Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$101

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 10-22 00:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

66% 100% +$6

Politics

19% 100% +$1

Tech

7% 100% +$3

Sports

5% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	+52	$48	96¢	$50	+$2	10-22 00:14
Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	+51	$49	94¢	$48	-$1	10-20 07:53
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?	No	+4	$4	97¢	$4	+$0	09-21 19:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Macron out by December 31, 2026?	4	$171	115	64	+51	open	—	10-20 07:53
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	7	$124	65	65	+0	open	—	10-20 10:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$0	07-23 14:14
Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat?	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	10-07 09:39
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	3	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	09-14 00:06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$1	08-28 08:42
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$98	51	51	+0	open	—	07-24 07:44
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	2	$95	49	49	+0	open	—	07-23 10:07
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	3	$95	48	48	+0	open	—	09-10 20:26
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?	12	$93	49	46	+4	open	—	09-21 19:26
Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	2	$92	51	51	+0	No	+$0	08-30 10:41
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	2	$92	46	46	+0	No	+$0	05-27 20:25
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	3	$88	46	46	+0	No	+$0	05-25 16:10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?	2	$82	42	42	+0	open	—	07-27 00:05
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?	3	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	06-12 20:25
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	3	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	07-20 04:33
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	06-13 20:01
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	1	$48	52	0	+52	open	—	10-22 00:14
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	3	$47	41	7	+34	No	+$1	06-16 03:53
Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat?	1	$44	47	0	+47	open	—	10-02 01:59
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	1	$40	42	0	+42	No	+$1	06-22 15:32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$40	43	0	+43	Yes	+$3	06-22 11:19
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?	1	$40	43	0	+43	Yes	+$3	06-12 21:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 00:14:26	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0x6dc3a4…
10-20 10:10:11	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0xf9dcc8…
10-20 07:53:34	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x2c5d44…
10-07 09:39:51	Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$49	0x8ccd85…
10-02 01:59:03	Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat?	Yes	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0xfa4b46…
09-27 17:21:48	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	96¢	$61	0x22b61a…
09-26 22:25:09	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xd3c06c…
09-24 01:16:04	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	BUY	44	94¢	$42	0x0e2eb9…
09-21 19:26:22	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xcf976e…
09-21 08:58:14	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa56441…
09-18 13:37:45	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa8f994…
09-18 13:19:35	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x1719b2…
09-16 05:30:16	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7aabb0…
09-14 18:11:48	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x74067d…
09-14 09:18:46	Macron out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x610eea…
09-14 02:45:34	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0xde61b1…
09-14 00:06:37	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x363a3e…
09-12 18:51:57	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$44	0x8e4721…
09-10 20:26:12	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0xdc7789…
09-06 06:26:21	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x9a5d7b…
09-03 07:42:27	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc45d20…
09-03 07:27:37	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x615a24…
09-03 07:04:04	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc387be…
09-03 07:01:09	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb1e83f…
09-03 06:57:57	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x327fc5…
09-03 06:55:12	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3e220b…
09-03 06:52:09	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x032e9a…
09-03 06:49:06	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe9203c…
09-03 06:45:54	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x445f1b…
09-03 06:42:52	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbacc0e…
08-30 10:41:42	Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	No	SELL	51	90¢	$46	0x4096eb…
08-28 08:42:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$49	0xd2dda9…
08-23 13:10:58	Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$49	0xc4dbe5…
07-30 10:44:23	Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	No	BUY	51	90¢	$46	0xd968bd…
07-28 20:40:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x9d221e…
07-27 00:05:25	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x164f7a…
07-24 18:40:51	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xa23673…
07-24 07:44:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x3afb94…
07-23 14:14:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x43c32e…
07-23 10:07:25	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$48	0xf8d9d0…
07-21 22:24:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x82a3bc…
07-21 20:54:49	Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xc70ff4…
07-20 04:33:58	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$25	0x16ac83…
07-20 03:10:25	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0xce2f43…
07-19 14:43:28	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x807e28…
07-16 22:04:47	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x0ae769…
07-15 23:40:11	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$48	0xb2710c…
07-15 11:53:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x16be10…
06-22 15:32:22	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xb3c154…
06-22 11:19:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x3c5a3c…
06-16 03:53:18	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x6a1313…
06-13 20:01:01	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0xef5edc…
06-13 17:13:34	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xd07a22…
06-12 21:28:40	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x027806…
06-12 20:25:45	Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xf02351…
06-12 20:09:21	Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x549218…
05-31 12:17:11	Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x8994d2…
05-28 10:26:48	Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xb8950d…
05-27 20:25:53	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x96b7e8…
05-25 16:10:59	Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x8b2a9c…
05-25 16:07:43	Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0x1bd655…
05-16 05:39:09	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x94a43a…
05-15 21:17:44	Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0xd9d119…
05-07 14:29:57	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x358d10…
05-07 14:24:25	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4a4bea…