Repulsive-Implementation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

85.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$166

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$69

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-20 09:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

76% 71% +$1

Tech

20% 100% +$2

Politics

2% 100% +$3

Sports

1% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+40	$38	98¢	$39	+$1	07-18 11:16
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	+11	$10	90¢	$10	$0	10-18 09:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	-13	-$7	72¢	$-9	-$3	07-18 11:14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	+6	$5	94¢	$6	+$1	10-18 09:55
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	-6	-$5	96¢	$-6	$0	05-31 14:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 09:41:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd02cf4…
10-20 09:40:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x530de2…
10-18 09:56:17	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7a1db0…
10-18 09:55:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x824008…
07-18 11:16:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x2d8964…
07-18 11:16:10	lol t1 kc 2026 07 18	T1	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x272e36…
07-18 11:15:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2d0309…
07-18 11:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcb63ec…
07-18 11:14:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0x6c79b9…
06-30 15:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xdfd4d0…
06-30 15:11:43	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7643ee…
06-30 15:11:22	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xab31ae…
06-30 15:10:53	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x5a975e…
06-30 15:10:10	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x232c8e…
05-31 14:48:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xce5a8b…
05-31 14:47:27	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8f923a…
05-31 14:47:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xaa7dbb…
05-31 14:46:27	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xbff3cb…
05-31 14:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 76°F or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8494f8…
04-29 23:33:44	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4663c6…
04-29 23:33:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xf9c5e3…
04-29 23:32:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xdc65c2…
03-28 00:20:33	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xb21ae0…
03-27 00:20:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x02563f…
02-25 00:24:18	nothing ever happens february 152	Nothing	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x9af614…
02-25 00:23:36	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x258246…
01-11 06:11:40	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x91daa8…
01-11 06:11:14	Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x91fe93…
01-11 06:10:58	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x311fc8…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$38	40	0	+40	open	—	07-18 11:16
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-30 15:10
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	06-30 15:10
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	10-18 09:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	05-31 14:48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	04-29 23:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	1	$7	0	13	-13	open	—	07-18 11:14
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	1	$5	0	6	-6	open	—	05-31 14:46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	10-18 09:55
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-29 23:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	03-27 00:20
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	1	$4	6	0	+6	Yes	-$4	03-28 00:20
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	02-25 00:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	05-31 14:47
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	1	$3	7	0	+7	Yes	+$4	06-30 15:11
nothing ever happens february 152	1	$2	3	0	+3	Something	-$2	02-25 00:24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	06-30 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 76°F or higher on June 1?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-31 14:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 21?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	10-20 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 21?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	10-20 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 19?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	07-18 11:15
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$2	3	0	+3	Spain	+$1	07-18 11:15
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	06-30 15:11
lol t1 kc 2026 07 18	1	$2	2	0	+2	Karmine Corp	-$2	07-18 11:16
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in May?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	04-29 23:32
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	01-11 06:10
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	01-11 06:11
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	01-11 06:11