Hidden-Contrast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.69K

Unrealized P&L

+$553

Hit rate

89.0%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$225.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.11K

Open exposure

$63.1K

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 10-23 03:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

67% 43% +$1,392

Crypto

25% — —

Sports

5% 38% -$4,080

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+35,306	$33,910	98¢	$34.7K	+$743	09-27 03:18
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-9,837	-$9,539	98¢	$-9675	-$136	09-20 14:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+6,638	$6,217	96¢	$6.4K	+$189	10-23 01:58
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-6,426	-$5,972	99¢	$-6352	-$380	04-29 00:42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+6,073	$5,830	98¢	$6.0K	+$137	09-19 07:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	17	$60.8K	49,295	13,989	+35,306	open	—	09-27 03:18
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$51.4K	52,075	0	+52,075	No	+$718	05-27 13:54
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	11	$40.9K	21,808	21,808	+0	open	—	09-19 07:42
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	3	$23.0K	20,459	3,000	+17,459	No	+$454	09-30 00:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	8	$13.8K	10,638	4,000	+6,638	open	—	10-23 01:58
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$9.5K	0	9,837	-9,837	open	—	09-20 14:29
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$6.0K	0	6,426	-6,426	open	—	04-29 00:42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$5.8K	6,073	0	+6,073	open	—	09-19 07:51
wnba min nyl 2026 09 29	2	$1.5K	1,750	875	+875	New York Liberty	+$928	09-30 02:10
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5	2	$1.4K	1,912	1,000	+912	Under	-$470	10-21 02:59
Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5	2	$1.0K	2,080	0	+2,080	Under	-$1,019	10-22 02:07
nba phi mia 2026 03 30 total 243pt5	1	$1000	2,083	0	+2,083	Under	-$1,000	03-30 22:37
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5	2	$539	612	612	+0	Under	-$61	10-23 00:22
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	1	$500	1,042	0	+1,042	Thunder	-$500	10-23 03:33
Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 242.5	1	$500	1,000	0	+1,000	Under	-$500	10-21 08:00
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5	2	$500	1,000	0	+1,000	Under	-$500	10-20 22:58
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)	1	$500	962	0	+962	Thunder	+$462	10-23 02:55
Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5	1	$500	980	0	+980	Under	-$500	10-22 02:07
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 235.5	1	$500	980	0	+980	Over	+$480	10-21 08:10
nba phi mia 2026 03 30 spread away 2pt5	1	$500	1,020	0	+1,020	Heat	-$500	03-30 22:38
nba phi mia 2026 03 30 total 244pt5	1	$481	1,063	0	+1,063	Under	-$481	03-30 22:39
wnba gsv la 2026 09 24 total 157pt5	2	$460	1,234	1,234	+0	Under	-$140	09-25 02:52
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5	2	$460	920	0	+920	Under	-$460	10-23 01:32
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5	1	$400	784	0	+784	Under	+$384	10-21 03:51
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)	1	$400	800	0	+800	76ers	-$400	10-20 22:12
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5	1	$361	736	0	+736	Under	-$361	10-23 01:58
Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5	1	$350	655	0	+655	Under	+$305	10-22 01:18
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)	1	$350	673	0	+673	Thunder	+$323	10-23 01:59
Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 241.5	1	$300	544	0	+544	Under	+$244	10-22 01:40
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream	13	$282	600	0	+600	Atlanta Dream	-$282	10-07 08:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 03:42:11	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Nuggets	BUY	444	52¢	$231	0x8a303e…
10-23 03:33:59	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Nuggets	BUY	1,042	48¢	$500	0x4d9eb8…
10-23 02:55:59	Spread: Thunder (-2.5)	Thunder	BUY	962	52¢	$500	0xbb32a5…
10-23 01:59:36	Spread: Thunder (-4.5)	Thunder	BUY	673	52¢	$350	0x21c16c…
10-23 01:58:56	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	600	94¢	$564	0x2ab2d2…
10-23 01:58:21	Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5	Over	BUY	736	49¢	$361	0xc09f14…
10-23 01:32:36	Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5	Over	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x53c02a…
10-23 01:26:26	Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5	Over	BUY	840	50¢	$420	0xb2e43a…
10-23 00:54:18	Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)	76ers	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x786598…
10-23 00:53:51	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	625	32¢	$200	0xd9a485…
10-23 00:22:51	Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5	Over	SELL	612	39¢	$239	0x49679c…
10-22 22:38:48	Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5	Over	BUY	612	49¢	$300	0x124e50…
10-22 02:07:59	Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	816	49¢	$400	0x30625c…
10-22 02:07:06	Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5	Over	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0x933d04…
10-22 02:04:00	Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	1,263	49¢	$619	0x380b63…
10-22 01:40:06	Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 241.5	Under	BUY	544	55¢	$300	0xaf9a9f…
10-22 01:18:00	Pacers vs. Pelicans: O/U 245.5	Under	BUY	655	53¢	$350	0x09e886…
10-22 01:17:09	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	94¢	$940	0xd3d9b4…
10-22 00:25:56	Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5	Over	BUY	327	52¢	$170	0x5525f7…
10-21 23:14:59	Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5	Under	BUY	481	52¢	$250	0x24d5b5…
10-21 08:10:29	Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 235.5	Over	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0xc92539…
10-21 08:00:24	Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 242.5	Over	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x206ed1…
10-21 03:51:06	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5	Under	BUY	784	51¢	$400	0x3a6732…
10-21 02:59:45	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5	Over	SELL	1,000	48¢	$480	0xc32805…
10-21 02:00:09	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5	Over	BUY	1,912	50¢	$950	0xaf2884…
10-21 01:59:02	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	95¢	$950	0x7844b7…
10-21 00:39:18	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	76ers	BUY	550	50¢	$275	0x1dddf9…
10-21 00:38:08	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x62bf76…
