Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$585
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,807
lifetime
Volume
$1.88M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.04K
Open exposure
$10.4K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-13 08:28
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
63%
Crypto
22%
Politics
14%
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -2,000 $-1,985 94¢ $-1887 +$98 07-08 02:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2,500 $-2,000 70¢ $-1762 +$238 06-12 16:22
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? No -1,308 $-1,231 96¢ $-1249 $-18 07-08 14:30
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,000 $-1,017 96¢ $-955 +$62 07-08 02:54
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -1,000 $-930 92¢ $-925 +$5 07-08 02:51
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? No -837 $-803 96¢ $-804 $-1 07-13 08:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -624 $-600 96¢ $-600 $-0 07-08 02:52
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? No -558 $-519 95¢ $-530 $-11 07-08 23:46
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? No -515 $-484 96¢ $-492 $-8 06-14 06:03
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No -450 $-435 98¢ $-442 $-6 07-08 02:50
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No -323 $-338 100¢ $-322 +$15 07-08 02:54
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +344 $67 59¢ $203 +$136 06-15 12:28
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +300 $114 64¢ $190 +$76 06-12 19:43