Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$250
Hit rate
76.8%
Resolved
2
Trades
2,269
lifetime
Volume
$8.00K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$488
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 07-02 02:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
71% 100% +$11
Politics
29% 0% $-8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,885 $301 14¢ $254 $-46 06-30 11:35
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes -6,272 $-311 $-116 +$195 06-30 14:25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -1,954 $-204 $-69 +$134 07-02 02:25
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +1,250 $79 $46 $-33 07-01 14:52
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? Yes +52 $2 $2 +$0 07-01 01:17