10-20 22:58:47	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5	Over	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xb5bf64…
10-20 22:58:00	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0x7add12…
10-20 22:56:51	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5	Over	BUY	204	46¢	$94	0x2bf687…
10-20 22:12:03	Spread: Knicks (-4.5)	Knicks	BUY	800	50¢	$400	0x8e7670…
10-20 22:10:38	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5	Over	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x26441d…
10-20 22:01:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	800	95¢	$760	0x2313f8…
10-17 01:46:14	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xb35e7f…
10-09 14:53:58	Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)	New York Liberty	BUY	420	49¢	$204	0x987181…
10-07 08:10:35	New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xf596c3…
10-07 08:08:14	New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x5bc68d…
10-07 08:06:53	New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x870fce…
10-07 08:06:30	New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xd93a6c…
10-07 08:04:50	New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x15845f…
10-07 08:00:56	New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x7cfcca…
10-07 07:55:36	New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xe44ddc…
10-07 07:26:32	New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xb1bb02…
10-07 07:22:11	New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x8b9b5b…
10-07 07:06:36	New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x551af2…
10-07 06:49:33	New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0xa81aad…
10-07 06:11:45	New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	BUY	306	47¢	$144	0x5a1437…
10-07 06:00:38	New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream	New York Liberty	BUY	57	47¢	$27	0x019ed5…
09-30 02:10:35	wnba min nyl 2026 09 29	New York Liberty	SELL	875	86¢	$752	0x0abc2f…
09-30 00:13:51	wnba min nyl 2026 09 29	New York Liberty	BUY	1,750	40¢	$700	0x28b548…
09-30 00:12:41	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x4e2053…
09-27 03:18:59	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xe94d33…
09-27 03:18:56	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x96497c…
09-27 03:18:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2,609	96¢	$2,510	0x50dc3a…
09-25 10:05:00	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0xf19a29…
09-25 02:57:12	wnba las phx 2026 09 24 total 175pt5	Under	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x9930a0…
09-25 02:57:11	wnba las phx 2026 09 24 total 175pt5	Under	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x7affa6…
09-25 02:57:08	wnba las phx 2026 09 24 total 175pt5	Under	BUY	268	16¢	$43	0x597776…
09-25 02:56:59	wnba las phx 2026 09 24 total 175pt5	Under	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x1d0faf…
09-25 02:56:11	wnba las phx 2026 09 24 total 175pt5	Under	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0x9f99ba…
09-25 02:56:00	wnba las phx 2026 09 24 total 175pt5	Under	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xfc6bd7…
09-25 02:55:59	wnba las phx 2026 09 24 total 175pt5	Under	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xd5ca60…
09-25 02:55:51	wnba las phx 2026 09 24 total 175pt5	Under	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xcc453c…
09-25 02:55:47	wnba las phx 2026 09 24 total 175pt5	Under	BUY	21	16¢	$3	0xeb021c…
09-25 02:55:33	wnba las phx 2026 09 24 total 175pt5	Under	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x9bb593…
09-25 02:55:29	wnba las phx 2026 09 24 total 175pt5	Under	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xf46219…
09-25 02:55:14	wnba las phx 2026 09 24 total 175pt5	Under	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xc8f133…
09-25 02:55:12	wnba las phx 2026 09 24 total 175pt5	Under	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x7f050e…
09-25 02:52:32	wnba gsv la 2026 09 24 total 157pt5	Over	SELL	1,234	13¢	$160	0x503546…
09-25 02:25:57	wnba gsv la 2026 09 24 total 157pt5	Over	BUY	1,234	24¢	$300	0x892f1a…
09-25 02:25:02	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	96¢	$962	0x8b3d6f…
09-24 09:32:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10,358	96¢	$9,945	0x838567…
09-20 20:33:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	800	96¢	$766	0x8c0e13…
09-20 18:24:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	517	96¢	$495	0xa77885…
09-20 18:10:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	541	96¢	$518	0x656422…
09-20 17:54:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x01e25e…
09-20 17:41:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xafe4db…
09-20 16:04:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	149	96¢	$143	0x02649d…
09-20 15:42:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	96¢	$4,785	0x76b686…
09-20 15:38:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	548	96¢	$524	0xa8f6b0…
09-20 14:29:27	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7,771	97¢	$7,561	0x227de9…
09-19 07:51:52	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,073	96¢	$5,830	0xe3419e…
09-19 07:48:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5,200	96¢	$5,000	0xcd7683…
09-19 07:46:09	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	10,638	94¢	$10,000	0xe08ead…
09-19 07:42:48	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	21,808	96¢	$20,892	0xa34615…
09-17 16:06:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3,020	96¢	$2,905	0x885e82…
08-23 03:38:54	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,066	96¢	$1,977	0x610b07…
07-14 08:31:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7,487	96¢	$7,210	0x772606…
07-01 14:43:29	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20,459	98¢	$20,000	0xc9e98f…
07-01 14:41:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	26,030	96¢	$25,000	0xcaea05…
05-27 13:54:28	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	31,611	99¢	$31,200	0xd8487a…
05-25 10:48:01	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20,464	98¢	$20,157	0x3e9890…
05-25 10:46:23	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	624	92¢	$573	0xd85d89…
05-25 10:46:23	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	391	92¢	$358	0xad65d1…
05-25 10:46:23	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	378	92¢	$347	0xace38f…
05-25 10:46:23	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	380	92¢	$349	0x69393b…
05-25 10:46:23	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	4,182	92¢	$3,835	0x5bfd81…
05-25 10:46:23	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1,905	92¢	$1,748	0x442ae2…
05-25 10:46:23	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	372	92¢	$341	0x3b5bb8…