242	93¢	$226	0xbdbbd7…
05-25 06:31:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd79511…
05-25 06:29:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xd94e3b…
05-25 06:23:59	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0bb36d…
05-25 06:13:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x2d6ff8…
05-25 06:03:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xbcb1d5…
05-25 05:58:08	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	147	93¢	$137	0x543607…
05-25 05:45:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xf9c093…
05-25 05:45:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xaa6ab2…
05-25 05:45:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0xa137ec…
05-25 05:45:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	34	93¢	$32	0x04781a…
05-25 05:44:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xaad1d4…
05-25 05:44:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	36	93¢	$34	0x23b178…
05-25 05:43:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	239	93¢	$222	0xba8cd2…
05-25 05:43:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x885cb7…
05-25 05:33:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	144	93¢	$134	0x35c026…
05-25 05:33:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0x7af481…
05-25 05:33:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0xd84154…
05-25 05:32:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x9484d9…
05-25 05:26:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x6860f1…
05-25 05:25:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x82c1b6…
05-25 05:19:47	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	34	93¢	$32	0x637e8a…
05-25 05:19:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xc9a066…
05-25 05:16:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	193	93¢	$180	0x61d72d…
05-25 00:44:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,500	93¢	$1,395	0x7a8c7e…
05-24 19:44:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,137	93¢	$1,058	0xf0db8b…
05-24 19:41:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xe85c4d…
05-24 19:35:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	77	93¢	$71	0xc4fa1b…
05-24 19:30:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	77	93¢	$72	0xb9b95c…
05-24 19:26:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	73	93¢	$68	0x3134a3…
05-24 19:25:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x71c5c3…
05-24 19:12:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x5a45a4…
05-24 19:00:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x15f5bc…
05-24 18:57:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x744b30…
05-24 18:56:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xb55e59…
05-24 18:47:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xa4de02…
05-24 18:43:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x34ecc3…
05-24 18:41:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xb49e2e…
05-24 18:19:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x5dcb78…
05-24 18:15:08	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0xca50b4…
05-24 18:14:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbae24d…
05-24 17:53:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5ab072…
05-24 17:50:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x9e57ca…
05-24 17:46:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x84b1af…
05-24 17:37:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xbcc872…
05-24 17:25:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x699008…
05-24 17:21:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x469fb3…
05-24 17:17:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$16	0x0365b7…
05-24 14:24:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	38¢	$57	0xfb7aff…
05-24 14:09:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9ae46d…
05-24 13:56:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb698b8…
05-24 13:44:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	990	98¢	$972	0x875d64…
05-24 08:06:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	930	99¢	$920	0xf4d0f3…
05-24 07:55:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xb70a92…
05-24 07:44:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	37	48¢	$18	0x79356b…
05-24 07:32:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x27c2c5…
05-24 07:31:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x842fd2…
05-21 22:58:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	1,450	100¢	$1,449	0x2451c3…
05-21 22:57:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa57327…
05-21 22:56:41	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	1,462	100¢	$1,458	0x454948…
05-21 17:03:01	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xed5f9b…
05-21 17:02:20	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x32c4f1…
05-21 17:00:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x88da96…
05-21 16:59:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf5f062…
05-21 16:58:49	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,400	100¢	$1,397	0xb3f9e7…
05-18 16:02:35	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x54430d…
04-09 14:25:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x8094a6…
03-13 06:45:33	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x6518dd…
03-13 06:44:05	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xee15c4…
03-08 14:54:33	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$35	0xe4a7ab…
03-08 14:53:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x34020f…
02-13 14:26:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x0b3e90…
01-16 13:08:10	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x6faf56…