Sympathetic-Task-Med — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

+$825

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

Trades

256

lifetime

Volume

$78.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$306

Open exposure

$5.61K

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 10-29 14:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

87% 100% +$768

Crypto

7% — —

Politics

6% 50% -$775

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+5,656	$5,486	97¢	$5.5K	-$11	10-30 04:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+1,300	$405	11¢	$136	-$268	10-11 16:18
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	+0	-$1,104	90¢	$0	+$1,104	08-09 09:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	20	$21.6K	13,000	13,000	+0	open	—	08-09 09:57
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	19	$10.2K	10,340	0	+10,340	No	+$173	05-17 10:27
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	37	$9.2K	4,715	4,715	+0	open	—	10-26 04:38
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	5	$5.5K	5,656	0	+5,656	open	—	10-30 04:24
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$5.0K	2,524	2,524	+0	No	+$10	03-30 21:06
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	5	$4.9K	2,413	2,513	-100	No	+$11	03-30 02:31
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	27	$3.5K	1,790	1,790	+0	Yes	+$80	10-26 22:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	10	$3.3K	1,518	1,880	-362	No	+$5	04-20 10:30
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	26	$3.1K	1,554	1,554	+0	No	+$21	10-26 22:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$2.5K	2,549	0	+2,549	No	+$29	03-30 21:08
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$2.3K	1,203	1,203	-0	No	+$67	10-26 18:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	7	$1.5K	860	700	+160	No	+$14	04-14 15:49
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$693	742	0	+742	No	+$49	03-30 03:11
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	11	$672	473	205	+268	No	+$5	10-26 22:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$651	675	675	+0	Yes	-$628	04-07 23:23
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	16	$609	900	0	+900	Yes	+$291	10-26 05:51
Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$514	566	0	+566	No	+$52	10-26 04:45
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$467	490	0	+490	No	+$23	10-26 17:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	10	$405	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	10-11 16:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$345	200	200	+0	No	-$11	03-23 14:13
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	10	$323	170	170	+0	No	+$1	10-26 20:05
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$248	253	0	+253	Yes	+$5	10-26 12:57
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	1	$198	200	0	+200	No	+$2	04-14 15:48
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	2	$154	200	200	+0	No	-$130	04-24 09:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$142	150	150	+0	No	-$88	05-17 10:02
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$136	140	0	+140	No	+$4	10-26 05:02
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$131	69	69	+0	Yes	+$4	10-26 21:07
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$82	48	34	+14	No	+$0	10-26 22:56
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$24	25	0	+25	No	+$1	10-26 18:02
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	2	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	03-09 02:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 04:24:28	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0x6b649b…
10-29 14:28:34	StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	120	97¢	$117	0xa193bc…
10-26 22:57:12	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	521	99¢	$518	0x035cc7…
10-26 22:56:47	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	188	100¢	$187	0x34b466…
10-26 22:56:42	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	521	99¢	$516	0x335790…
10-26 22:56:39	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x314246…
10-26 22:56:38	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	347	99¢	$342	0x4273ae…
10-26 22:56:38	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x1d1b9c…
10-26 22:56:18	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xc13cb7…
10-26 22:55:05	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0x7cfdb8…
10-26 22:54:59	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	777	100¢	$774	0x406089…
10-26 22:54:48	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x8b2d74…
10-26 22:54:48	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3fc4ff…
10-26 22:54:45	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0xef8213…
10-26 22:54:45	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x938b1d…
10-26 22:54:12	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x0db18a…
10-26 22:54:11	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	72	97¢	$70	0x3e3f49…
10-26 22:54:11	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x2b7b66…
10-26 21:22:20	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	195	99¢	$194	0x698582…
10-26 21:07:26	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd4216e…
10-26 20:17:48	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x051a76…
10-26 20:10:56	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x9e2403…
10-26 20:10:32	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0xf78287…
10-26 20:05:15	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	94	95¢	$89	0xa98669…
10-26 20:04:08	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0x8ed483…
10-26 20:04:03	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x4b24c5…
10-26 20:03:23	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x57933d…
