Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$281
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
60
lifetime
Volume
$1.58K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$209
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 06-17 07:04
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
86%
Other
14%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +102,500 $300 $102 $-198 06-17 06:59
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +299 $50 16¢ $48 $-2 06-17 06:54
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +346 $50 $24 $-26 06-02 16:11
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +286 $20 $16 $-4 06-02 16:04
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,186 $20 $12 $-8 05-30 14:27
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? Yes +2,159 $50 $6 $-44 06-02 16:15