Glistening-Piracy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$503

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-17 07:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

77% 80% +$1

Crypto

14% 100% +$1

Politics

9% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No		+10	$10	98¢	$10	+$0	08-17 07:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	$0	07-04 13:57
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$32	12	20	-8	No	$0	01-04 08:32
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$29	14	14	+0	No	+$0	06-30 05:15
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	$0	05-29 03:48
trump out as president by march 31	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	03-20 07:30
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-30 05:15
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-30 05:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	08-17 07:30
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-20 07:33
will nvda reach 280 in march	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-20 07:31
will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-04 13:58
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-17 07:30
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1	$18	19	0	+19	No	+$0	07-04 13:59
will ethereum dip to 1200 in january 2026 477	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	01-04 08:34
will solana reach 170 in february 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	02-10 02:03
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	02-10 02:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	05-29 03:48
will bitcoin dip to 55k in january 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	01-04 08:33
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	07-04 13:58
will solana dip to 50 in january 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	01-04 08:35
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	08-17 07:30
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-20 07:31
Will Microsoft reach $533 in April?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-30 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 07:30:58	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe72c09…
08-17 07:30:37	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x76271b…
08-17 07:30:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9c3f3d…
07-04 13:59:19	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0xa9b8c1…
07-04 13:58:53	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x86cbc8…
07-04 13:58:25	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x010280…
07-04 13:57:35	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$50	0xb36ee0…
06-30 05:17:04	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$50	0x8b8295…
06-30 05:16:16	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfa2c36…
06-30 05:15:50	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd2a924…
06-30 05:15:40	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe16c44…
05-29 03:48:53	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa35b77…
05-29 03:48:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x721a8c…
05-29 03:48:17	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x2e648d…
04-30 03:37:20	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xcd0b53…
04-30 03:35:34	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7a5683…
04-30 03:35:06	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf52047…
04-30 03:34:08	Will Microsoft reach $533 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa94718…
03-20 07:33:11	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfebfa2…
03-20 07:31:41	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa64ae7…
03-20 07:31:11	will nvda reach 280 in march	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa950ba…
03-20 07:30:27	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xeb90b0…
02-10 02:03:31	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4ce4ba…
02-10 02:03:09	will solana reach 170 in february 2026	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xadc68a…
02-10 02:02:17	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x1171a0…
01-04 08:35:07	will solana dip to 50 in january 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa95e2f…
01-04 08:34:49	will ethereum dip to 1200 in january 2026 477	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf1f237…
01-04 08:33:03	will bitcoin dip to 55k in january 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf0bbcf…
01-04 08:32:21	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc132fa…
01-04 08:31:29	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc781b2…