Beneficial-Welcome — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

Trades

3,088

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 08-12 10:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% 100% +$11

Politics

44% 0% $-8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	88	$2.8K	7,057	7,257	-200	open	—	08-03 07:02
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1,030	$2.4K	127,164	69,165	+57,999	open	—	03-30 02:27
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	248	$1.3K	9,740	15,029	-5,289	open	—	08-12 17:23
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	147	$828	7,731	18,120	-10,389	open	—	08-04 00:48
will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	35	$578	1,650	1,650	+0	open	—	08-10 22:07
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	48	$531	1,350	1,350	+0	open	—	08-03 15:52
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	63	$383	5,817	5,817	+0	open	—	08-04 02:48
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	40	$376	3,430	3,730	-300	open	—	05-12 13:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$368	400	600	-200	open	—	04-18 03:27
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	125	$336	8,740	9,900	-1,160	open	—	07-31 07:36
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	39	$323	3,262	3,262	+0	open	—	08-03 17:30
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	23	$319	2,210	1,973	+237	open	—	07-29 12:26
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	51	$315	4,400	4,400	+0	open	—	07-15 01:39
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	62	$308	4,022	4,022	+0	open	—	08-05 15:28
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	57	$245	3,123	5,900	-2,777	open	—	05-12 13:56
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	150	$230	19,800	21,247	-1,447	open	—	06-22 13:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	66	$206	10,200	13,176	-2,976	open	—	06-25 20:24
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	57	$202	4,769	5,305	-536	open	—	05-12 14:25
israel closes its airspace by august 15	32	$191	964	964	+0	open	—	08-02 22:55
will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	13	$175	400	400	+0	open	—	08-12 09:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	43	$172	6,671	5,700	+971	open	—	06-25 15:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	50	$164	6,440	6,800	-360	open	—	06-24 20:52
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	10	$123	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	07-31 08:06
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	30	$119	1,600	1,544	+56	open	—	07-31 15:21
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	9	$113	200	200	+0	open	—	05-01 19:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	5	$110	300	300	+0	open	—	08-04 07:19
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	6	$109	300	300	+0	Yes	+$11	04-18 19:43
will wti reach 105 in july 2026	28	$106	2,800	2,800	+0	open	—	07-31 09:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	44	$102	6,200	8,900	-2,700	open	—	06-25 14:11
will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	24	$99	4,200	4,200	+0	open	—	07-31 00:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 17:46:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x1cacde…
08-12 17:33:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x9e10c1…
08-12 17:23:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x98df5d…
08-12 16:37:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x1b5cd0…
08-12 16:33:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x3e3e58…
08-12 16:32:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x404082…
08-12 16:30:03	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x27061d…
08-12 16:29:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0xd09f3e…
08-12 16:04:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0xd96adb…
08-12 16:03:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x3cc9e1…
08-12 16:03:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0xdc770a…
08-12 16:03:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0xd51add…
08-12 16:02:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0xb23374…
08-12 16:02:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0xd82532…
08-12 14:52:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x82cedb…
08-12 10:18:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	800	4¢	$30	0x9c6dfe…
08-12 09:38:37	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	300	22¢	$66	0x3b271c…
08-12 00:39:45	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0x5a0031…
08-12 00:39:13	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x7d8a8f…
08-11 21:38:24	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$7	0x595bc8…
08-11 17:01:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x63a299…
08-11 15:47:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$37	0x9f293b…
08-11 14:58:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x699ed3…
08-11 14:00:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0x56b2fe…
08-11 12:02:36	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x69ffd4…
08-11 10:03:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	4¢	$23	0x3600f1…
08-11 09:22:00	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x3646df…
08-11 07:23:25	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	127	20¢	$25	0x29250d…
08-11 07:10:43	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xdf504e…
08-11 06:41:51	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x29fceb…
08-11 06:41:36	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	57	20¢	$11	0x264954…
08-11 06:26:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	50	21¢	$11	0xc72254…
08-11 06:19:19	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x4777c0…
08-11 05:21:22	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xecd53e…
08-11 04:59:58	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xfe9c36…
08-11 04:28:45	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0xd7cc26…
08-11 03:34:39	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x1989f4…
08-11 02:23:46	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x8e8af5…
08-11 02:21:36	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xae5f0f…
08-11 02:21:18	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xdf5076…
08-11 02:21:07	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xf1ec05…
08-11 02:21:06	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	65	24¢	$16	0x5f1b83…
08-11 02:21:06	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x3337f9…
08-11 02:10:12	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x485486…
08-11 02:10:01	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xb1e67e…
08-11 01:44:42	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe3621c…
08-11 00:59:49	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x490a90…
08-11 00:32:28	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xce1680…
08-11 00:18:24	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x808c91…
08-11 00:05:03	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x337706…
08-10 23:33:15	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xc81ece…
08-10 23:02:24	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x963ced…
08-10 22:47:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xbb54c6…
08-10 22:29:16	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xde51ed…
08-10 22:07:36	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	192	10¢	$19	0x62b5cf…
08-10 22:02:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x0e676a…
08-10 21:56:54	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xca3317…
08-10 21:15:42	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x15793b…
08-10 20:30:04	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x9cb2f0…
08-10 20:24:09	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x86da60…
08-10 20:02:19	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xdf715d…
08-10 19:54:34	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x9f66aa…
08-10 19:46:39	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	171	3¢	$6	0x93c088…
08-10 19:01:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	64	4¢	$2	0xd109a0…
08-10 15:15:04	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x4c49f0…
08-10 14:12:24	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xda9946…
08-10 14:03:43	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	190	3¢	$6	0x5b994e…
08-10 12:10:52	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe01c1e…
08-10 11:38:57	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x5e3157…
08-10 11:14:13	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x28eb71…
08-10 06:10:31	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	196	4¢	$8	0xc994a4…
08-09 22:38:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0xaff452…
08-09 18:44:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$37	0xeb691f…
08-09 18:20:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x4b2f93…
08-09 09:56:00	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$7	0xbc695e…
08-09 09:45:00	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	53	16¢	$9	0xf59f60…
08-09 09:35:51	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x3cb4df…
08-09 09:35:46	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x413c44…
08-09 09:35:45	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0xfcf7ce…
08-09 08:55:55	will wti dip to 60 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	196	4¢	$7	0x02d68a…
08-08 18:24:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	268	4¢	$10	0xc85657…
08-08 18:10:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6a1787…
08-08 18:01:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x92ec7b…
08-08 17:55:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x8aa860…
08-08 17:55:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x227062…
08-08 17:51:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	215	4¢	$8	0x4c6cd7…
08-08 08:56:31	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0x0a125d…
08-08 07:05:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	4¢	$12	0x8f1c6c…
08-08 06:56:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$19	0x864980…
08-07 06:53:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x06eeb3…
08-07 00:47:00	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	208	21¢	$44	0x143084…
08-06 19:26:38	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x702f1d…
08-06 19:06:14	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x27e540…
08-06 19:06:09	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x07fcf9…
08-06 17:01:08	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x34ccfe…
08-06 16:52:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x40d159…
08-06 16:38:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe6b3e8…
08-06 16:14:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xd19b68…
08-06 16:14:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x0bb587…
08-06 16:13:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe5c128…