Helpless-Vanity-Batting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.76K

Unrealized P&L

-$194

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved

273

Trades

464

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$593

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 10-19 22:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 24% -$983

Politics

27% 0% -$1,190

Other

22% 20% +$86

Sports

10% 38% +$331

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+1,429	$336	28¢	$393	+$56	07-27 21:52
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes		+4,438	$450	4¢	$200	-$250	09-21 21:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$2.0K	2,055	2,055	+0	No	+$844	07-27 21:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$1.9K	3,498	2,069	+1,429	open	—	07-27 21:52
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	3	$1.6K	3,747	3,654	+94	No	-$435	06-10 22:35
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$628	973	973	+0	Yes	+$28	05-31 23:34
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	1	$500	1,071	0	+1,071	Yes	+$571	06-07 23:30
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	2	$450	4,438	0	+4,438	open	—	09-21 21:25
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	4	$290	1,033	0	+1,033	No	-$290	06-09 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$277	269	269	+0	Up	+$257	05-25 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$233	185	185	+0	Down	+$133	05-26 00:35
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?	2	$221	116	116	+0	Yes	+$1	05-25 17:56
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	2	$210	1,225	0	+1,225	Yes	-$210	06-07 23:05
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	1	$200	1,196	0	+1,196	No	-$200	06-08 22:52
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$200	3,279	0	+3,279	No	-$200	06-14 23:46
israel closes its airspace by june 13	1	$200	723	0	+723	No	-$200	06-10 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$172	154	154	+0	Up	+$132	05-30 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	3	$158	150	150	+0	Down	+$138	05-30 00:56
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	1	$150	405	0	+405	Yes	-$150	07-25 01:19
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	5	$150	12,336	0	+12,336	No	-$150	06-15 00:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	4	$145	2,358	2,358	+0	No	-$55	05-31 23:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$129	125	125	+0	Up	+$119	05-26 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$128	104	104	+0	Down	+$78	05-26 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$122	103	103	+0	Up	+$82	05-30 01:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$110	91	91	+0	Up	+$70	05-30 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$107	83	83	+0	Down	+$57	05-26 00:10
bitcoin above 58k on june 8 2026	1	$100	13,769	0	+13,769	Yes	-$100	06-08 03:42
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$100	14,181	0	+14,181	No	-$100	06-08 22:23
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	1	$100	2,005	0	+2,005	No	-$100	06-15 21:13
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$100	222	0	+222	Knicks	+$122	05-23 11:47
nba finals wemby to record 20 rebounds in a game	1	$100	556	0	+556	No	-$100	06-07 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$96	77	77	+0	Down	+$56	05-30 01:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 22:41:57	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	462	6¢	$30	0x118fc6…
09-21 21:25:33	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x6a9b7d…
09-15 22:07:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x81ec1e…
08-28 23:49:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29?	No	BUY	1,071	3¢	$30	0x622090…
08-09 23:33:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xcf5151…
08-08 20:42:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x7fe7b9…
08-07 12:34:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x6c3343…
08-05 23:28:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x1eaed4…
08-05 23:22:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x256316…
08-05 23:22:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	51	19¢	$10	0x4bd178…
08-05 22:57:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x59aa84…
08-05 22:53:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf5f62b…
08-05 22:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	61	90¢	$55	0xfd212a…
08-05 22:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xc9407a…
08-05 22:46:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x9aaac4…
08-05 22:41:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6ab385…
08-05 22:39:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2046b5…
08-05 22:38:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x3b5c7a…
08-05 22:37:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8c600f…
08-05 22:36:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x88a253…
08-05 22:35:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xaa70fd…
08-05 00:19:41	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	442	5¢	$20	0x343cf7…
08-03 23:23:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x2f178a…
08-03 23:23:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xeb9fca…
08-03 23:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	151	1¢	$2	0x19c0ca…
08-03 23:13:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x1f713b…
08-03 23:12:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x8a0046…
08-03 23:09:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 23:05 UTC	Up	SELL	125	28¢	$35	0x50f8d4…
08-03 23:07:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x401822…
08-03 15:09:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:05 UTC	Up	SELL	38	20¢	$8	0x241431…
08-03 15:08:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x6a53ff…
