Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$666
Hit rate
76.8%
Resolved
2
Trades
2,505
lifetime
Volume
$10.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$640
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 07-22 22:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
61% 100% +$11
Politics
39% 0% $-8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +835 $-34 30¢ $246 +$280 07-20 19:33
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -4,854 $-321 $-187 +$135 07-20 18:44
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +1,550 $94 $119 +$24 07-16 17:59
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes -6,272 $-311 $-85 +$227 06-30 14:25
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? Yes +88 $3 $4 +$1 07-23 10:07