10-26 18:29:06	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x97166c…
10-26 18:26:53	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,065	99¢	$1,055	0x41ce58…
10-26 18:26:12	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x1eeb76…
10-26 18:26:00	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xcc20bf…
10-26 18:25:54	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xc8afb4…
10-26 18:23:39	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1,203	100¢	$1,201	0x2c3d00…
10-26 18:11:42	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xab2632…
10-26 18:11:38	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x184e2e…
10-26 18:11:29	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xf1fd73…
10-26 18:11:24	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xe11818…
10-26 18:11:17	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	153	99¢	$151	0xbadf62…
10-26 18:11:05	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb1e468…
10-26 18:10:59	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x21dae4…
10-26 18:10:53	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa5c13a…
10-26 18:10:44	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x60466c…
10-26 18:02:27	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xaf435e…
10-26 17:47:29	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x539dfa…
10-26 17:46:20	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x5cf921…
10-26 17:21:56	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb521b9…
10-26 17:21:23	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xd4b861…
10-26 17:21:15	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x29a0a5…
10-26 17:21:09	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x6edba6…
10-26 17:21:00	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	65	94¢	$61	0x3b85bf…
10-26 17:20:56	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6b7879…
10-26 15:51:26	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x66fd93…
10-26 14:37:09	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	178	92¢	$164	0x4aa38d…
10-26 13:58:06	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x5cd3fc…
10-26 13:57:53	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x4da244…
10-26 13:30:06	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x0f6d4c…
10-26 13:12:02	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	69	93¢	$64	0xee8e10…
10-26 12:57:12	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0xcbb20f…
10-26 12:57:06	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0x3ad407…
10-26 12:56:56	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0x6b17f3…
10-26 12:07:02	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	397	94¢	$374	0xfa8a2a…
10-26 09:37:08	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	540	94¢	$509	0xe8d640…
10-26 07:50:11	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	66	94¢	$61	0x83424d…
10-26 07:49:39	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0929c3…
10-26 07:25:57	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x8eaf23…
10-26 07:23:59	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x8995cd…
10-26 07:18:20	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xdbaeb2…
10-26 07:17:38	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x6a415e…
10-26 05:51:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	250	68¢	$169	0xbbe389…
10-26 05:36:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	66	68¢	$45	0xea9639…
10-26 05:36:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x8534df…
10-26 05:36:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xf0d069…
10-26 05:36:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x9f514c…
10-26 05:36:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x4ee1c2…
10-26 05:36:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xe8013e…
10-26 05:36:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	33	68¢	$22	0xca8bd7…
10-26 05:34:23	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdd8ff0…
10-26 05:21:35	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	52	68¢	$35	0xdd6e9a…
10-26 05:21:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xddfdfd…
10-26 05:20:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	158	68¢	$107	0x6b84fa…
10-26 05:20:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	101	68¢	$69	0xa2b716…
10-26 05:20:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x2f7f0f…
10-26 05:20:32	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	45	68¢	$31	0x15d72d…
10-26 05:20:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0x53b2ac…
10-26 05:04:09	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$191	0xb599c4…
10-26 05:02:59	Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x0f831c…
10-26 05:02:53	Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x4501d8…
10-26 05:02:47	Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xa98574…
10-26 04:51:12	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xdfda7a…
10-26 04:51:05	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x266664…
10-26 04:51:00	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	180	96¢	$173	0xefb8ec…
10-26 04:49:20	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x0bc245…
10-26 04:49:12	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x8c5e36…
10-26 04:49:08	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x2943ee…
10-26 04:49:02	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x1686f4…
10-26 04:48:59	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5d728e…
10-26 04:48:48	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x3ed84e…
10-26 04:48:09	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa19dff…
10-26 04:47:57	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd48f8a…
10-26 04:45:03	Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	566	91¢	$514	0x4ae0de…