07-27 21:57:37	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,813	10¢	$400	0xc00b89…
07-27 21:52:46	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,429	35¢	$500	0xc2f93a…
07-27 21:50:27	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	2,055	70¢	$1,444	0xd0f5b3…
07-25 01:19:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	405	37¢	$150	0x568294…
07-25 01:16:40	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,055	29¢	$600	0x911cca…
07-25 01:14:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,069	37¢	$764	0xf241b6…
06-19 23:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 23:25 UTC	Down	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xb7e8f7…
06-19 23:29:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x10d36f…
06-19 23:29:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 23:25 UTC	Up	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x931e9c…
06-19 23:27:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x77aae6…
06-17 21:52:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xe0c945…
06-17 21:44:40	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x1244be…
06-17 21:41:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xdb4bb3…
06-17 21:04:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,125	2¢	$50	0xe87d51…
06-17 15:07:19	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	No	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xb6d6b8…
06-16 22:19:35	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x103ffb…
06-16 22:11:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x12816e…
06-16 22:11:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	208	10¢	$20	0x38b0bf…
06-15 22:01:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x25bacf…
06-15 21:47:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xee4bb1…
06-15 21:44:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x13f4e0…
06-15 21:31:19	IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xd24eb6…
06-15 21:13:57	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	Yes	BUY	2,005	5¢	$100	0x4dd566…
06-15 21:10:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,069	29¢	$600	0x5bce28…
06-15 21:01:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x75cf68…
06-15 20:53:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x97bf89…
06-15 00:02:54	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,131	2¢	$20	0x3715e1…
06-15 00:01:27	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,946	1¢	$20	0x191a34…
06-14 23:48:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7b1942…
06-14 23:47:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	117	17¢	$20	0xda4366…
06-14 23:46:51	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,279	6¢	$200	0x9fc67b…
06-10 22:35:54	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x6ca7b5…
06-10 22:25:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x7fd48d…
06-10 22:25:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6c0abd…
06-10 22:24:21	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,125	3¢	$30	0x42e412…
06-10 22:23:52	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,983	1¢	$20	0x15c99c…
06-10 22:14:39	israel closes its airspace by june 13	Yes	BUY	723	28¢	$200	0x4dc1bc…
06-10 22:04:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x960c40…
06-10 22:02:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd818ba…
06-10 22:01:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x30ef9c…
06-10 21:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xff30d9…
06-10 21:42:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x810864…
06-10 21:33:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x847579…
06-10 21:33:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb503ac…
06-10 21:32:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x20170b…
06-10 21:31:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	90	22¢	$20	0x5fc95b…
06-10 21:29:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	118	16¢	$19	0x7d1379…
06-10 21:27:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x1c760f…
06-10 21:23:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x4da73f…
06-10 21:23:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	69	71¢	$49	0xa07bdd…
06-10 21:21:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xae693b…
06-10 21:18:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:15 UTC	Down	SELL	229	21¢	$48	0x919c7e…
06-10 21:17:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x329009…
06-10 21:16:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x1363b2…
06-09 22:53:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x807a04…
06-09 22:52:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x1bdf30…
06-09 22:40:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	158	13¢	$20	0x28d9f1…
06-09 22:39:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x21665a…
06-09 22:26:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x65d3f7…
06-09 22:00:33	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	191	26¢	$50	0x0f58f3…
06-09 21:58:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5e55ea…
06-09 21:56:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x2f2d68…
06-09 21:54:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xd0f139…
06-09 21:53:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	107	19¢	$20	0x821a0d…
06-09 21:52:42	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xa92377…
06-09 21:18:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	134	15¢	$20	0x598358…
06-08 22:52:12	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	1,196	17¢	$200	0x29b5ce…
06-08 22:31:19	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	989	2¢	$20	0xf3b42a…
06-08 22:23:19	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	990	1¢	$8	0x0e0152…